NASDAQ$LBTYA

Liberty Global A · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Liberty Global's Q4 2022 financial results demonstrated resilience with all guidance metrics achieved despite challenging macro conditions.

Liberty Global reported stable rebased revenue growth in the U.K., Belgium, and the Netherlands in Q4 2022. The company delivered aggregate broadband and postpaid mobile growth of 197,000 net new subscribers. FY22 Distributable Cash Flow exceeded guidance at $1.6 billion, representing a 17% YoY growth.

  • Achieved all 2022 guidance targets across FMC Champions and exceeded Distributable Cash Flow guidance.
  • Full Year revenue growth driven by B2B, mobile and broadband.
  • Repurchased 14% of shares outstanding in 2022 and reiterating 10% buyback floor for 2023.
  • Guiding to stable Distributable Cash Flow at Liberty Global in 2023.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.84B

Previous: $1.92B-4.1%
EPS (adj)

-$9.22

Previous: $1.26-831.7%
Total Debt

$13.8B

Previous: $14.9B-7.4%
Free Cash Flow

$439M

No prior period
Net Income

-$4.68B

Previous: $638M-833.9%
Operating Income

-$45.4M

Previous: $80.9M-156.1%
Gross Profit

$1.26B

Previous: $1.35B-6.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.7B

Previous: $911M+86.7%
Total Assets

$42.9B

Previous: $46.9B-8.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$48.7M

Previous: $87.5M-44.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Liberty Global · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.84B

Q4 2022-4.1%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 9 of 14 quarters(64%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Liberty Global expects to deliver growth in Revenue and mid-single-digit Adjusted EBITDA growth (each as defined and reported by the VMO2 JV), with the first quarter impacted by phasing. Expects Distributable Cash Flow to remain broadly stable at $1.6 billion in 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Continued customer growth in both fixed and mobile driven by demand for connectivity.
  • Average speed across the broadband base increased 41% YoY to 301 Mbps.
  • VMO2's flagship converged Volt bundles have continued to perform well with 1.3 million customers now taking a Volt bundle.
  • VodafoneZiggo continues to improve its commercial momentum despite continued promotional intensity in the Dutch market.
  • FMC households grew 22,800 in Q4, bringing the total to over 1.5 million converged households.

Headwinds

  • The rebased decrease in VodafoneZiggo's revenue was primarily driven by a lower B2C fixed customer base.
  • The rebased decrease in VodafoneZiggo's Adjusted EBITDA was primarily driven by inflation-related increases in energy and wage costs.
  • Revenue of $803.6 million in Q4 2022 decreased 2.5% YoY on a reported basis and 2.2% YoY on a rebased basis for Sunrise.
  • Adjusted EBITDA decreased 13.5% on a reported basis and 8.1% on a rebased basis to $257.6 million in Q4 2022 for Sunrise.
  • Adjusted EBITDA for the VMO2 JV and Telenet decreased 7.0% and 9.3%, respectively, on a reported basis.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

37 / 64 earnings

Positive

+16.9%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-11.6%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+4.8%+6.1%+7.9%
Q4 2025+16.9%+15.1%+4.7%
Q3 2025+2.6%-0.6%+6.5%
Q1 2025-11.6%-14.6%-11.5%
Q4 2024+0.1%+2.5%+5.2%
Q3 2024-4.3%-1.9%+29.9%
Q2 2024+4.3%+7.0%+1.3%
Q1 2024+4.6%+8.1%+4.8%
Q4 2023-2.8%-0.8%-9.9%
Q3 2023-1.3%+5.5%+4.0%
Q2 2023-6.4%-2.4%-6.0%
Q1 2023-7.1%-9.3%-9.8%
Q4 2022+4.3%-3.6%-10.8%
Q3 2022+5.4%+4.4%+17.9%
Q2 2022+1.5%+0.9%-6.1%
Q1 2022+0.4%+5.3%+5.5%
Q4 2021-8.4%-1.4%-16.1%
Q3 2021-3.5%-0.8%-6.3%
Q2 2021+1.9%+4.1%+7.8%
Q1 2021+5.6%+3.8%+0.3%
Q4 2020+4.6%+4.6%+2.4%
Q3 2020+1.4%+1.8%+28.1%
Q2 2020-0.2%-4.4%+0.9%
Q1 2020+1.3%-0.3%+7.5%
Q4 2019-5.2%-4.7%-19.1%
Q3 2019-2.1%-2.5%-12.9%
Q2 2019+1.0%+3.7%+6.7%
Q1 2019-2.6%-1.3%-5.0%
Q4 2018+0.1%+3.3%+5.3%
Q3 2018-0.2%-6.2%-7.2%
Q2 2018-1.4%-2.4%-5.6%
Q1 2018-7.8%-10.0%-10.9%
Q4 2017-3.8%-6.0%-6.6%
Q3 2017+2.5%-0.6%+2.8%
Q2 2017-2.3%-1.7%-0.7%
Q1 2017-7.8%-11.6%-11.9%
Q4 2016+1.1%+3.5%+5.2%
Q3 2016-0.7%+4.0%-6.9%
Q2 2016-5.1%-3.0%+1.1%
Q1 2016+0.7%
Q4 2015+13.7%
Q3 2015+0.8%
Q2 2015+2.2%
Q1 2015-3.6%
Q4 2014+6.3%
Q3 2014+2.6%
Q2 2014+0.7%
Q1 2014+0.0%
Q4 2013-0.7%
Q3 2013+4.6%
Q2 2013-2.7%
Q1 2013+0.4%
Q4 2012+5.7%
Q3 2012+0.7%
Q2 2012+1.7%
Q1 2012+1.4%
Q4 2011+3.3%
Q3 2011-8.6%
Q2 2011+4.5%
Q1 2011+0.0%
Q4 2010+3.3%
Q3 2010-0.7%
Q2 2010+0.5%
Q1 2010+0.5%

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