NASDAQ$INSE

Inspired Entertainment Inc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Inspired's Q4 2019 results demonstrated progress on its business strategy, with growth in Virtual Sports and Interactive businesses, and improvements in the Acquired Businesses, particularly in the Pub estate.

Inspired Entertainment reported positive Q4 results driven by growth in Virtual Sports and Interactive businesses, and improvements in the Acquired Businesses. The company is optimistic about future growth prospects, including North American penetration, UK Pub and Leisure digitization, and synergy realization.

  • SBG Service Revenue declined by $3.5 million, primarily due to the Triennial Implementation in the UK LBO market and an increase in the tax rate in the Italian market.
  • SBG Hardware Revenue increased by $6.0 million, driven by Valor™ cabinet sales in North America and SSBT sales in the UK LBO market.
  • Virtual Sports Revenue increased by $1.3 million, driven by recurring revenue for retail and scheduled online Virtuals and one-time content sales.
  • Acquired Businesses Service Revenue was $27.6 million, with $8.6 million from Category C gaming machines within the Pub business.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$66.4M

Previous: $35.6M+86.5%
EPS (adj)

-$0.58

Previous: -$0.57-1.8%
Adjusted EBITDA

$17.70

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$5.6M

Previous: $9.92M-43.6%
Free Cash Flow

$2.7M

Previous: $6.52M-58.6%
Net Income

-$12.80

Previous: -$11.9M+100.0%
Operating Income

-$2.10

Previous: -$3.66M+100.0%
Gross Profit

$39.20

Previous: $29M-100.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$29.1M

No prior period
Total Assets

$327M

Previous: $208M+57.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.4M

Previous: $1.49M+61.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Inspired · Revenue · Quarterly

$66.4M

Q4 2019+86.5%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 5 of 10 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Inspired · $72.5M total across 4 segments · Q4 2022

  • Gaming
    $31.9M
  • Leisure
    $19.4M
  • Virtual Sports
    $14.9M
  • Interactive
    $6.3M

Forward guidance

Inspired expects continued growth from North American penetration, accelerated UK Pub and Leisure digitization, and additional customers in Virtual Sports and Interactive.

Tailwinds

  • Annualization of the Acquired Businesses
  • Upside from North American penetration
  • Accelerated UK Pub and Leisure digitization
  • Additional customers coming onboard in Virtual Sports and Interactive
  • Realization of expected synergies

Headwinds

  • Seasonality in the Acquired Businesses, with the second and third quarters seasonally strongest.
  • Adjusted EBITDA Margins likely will be adversely impacted by the lower overhead absorption in the shoulder months.
  • Potential impact from the Coronavirus epidemic.
  • The Triennial Implementation is expected to impact Adjusted EBITDA by $10.0 million to $11.0 million annually on a steady state basis.
  • Associated capital expenditures in 2020

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+2.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.6%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

20 / 44 earnings

Positive

+23.3%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-11.8%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+12.2%+1.9%+3.6%
Q4 2025-4.4%-21.1%-18.0%
Q3 2025+12.8%+9.9%+15.7%
Q1 2025+4.6%+13.7%+8.4%
Q4 2024+9.6%+5.6%-12.4%
Q3 2024+4.6%+6.6%-4.3%
Q2 2024+5.1%+2.9%+7.0%
Q1 2024-6.5%-7.2%-3.1%
Q4 2023-3.9%-7.1%-8.5%
Q3 2023-7.6%-6.9%-4.8%
Q2 2023-4.5%-2.4%-6.0%
Q1 2023+11.1%+12.3%+19.9%
Q4 2022-11.8%-17.8%-23.7%
Q3 2022+16.5%+21.5%+25.3%
Q2 2022+14.8%+11.8%+1.0%
Q1 2022+23.3%+25.2%+35.2%
Q4 2021+10.7%+18.1%-16.9%
Q3 2021+6.0%-0.2%-19.3%
Q2 2021+4.1%+2.1%+3.4%
Q1 2021-0.9%-7.0%+37.7%
Q4 2020+23.2%+29.4%+19.8%
Q3 2020+18.0%+12.0%+32.0%
Q2 2020-3.6%+3.9%-10.9%
Q1 2020+7.6%+16.1%+60.2%
Q4 2019-11.8%-17.9%-51.8%
Q3 2019+0.2%-3.3%-6.9%
Q2 2019+14.3%+7.5%+7.5%
Q1 2019-5.1%-3.0%-2.1%
Q4 2018-3.4%-5.6%+5.1%
Q3 2018-6.9%-7.9%-17.1%
Q2 2018+22.1%+22.1%+9.6%
Q1 2018-7.6%-14.5%-19.1%
Q4 2017-8.4%-5.8%+2.9%
Q3 2017-0.5%+0.5%+22.3%
Q1 2017-2.8%+1.9%+18.0%
Q4 2016-5.3%-5.7%-9.5%
Q3 2016+0.0%-1.5%+0.5%
Q2 2016+0.0%+3.2%+0.0%
Q1 2016+0.0%
Q4 2015+0.1%
Q3 2015+0.0%
Q2 2015+0.0%
Q1 2015-0.4%
Q4 2014+0.0%
Q3 2014

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro