NASDAQ$IONS

Ionis Pharmaceuticals · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Ionis Pharmaceuticals reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2022.

Ionis Pharmaceuticals reported Q4 2022 total revenue of $152 million and a net loss of $52 million. The company's cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments amounted to $1.987 billion. The company submitted the eplontersen NDA in the U.S.

  • 2022 revenue was in line with expectations, reflecting revenue from numerous diverse sources.
  • 2022 operating expenses increased as planned compared to the prior year, reflecting investments in pipeline, technology and go-to-market activities for eplontersen, olezarsen and donidalorsen
  • Further strengthened financial position with royalty monetization and sale and leaseback transactions worth up to $1.5 billion, including more than $700 million already received
  • Submitted the eplontersen NDA in the U.S. for patients with polyneuropathy caused by hereditary TTR amyloidosis

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$152M

Previous: $440M-65.5%
EPS (adj)

-$1.18

Previous: $1.55-176.1%
Capital Expenditures

$4.14M

Previous: $2.5M+65.4%
Free Cash Flow

-$204M

Previous: $201M-201.6%
Net Income

-$52M

Previous: $225M-123.1%
Operating Income

-$208M

Previous: $221M-194.1%
Gross Profit

$148M

Previous: $438M-66.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.99B

Previous: $2.12B-6.1%
Total Assets

$2.53B

Previous: $2.61B-3.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$25.7M

Previous: $22.3M+15.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Ionis · Revenue · Quarterly

$152M

Q4 2022-65.5%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ionis · $118M total across 2 segments · Q4 2022

  • SPINRAZA Royalties
    $67M-2.9%
  • Collaborative Agreement Rev
    $51M

Forward guidance

The Company’s 2023 guidance reflects its ability to earn substantial revenue from its commercial portfolio and partnered programs. It also reflects the Company’s commitment to investing in advancing its rich late-stage pipeline and preparing to commercialize its near-term commercial opportunities, eplontersen, olezarsen and donidalorsen, while maintaining a healthy balance sheet to continue investing for future growth.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue >$575 million
  • Operating expenses on a non-GAAP basis ~$970 - $995 million
  • Net operating loss on a non-GAAP basis <$425 million
  • Cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments ~$2.0 billion
  • Continue to advance our innovative pipeline and achieve commercial readiness for eplontersen, olezarsen and donidalorsen.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

35 / 68 earnings

Positive

+30.2%

Q3 2016

Best reaction

-13.5%

Q3 2011

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+4.2%+5.1%+6.6%
Q4 2025-5.3%-4.1%-15.6%
Q3 2025-2.3%+0.1%+12.5%
Q1 2025+3.0%+12.9%+12.4%
Q4 2024-0.4%-0.2%+3.0%
Q3 2024-0.9%+0.2%-1.8%
Q2 2024-0.7%-4.9%-3.6%
Q1 2024-5.0%-7.6%-5.7%
Q4 2023-0.8%+3.9%-3.7%
Q3 2023+4.3%+5.4%+14.1%
Q2 2023+0.7%+0.8%+4.2%
Q1 2023+1.3%-1.0%+17.5%
Q4 2022-4.0%-5.3%-11.2%
Q3 2022+7.6%+4.2%-11.2%
Q2 2022+0.9%-3.5%-3.2%
Q1 2022-1.2%-17.6%-6.1%
Q4 2021+3.4%+10.9%+19.3%
Q3 2021+5.0%+5.8%-20.0%
Q2 2021+4.2%+2.0%+4.5%
Q1 2021-11.1%-13.7%-17.7%
Q4 2020-4.7%-3.6%-23.4%
Q3 2020+3.7%+6.6%+9.0%
Q2 2020-4.6%-8.7%-6.1%
Q1 2020-7.7%-2.7%-0.3%
Q4 2019-3.6%-5.4%-10.7%
Q3 2019+1.8%+4.2%+18.8%
Q2 2019+6.6%+6.2%-3.6%
Q1 2019+0.9%-2.8%-7.2%
Q4 2018+15.2%+14.4%+31.7%
Q3 2018+5.4%-0.0%+8.8%
Q2 2018+4.4%+11.6%+1.9%
Q1 2018+7.4%+3.7%+12.9%
Q4 2017+2.8%-4.7%-14.2%
Q3 2017+0.9%+3.0%-0.6%
Q2 2017-8.6%-11.0%+7.4%
Q1 2017-2.6%+3.9%+10.3%
Q4 2016+5.4%+16.6%-13.8%
Q3 2016+30.2%+51.0%+44.9%
Q2 2016+0.1%-2.5%-14.1%
Q1 2016-8.7%
Q4 2015-4.6%
Q3 2015+14.8%
Q2 2015+1.0%
Q1 2015+1.2%
Q4 2014-0.8%
Q3 2014+4.4%
Q2 2014+6.3%
Q1 2014-6.5%
Q4 2013-9.7%
Q3 2013-6.1%
Q2 2013-4.2%
Q1 2013-12.4%
Q4 2012+7.6%
Q3 2012-7.0%
Q2 2012+3.9%
Q1 2012+7.6%
Q4 2011+2.8%
Q3 2011-13.5%
Q2 2011-8.2%
Q1 2010-2.7%
Q1 2011+2.8%
Q4 2008-1.6%
Q4 2010-1.6%
Q3 2009+2.5%
Q3 2010+2.5%
Q4 2009-3.8%
Q2 2010-3.8%
Q2 2009-3.8%

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