NASDAQ$HUBG

Hub Group Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Hub Group reported a decline in fourth quarter 2024 revenue but saw improvements in GAAP and adjusted operating income margins, alongside strong Intermodal volume growth.

Hub Group announced fourth quarter 2024 net income of $24 million and diluted earnings per share of $0.40. The company's revenue for the quarter was $974 million, a 1% decline from the prior year, primarily due to lower fuel, Brokerage, Consolidation and Fulfillment, and Managed Transportation revenue, despite strong Intermodal volume growth. Adjusted EPS for the quarter was $0.48.

  • Fourth quarter revenue was $1 billion, with full year revenue at $4 billion.
  • GAAP EPS for the fourth quarter was $0.40, and adjusted EPS was $0.48.
  • The company returned nearly $100 million to shareholders in 2024 through share repurchases and dividends.
  • A joint venture with EASO was completed in October, expanding Hub Group's North American intermodal presence.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$974M

Previous: $985M-1.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.48

Previous: $0.54-11.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$7.63M

Previous: -$34.4M+77.8%
Net Income

$24.4M

Previous: $29M-16.0%
Operating Income

$31.5M

Previous: $29M+8.7%
Gross Profit

$69.2M

Previous: $107M-35.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Hub Group · Revenue · Quarterly

$974M

Q4 2024-1.2%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 3 of 14 quarters(21%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Hub Group expects 2025 diluted earnings per share to range from $1.90 to $2.40, with estimated revenue between $4.0 billion and $4.3 billion. The projected effective tax rate is approximately 25%, and capital expenditures are expected to be between $50 million and $70 million.

Tailwinds

  • Expected diluted EPS range of $1.90 to $2.40 for 2025.
  • Anticipated revenue between $4.0 billion and $4.3 billion for the full year 2025.
  • Projected effective tax rate of approximately 25% for 2025.
  • Capital expenditures are expected to be managed within a range of $50 million to $70 million.
  • Continued focus on strategic priorities for long-term growth.

Headwinds

  • No specific negative forward guidance points were explicitly stated in the provided text.
  • The revenue guidance range indicates potential for flat to slight growth compared to 2024.
  • The EPS guidance range is broad, indicating potential variability.
  • Reliance on market conditions for achieving targets.
  • Potential for unforeseen expenses or economic downturns impacting results.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.2%

Avg return

30 days after

61%

42 / 69 earnings

Positive

+14.0%

Q3 2017

Best reaction

-16.0%

Q2 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026+2.1%+3.4%+24.2%
Q4 2025+1.5%+3.7%+24.8%
Q3 2025-0.6%-0.7%+8.0%
Q2 2025-4.3%+0.9%+6.9%
Q1 2025+0.4%+7.1%+1.7%
Q4 2024-4.2%-2.7%-9.1%
Q3 2024-0.2%+1.3%+18.7%
Q2 2024-9.1%-8.3%+0.8%
Q1 2024-0.2%+0.6%+8.1%
Q4 2023-2.1%-1.9%-6.8%
Q3 2023-5.1%-6.9%+2.0%
Q2 2023+3.4%+3.3%-7.6%
Q1 2023-2.7%-2.7%-4.0%
Q4 2022+10.4%+12.4%+6.2%
Q3 2022+2.8%+5.8%+9.9%
Q2 2022+5.8%+7.2%+2.5%
Q1 2022+3.8%+14.0%+13.5%
Q4 2021+7.9%+7.0%+10.4%
Q3 2021+1.9%+4.2%+6.0%
Q2 2021+3.7%+4.5%+9.0%
Q1 2021+1.6%+7.0%-2.2%
Q4 2020+4.4%+6.7%+11.1%
Q3 2020+1.3%+3.9%+12.1%
Q2 2020+3.2%+2.9%+6.0%
Q1 2020-15.6%-12.2%-7.1%
Q4 2019+7.8%+0.2%-17.3%
Q3 2019-7.7%-1.6%+2.9%
Q2 2019+11.7%+6.1%+6.3%
Q1 2019+0.5%+11.4%-5.7%
Q4 2018-0.9%-0.4%-7.0%
Q3 2018+11.6%+12.6%+5.5%
Q2 2018+10.0%+15.0%+13.9%
Q1 2018-0.3%+0.8%+15.7%
Q4 2017-5.7%+0.1%-2.8%
Q3 2017+14.0%+10.6%+13.5%
Q2 2017-16.0%-15.5%-6.1%
Q1 2017-0.7%-3.6%-14.2%
Q4 2016+7.9%+6.4%+11.5%
Q3 2016-10.3%-8.5%+9.2%
Q2 2016-0.0%+1.1%-1.1%
Q1 2016+6.3%
Q4 2015+10.2%
Q3 2015+8.7%
Q2 2015+8.4%
Q1 2015+8.1%
Q4 2014+7.1%
Q3 2014+3.0%
Q2 2014-5.1%
Q1 2014+6.0%
Q4 2013+3.2%
Q3 2013+2.8%
Q2 2013+6.5%
Q1 2013-5.6%
Q4 2012-0.5%
Q3 2012+0.1%
Q2 2012+1.0%
Q1 2012+0.3%
Q2 2011-0.7%
Q4 2011-0.7%
Q3 2011-1.1%
Q4 2010-3.9%
Q1 2010-0.4%
Q1 2011-0.4%
Q4 2008+2.1%
Q3 2010+0.4%
Q3 2009+0.4%
Q2 2009+1.0%
Q2 2010+1.0%
Q4 2009+1.0%

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