NASDAQ$LAMR

Lamar Advertising Company · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Lamar's Q4 2022 operating results were announced, demonstrating solid financial performance driven by strong local sales which offset weakening national demand.

Lamar Advertising Company reported net revenues of $535.5 million for the fourth quarter of 2022, an 8.3% increase compared to the fourth quarter of 2021. Net income for the quarter was $66.1 million. The company anticipates full-year diluted AFFO per share of $7.40 to $7.55 for 2023.

  • Net revenue increased by 8.3% in the fourth quarter.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased 9.4% in the fourth quarter.
  • Diluted AFFO per share increased 7.3% in the fourth quarter.
  • Lamar completed 19 acquisitions for a total purchase price of approximately $192 million during the quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$536M

Previous: $495M+8.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.65

Previous: $1.21-46.3%
Adjusted EBITDA

$252M

Previous: $231M+9.4%
Diluted AFFO per Share

$1.91

Previous: $1.78+7.3%
Capital Expenditures

$50.3M

Previous: $54.6M-7.9%
Free Cash Flow

$159M

Previous: $192M-16.9%
Net Income

$66.1M

Previous: $123M-46.4%
Operating Income

$110M

Previous: $150M-26.6%
Gross Profit

$362M

Previous: $337M+7.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$52.6M

Previous: $99.8M-47.3%
Total Assets

$6.48B

Previous: $6.05B+7.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$8.81M

Previous: $14.8M-40.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Lamar · Revenue · Quarterly

$536M

Q4 2022+8.3%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Lamar anticipates solid revenue growth and moderating expense growth in 2023, but expects interest expense to be a meaningful headwind. Full-year diluted AFFO per share is anticipated to be between $7.40 and $7.55.

Tailwinds

  • Anticipates solid revenue growth
  • Expects moderating expense growth
  • Net income between $525 million and $532.5 million
  • Funds From Operations between $770 million and $777.5 million
  • Capitalized contract fulfillment costs, net $500

Headwinds

  • Interest expense is expected to be a meaningful headwind
  • Stock-based compensation expense $20 million to $28 million
  • Capitalized expenditures—maintenance ($63 million)
  • Gain from disposition of real estate assets and investments($5 million)
  • Non-real estate related depreciation and amortization $12 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.3%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

35 / 68 earnings

Positive

+27.4%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-14.8%

Q1 2012

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+7.0%+4.5%+7.2%
Q4 2025+0.8%+1.6%-6.2%
Q3 2025+1.2%+7.6%+12.1%
Q1 2025-2.9%+0.4%+2.2%
Q4 2024-7.3%-5.0%-15.8%
Q3 2024-3.7%-5.0%-2.8%
Q2 2024+1.2%+3.3%+7.5%
Q1 2024-2.1%+0.0%+0.5%
Q4 2023-2.9%-3.8%+3.3%
Q3 2023+15.9%+15.0%+27.1%
Q2 2023-7.3%-7.2%-5.1%
Q1 2023-5.6%-7.3%-8.4%
Q4 2022-1.0%-0.3%-9.7%
Q3 2022-1.9%-1.8%+10.7%
Q2 2022+1.0%+3.5%-6.6%
Q1 2022-4.7%-10.8%-12.3%
Q4 2021-3.3%-2.9%+2.8%
Q3 2021+1.6%+2.3%-5.7%
Q2 2021+4.2%+1.6%+9.1%
Q1 2021-0.7%+4.5%+3.2%
Q4 2020-0.4%+5.0%+9.1%
Q3 2020+4.0%+8.2%+14.0%
Q2 2020-0.5%+5.4%+2.7%
Q1 2020+27.4%+16.9%+41.1%
Q4 2019-1.2%-6.8%-58.0%
Q3 2019+3.2%+1.7%+6.0%
Q2 2019-1.3%-2.2%-5.0%
Q1 2019-0.3%-1.1%-4.4%
Q4 2018-1.4%-0.1%-1.9%
Q3 2018-5.4%-5.5%-8.7%
Q2 2018-0.3%+0.9%+6.5%
Q1 2018+2.2%+2.8%+8.7%
Q4 2017-8.5%-8.9%-12.4%
Q3 2017+10.3%+7.2%+8.7%
Q2 2017-5.0%-5.0%-5.0%
Q1 2017+1.3%-1.0%+1.8%
Q4 2016-5.8%-4.5%-4.4%
Q3 2016-3.0%-2.0%+4.6%
Q2 2016-5.5%-5.0%-5.7%
Q1 2016+1.5%
Q4 2015-4.9%
Q3 2015+0.9%
Q2 2015-9.1%
Q1 2015+3.3%
Q4 2014+1.1%
Q3 2014+2.1%
Q2 2014+0.8%
Q1 2014-0.8%
Q4 2013+7.1%
Q3 2013+0.4%
Q2 2013-0.0%
Q1 2013-1.2%
Q4 2012+6.0%
Q3 2012+1.6%
Q2 2012+6.8%
Q1 2012-14.8%
Q2 2011+3.3%
Q4 2011+3.3%
Q3 2011+22.0%
Q1 2011+4.2%
Q1 2010+4.2%
Q4 2008+2.3%
Q2 2010+2.3%
Q4 2010+2.3%
Q3 2010-0.9%
Q3 2009-0.9%
Q2 2009+3.7%
Q4 2009+3.7%

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