NASDAQ$LBTYA

Liberty Global A · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Liberty Global's Q4 2019 results were announced, revealing a mix of revenue and subscriber trends across its European markets.

Liberty Global reported Q4 2019 results, with revenue decreasing slightly by 0.5% on a rebased basis. Operating income increased by 12.0% year-over-year. The company saw organic net RGU losses and organic customer losses, but added mobile subscribers. The company is forecasting a mid-single-digit rebased OCF decline, mid-single-digit rebased OFCF growth and approximately $1 billion of Adjusted FCF for the full year 2020.

  • Rebased revenue decreased 0.5% in Q4.
  • Operating income increased 12.0% year-over-year.
  • The company lost 25,500 organic customers
  • The company added 87,500 mobile subscribers.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.98B

Previous: $2.86B+4.3%
EPS (adj)

-$2.19

Previous: -$0.46-376.1%
Total Liquidity

$11.1B

No prior period
Total Debt

$27.6B

No prior period
Net Income

-$1.39B

Previous: $25.1M-5623.9%
Operating Income

$283M

Previous: $246M+14.7%
Gross Profit

$2.13B

Previous: $2.09B+2.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$8.14B

Previous: $1.48B+450.0%
Total Assets

$49B

Previous: $53.2B-7.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$77.5M

Previous: $75M+3.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Liberty Global · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.98B

Q4 2019+4.3%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

For the full year 2020, the company is forecasting a mid-single-digit rebased OCF decline, mid-single-digit rebased OFCF growth and approximately $1 billion of Adjusted FCF.

Tailwinds

  • Expected launch of 5G speeds at Virgin Media
  • New $1 billion share repurchase plan authorized.
  • Focus on fixed-mobile convergence driving mobile subscription growth.
  • Cutting-edge FMC bundles.
  • Continued success of turnaround plan in Switzerland.

Headwinds

  • Anticipated headwinds in 2020.
  • Organic OCF decline
  • Possibility of subscribers not upgrading to advanced offerings.
  • Potential challenges from competition.
  • Effects of changes in laws or regulation.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

37 / 64 earnings

Positive

+16.9%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-11.6%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+4.8%+6.1%+7.9%
Q4 2025+16.9%+15.1%+4.7%
Q3 2025+2.6%-0.6%+6.5%
Q1 2025-11.6%-14.6%-11.5%
Q4 2024+0.1%+2.5%+5.2%
Q3 2024-4.3%-1.9%+29.9%
Q2 2024+4.3%+7.0%+1.3%
Q1 2024+4.6%+8.1%+4.8%
Q4 2023-2.8%-0.8%-9.9%
Q3 2023-1.3%+5.5%+4.0%
Q2 2023-6.4%-2.4%-6.0%
Q1 2023-7.1%-9.3%-9.8%
Q4 2022+4.3%-3.6%-10.8%
Q3 2022+5.4%+4.4%+17.9%
Q2 2022+1.5%+0.9%-6.1%
Q1 2022+0.4%+5.3%+5.5%
Q4 2021-8.4%-1.4%-16.1%
Q3 2021-3.5%-0.8%-6.3%
Q2 2021+1.9%+4.1%+7.8%
Q1 2021+5.6%+3.8%+0.3%
Q4 2020+4.6%+4.6%+2.4%
Q3 2020+1.4%+1.8%+28.1%
Q2 2020-0.2%-4.4%+0.9%
Q1 2020+1.3%-0.3%+7.5%
Q4 2019-5.2%-4.7%-19.1%
Q3 2019-2.1%-2.5%-12.9%
Q2 2019+1.0%+3.7%+6.7%
Q1 2019-2.6%-1.3%-5.0%
Q4 2018+0.1%+3.3%+5.3%
Q3 2018-0.2%-6.2%-7.2%
Q2 2018-1.4%-2.4%-5.6%
Q1 2018-7.8%-10.0%-10.9%
Q4 2017-3.8%-6.0%-6.6%
Q3 2017+2.5%-0.6%+2.8%
Q2 2017-2.3%-1.7%-0.7%
Q1 2017-7.8%-11.6%-11.9%
Q4 2016+1.1%+3.5%+5.2%
Q3 2016-0.7%+4.0%-6.9%
Q2 2016-5.1%-3.0%+1.1%
Q1 2016+0.7%
Q4 2015+13.7%
Q3 2015+0.8%
Q2 2015+2.2%
Q1 2015-3.6%
Q4 2014+6.3%
Q3 2014+2.6%
Q2 2014+0.7%
Q1 2014+0.0%
Q4 2013-0.7%
Q3 2013+4.6%
Q2 2013-2.7%
Q1 2013+0.4%
Q4 2012+5.7%
Q3 2012+0.7%
Q2 2012+1.7%
Q1 2012+1.4%
Q4 2011+3.3%
Q3 2011-8.6%
Q2 2011+4.5%
Q1 2011+0.0%
Q4 2010+3.3%
Q3 2010-0.7%
Q2 2010+0.5%
Q1 2010+0.5%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro