NASDAQ$HUBG

Hub Group Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Hub Group reported first quarter results with revenue growth and increased profitability.

Hub Group's first quarter 2021 saw a 10% increase in revenue to $920 million, driven by strong freight market conditions and strategic customer growth. Net income rose to $17.2 million, or $0.51 per diluted share, compared to $13.2 million, or $0.40 per diluted share, in the first quarter of 2020.

  • Revenue increased by 10% to $920 million compared to the first quarter of 2020.
  • Net income was $17.2 million, or $0.51 per diluted share.
  • Intermodal revenue increased 6% to $506 million.
  • Truck brokerage revenue grew 30% to $127 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$920M

Previous: $839M+9.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.51

Previous: $0.47+8.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$9.52M

Previous: -$25.5M+62.6%
Free Cash Flow

$118M

Previous: $15.2M+676.1%
Net Income

$17.2M

Previous: $13.2M+30.2%
Operating Income

$24.1M

Previous: $19.8M+21.7%
Gross Profit

$109M

Previous: $105M+4.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$226M

Previous: $277M-18.3%
Total Assets

$2.15B

Previous: $2.09B+2.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.12M

Previous: $4.1M+24.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Hub Group · Revenue · Quarterly

$920M

Q1 2021+9.6%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Hub Group expects diluted earnings per share to range from $3.20 to $3.40 for 2021. Revenue is estimated to grow in the mid-teens percentage range, and gross margin as a percentage of revenue is expected to range from 12.5% to 13.0%.

Tailwinds

  • Diluted earnings per share will range from $3.20 to $3.40.
  • Revenue will grow in the mid-teens percentage range.
  • Gross margin as a percentage of revenue will range from 12.5% to 13.0%.
  • Expect to add 3,000 containers, resulting in net growth of approximately 2,750 after retirements.
  • Planning to add approximately 700 tractors to replace older units and support growth in our drayage and dedicated fleets.

Headwinds

  • Costs and expenses will range from $365 million to $380 million for the year.
  • Effective tax rate for 2021 will range from 24% to 25%.
  • Capital expenditures for fiscal year 2021 to range from $165 to $175 million.
  • Winter storms impacted volume growth by approximately 600 basis points.
  • Increased purchased transportation costs.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.2%

Avg return

30 days after

61%

42 / 69 earnings

Positive

+14.0%

Q3 2017

Best reaction

-16.0%

Q2 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026+2.1%+3.4%+24.2%
Q4 2025+1.5%+3.7%+24.8%
Q3 2025-0.6%-0.7%+8.0%
Q2 2025-4.3%+0.9%+6.9%
Q1 2025+0.4%+7.1%+1.7%
Q4 2024-4.2%-2.7%-9.1%
Q3 2024-0.2%+1.3%+18.7%
Q2 2024-9.1%-8.3%+0.8%
Q1 2024-0.2%+0.6%+8.1%
Q4 2023-2.1%-1.9%-6.8%
Q3 2023-5.1%-6.9%+2.0%
Q2 2023+3.4%+3.3%-7.6%
Q1 2023-2.7%-2.7%-4.0%
Q4 2022+10.4%+12.4%+6.2%
Q3 2022+2.8%+5.8%+9.9%
Q2 2022+5.8%+7.2%+2.5%
Q1 2022+3.8%+14.0%+13.5%
Q4 2021+7.9%+7.0%+10.4%
Q3 2021+1.9%+4.2%+6.0%
Q2 2021+3.7%+4.5%+9.0%
Q1 2021+1.6%+7.0%-2.2%
Q4 2020+4.4%+6.7%+11.1%
Q3 2020+1.3%+3.9%+12.1%
Q2 2020+3.2%+2.9%+6.0%
Q1 2020-15.6%-12.2%-7.1%
Q4 2019+7.8%+0.2%-17.3%
Q3 2019-7.7%-1.6%+2.9%
Q2 2019+11.7%+6.1%+6.3%
Q1 2019+0.5%+11.4%-5.7%
Q4 2018-0.9%-0.4%-7.0%
Q3 2018+11.6%+12.6%+5.5%
Q2 2018+10.0%+15.0%+13.9%
Q1 2018-0.3%+0.8%+15.7%
Q4 2017-5.7%+0.1%-2.8%
Q3 2017+14.0%+10.6%+13.5%
Q2 2017-16.0%-15.5%-6.1%
Q1 2017-0.7%-3.6%-14.2%
Q4 2016+7.9%+6.4%+11.5%
Q3 2016-10.3%-8.5%+9.2%
Q2 2016-0.0%+1.1%-1.1%
Q1 2016+6.3%
Q4 2015+10.2%
Q3 2015+8.7%
Q2 2015+8.4%
Q1 2015+8.1%
Q4 2014+7.1%
Q3 2014+3.0%
Q2 2014-5.1%
Q1 2014+6.0%
Q4 2013+3.2%
Q3 2013+2.8%
Q2 2013+6.5%
Q1 2013-5.6%
Q4 2012-0.5%
Q3 2012+0.1%
Q2 2012+1.0%
Q1 2012+0.3%
Q2 2011-0.7%
Q4 2011-0.7%
Q3 2011-1.1%
Q4 2010-3.9%
Q1 2010-0.4%
Q1 2011-0.4%
Q4 2008+2.1%
Q3 2010+0.4%
Q3 2009+0.4%
Q2 2009+1.0%
Q2 2010+1.0%
Q4 2009+1.0%

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