NASDAQ$LBTYA

Liberty Global A · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Liberty Global's Q4 2020 results reflected growth in customer relationships and solid financial performance despite COVID-19 impacts, with strategic transactions and convergence initiatives driving future value creation.

Liberty Global reported a 14.9% increase in revenue and a 5.8% increase in Adjusted EBITDA. The company added 56,000 new customer relationships during the quarter. FMC penetration increased to 28%.

  • Q4 revenue increased 14.9% on a reported basis and decreased 0.5% on a rebased basis to $3,426.9 million.
  • Q4 loss from continuing operations decreased 25.4% YoY to $1,007.0 million.
  • Q4 Adjusted EBITDA increased 5.8% on a reported basis and decreased 6.2% on a rebased basis to $1,347.6 million.
  • FMC penetration increased to 28% from 23% in Q4 2019.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.43B

Previous: $2.98B+14.9%
EPS (adj)

-$1.72

Previous: -$2.19+21.5%
Free Cash Flow

$528M

No prior period
Net Income

-$1.01B

Previous: -$1.39B+27.4%
Operating Income

$648M

Previous: $283M+129.5%
Gross Profit

$2.38B

Previous: $2.13B+11.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.33B

Previous: $8.14B-83.7%
Total Assets

$59.1B

Previous: $49B+20.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$105M

Previous: $77.5M+35.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Liberty Global · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.43B

Q4 2020+14.9%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Liberty Global anticipates modest rebased revenue increases in its four largest markets (UK, CH, NL, BE) as customer growth, price increases and B2B services continue the momentum experienced in 2020. The company is forecasting a 25% increase in consolidated Adjusted Free Cash Flow to $1.35 billion for full year 2021

Tailwinds

  • Customer growth in key markets
  • Price increases in core markets
  • Continued B2B service momentum
  • Synergies from the UK transaction
  • Acceleration of Sunrise UPC integration in Switzerland

Headwinds

  • Substantial costs to capture anticipated synergies
  • Impact on rebased Adjusted EBITDA
  • Impact on rebased OFCF performance
  • Investments in future growth
  • Potential challenges in achieving forecasted financial targets

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

37 / 64 earnings

Positive

+16.9%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-11.6%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+4.8%+6.1%+7.9%
Q4 2025+16.9%+15.1%+4.7%
Q3 2025+2.6%-0.6%+6.5%
Q1 2025-11.6%-14.6%-11.5%
Q4 2024+0.1%+2.5%+5.2%
Q3 2024-4.3%-1.9%+29.9%
Q2 2024+4.3%+7.0%+1.3%
Q1 2024+4.6%+8.1%+4.8%
Q4 2023-2.8%-0.8%-9.9%
Q3 2023-1.3%+5.5%+4.0%
Q2 2023-6.4%-2.4%-6.0%
Q1 2023-7.1%-9.3%-9.8%
Q4 2022+4.3%-3.6%-10.8%
Q3 2022+5.4%+4.4%+17.9%
Q2 2022+1.5%+0.9%-6.1%
Q1 2022+0.4%+5.3%+5.5%
Q4 2021-8.4%-1.4%-16.1%
Q3 2021-3.5%-0.8%-6.3%
Q2 2021+1.9%+4.1%+7.8%
Q1 2021+5.6%+3.8%+0.3%
Q4 2020+4.6%+4.6%+2.4%
Q3 2020+1.4%+1.8%+28.1%
Q2 2020-0.2%-4.4%+0.9%
Q1 2020+1.3%-0.3%+7.5%
Q4 2019-5.2%-4.7%-19.1%
Q3 2019-2.1%-2.5%-12.9%
Q2 2019+1.0%+3.7%+6.7%
Q1 2019-2.6%-1.3%-5.0%
Q4 2018+0.1%+3.3%+5.3%
Q3 2018-0.2%-6.2%-7.2%
Q2 2018-1.4%-2.4%-5.6%
Q1 2018-7.8%-10.0%-10.9%
Q4 2017-3.8%-6.0%-6.6%
Q3 2017+2.5%-0.6%+2.8%
Q2 2017-2.3%-1.7%-0.7%
Q1 2017-7.8%-11.6%-11.9%
Q4 2016+1.1%+3.5%+5.2%
Q3 2016-0.7%+4.0%-6.9%
Q2 2016-5.1%-3.0%+1.1%
Q1 2016+0.7%
Q4 2015+13.7%
Q3 2015+0.8%
Q2 2015+2.2%
Q1 2015-3.6%
Q4 2014+6.3%
Q3 2014+2.6%
Q2 2014+0.7%
Q1 2014+0.0%
Q4 2013-0.7%
Q3 2013+4.6%
Q2 2013-2.7%
Q1 2013+0.4%
Q4 2012+5.7%
Q3 2012+0.7%
Q2 2012+1.7%
Q1 2012+1.4%
Q4 2011+3.3%
Q3 2011-8.6%
Q2 2011+4.5%
Q1 2011+0.0%
Q4 2010+3.3%
Q3 2010-0.7%
Q2 2010+0.5%
Q1 2010+0.5%

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