NASDAQ$INSE

Inspired Entertainment Inc · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Inspired's Q1 2020 financial results were affected by COVID-19 and the Triennial Implementation, but the interactive business showed resilience and strength.

Inspired Entertainment reported a decrease in Adjusted EBITDA due to the impact of COVID-19 and the Triennial Implementation, despite an increase in total revenue driven by the acquisition of Novomatic Gaming Technology Group. The interactive business showed resilience, but the company incurred significant costs due to the abrupt closures of land-based retail businesses.

  • Total revenue increased to $52.3 million, driven by the acquisition of Novomatic Gaming Technology Group.
  • Adjusted EBITDA decreased to $10.1 million due to COVID-19 closures and the Triennial Implementation.
  • Interactive revenues performed well, with April recurring revenues increasing approximately 30% and 100% over March and February, respectively.
  • The company implemented cost-saving measures and delayed non-essential capital expenditures to mitigate the impact of COVID-19.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$52.3M

Previous: $30.7M+70.2%
EPS (adj)

-$0.78

Previous: -$0.24-225.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

$10.1M

Previous: $13.7M-26.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$8.4M

Previous: -$3.22M-161.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$25.8M

Previous: -$7.94M-224.8%
Net Income

-$17.4M

Previous: -$4.73M-267.9%
Operating Income

-$7.2M

Previous: -$2.38M-202.1%
Gross Profit

$1.2M

Previous: $24.2M-95.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$48.5M

Previous: $16M+203.4%
Total Assets

$331M

Previous: $187M+77.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$1M

Previous: $2.08M-51.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Inspired · Revenue · Quarterly

$52.3M

Q1 2020+70.2%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 6 of 11 quarters(55%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Inspired · $72.5M total across 4 segments · Q4 2022

  • Gaming
    $31.9M
  • Leisure
    $19.4M
  • Virtual Sports
    $14.9M
  • Interactive
    $6.3M

Forward guidance

Inspired Entertainment expects to manage through the COVID-19 crisis and create stockholder value by executing on key strategic initiatives and increasing returns on investment through disciplined capital allocation. They are prepared to relaunch land-based retail operations and see upside from North American penetration, UK Pub digitization, and additional customers in Virtual Sports and Interactive.

Tailwinds

  • Interactive business has shown resilience and strength.
  • Virtual Sports content has helped to provide content given the lack of live sports content.
  • Company is well prepared for customers’ properties to reopen.
  • Geographically diversified portfolio of customers will play an important role in recovery.
  • See upside from North American penetration, accelerated UK Pub and Leisure digitization, additional customers coming onboard in Virtual Sports and Interactive, as well as the benefits of the integration of our recent acquisition

Headwinds

  • COVID-19 global pandemic resulted in the temporary closure of land-based retail businesses.
  • Continuation of many of the associated expenses, which had a material negative impact on first quarter results.
  • Revenue from land-based retail customers declined, ultimately to near zero.
  • Decline in retail recurring revenue due to COVID-19 Closures.
  • SG&A expenses increased due to Incremental SG&A expenses from the Acquired Businesses

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

+2.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.6%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

20 / 44 earnings

Positive

+23.3%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-11.8%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+12.2%+1.9%+3.6%
Q4 2025-4.4%-21.1%-18.0%
Q3 2025+12.8%+9.9%+15.7%
Q1 2025+4.6%+13.7%+8.4%
Q4 2024+9.6%+5.6%-12.4%
Q3 2024+4.6%+6.6%-4.3%
Q2 2024+5.1%+2.9%+7.0%
Q1 2024-6.5%-7.2%-3.1%
Q4 2023-3.9%-7.1%-8.5%
Q3 2023-7.6%-6.9%-4.8%
Q2 2023-4.5%-2.4%-6.0%
Q1 2023+11.1%+12.3%+19.9%
Q4 2022-11.8%-17.8%-23.7%
Q3 2022+16.5%+21.5%+25.3%
Q2 2022+14.8%+11.8%+1.0%
Q1 2022+23.3%+25.2%+35.2%
Q4 2021+10.7%+18.1%-16.9%
Q3 2021+6.0%-0.2%-19.3%
Q2 2021+4.1%+2.1%+3.4%
Q1 2021-0.9%-7.0%+37.7%
Q4 2020+23.2%+29.4%+19.8%
Q3 2020+18.0%+12.0%+32.0%
Q2 2020-3.6%+3.9%-10.9%
Q1 2020+7.6%+16.1%+60.2%
Q4 2019-11.8%-17.9%-51.8%
Q3 2019+0.2%-3.3%-6.9%
Q2 2019+14.3%+7.5%+7.5%
Q1 2019-5.1%-3.0%-2.1%
Q4 2018-3.4%-5.6%+5.1%
Q3 2018-6.9%-7.9%-17.1%
Q2 2018+22.1%+22.1%+9.6%
Q1 2018-7.6%-14.5%-19.1%
Q4 2017-8.4%-5.8%+2.9%
Q3 2017-0.5%+0.5%+22.3%
Q1 2017-2.8%+1.9%+18.0%
Q4 2016-5.3%-5.7%-9.5%
Q3 2016+0.0%-1.5%+0.5%
Q2 2016+0.0%+3.2%+0.0%
Q1 2016+0.0%
Q4 2015+0.1%
Q3 2015+0.0%
Q2 2015+0.0%
Q1 2015-0.4%
Q4 2014+0.0%
Q3 2014

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