NASDAQ$HUBG

Hub Group Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Hub Group reported fourth quarter results with a 2% increase in revenue and earnings per share of $2.42.

Hub Group reported a 2% increase in revenue for the fourth quarter of 2022, reaching $1.3 billion, with net income at $79 million and diluted earnings per share at $2.42. The company's full-year revenue grew by 26% to $5.3 billion, with net income of $357 million and diluted earnings per share of $10.64. Market conditions softened during the quarter, but Hub Group anticipates demand will return by mid-2023.

  • Fourth quarter revenue increased by 2% to $1.3 billion compared to the previous year.
  • Net income for the fourth quarter was $79 million, with diluted earnings per share of $2.42.
  • ITS revenue increased 5% to $802 million.
  • Logistics revenue increased 9% to $245 million driven by organic growth and the acquisition of TAGG Logistics.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.29B

Previous: $1.26B+2.4%
EPS (adj)

$2.42

Previous: $2.48-2.4%
Capital Expenditures

$61.5M

Previous: $48.9M+25.8%
Free Cash Flow

$46.2M

Previous: $25.9M+78.4%
Net Income

$79M

Previous: $84M-6.0%
Operating Income

$104M

Previous: $118M-11.9%
Gross Profit

$204M

Previous: $220M-7.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$287M

Previous: $160M+79.4%
Total Assets

$2.81B

Previous: $2.44B+15.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.45M

Previous: $5.97M-8.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Hub Group · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.29B

Q4 2022+2.4%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 3 of 14 quarters(21%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Hub Group expects 2023 diluted earnings per share to range from $7.00 to $8.00, with revenue between $5.2 to $5.4 billion and gross margin between 14.5% to 15.0%.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue will range from $5.2 to $5.4 billion.
  • Gross margin as a percentage of revenue will range from 14.5% to 15.0%.
  • Diluted earnings per share will range from $7.00 to $8.00.

Headwinds

  • Costs and expenses will range from $420 to $440 million for the year.
  • The effective tax rate for the year will be 24-25%.
  • Capital expenditures for containers, tractors, warehousing equipment and technology will range from $170 to $190 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.2%

Avg return

30 days after

61%

42 / 69 earnings

Positive

+14.0%

Q3 2017

Best reaction

-16.0%

Q2 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026+2.1%+3.4%+24.2%
Q4 2025+1.5%+3.7%+24.8%
Q3 2025-0.6%-0.7%+8.0%
Q2 2025-4.3%+0.9%+6.9%
Q1 2025+0.4%+7.1%+1.7%
Q4 2024-4.2%-2.7%-9.1%
Q3 2024-0.2%+1.3%+18.7%
Q2 2024-9.1%-8.3%+0.8%
Q1 2024-0.2%+0.6%+8.1%
Q4 2023-2.1%-1.9%-6.8%
Q3 2023-5.1%-6.9%+2.0%
Q2 2023+3.4%+3.3%-7.6%
Q1 2023-2.7%-2.7%-4.0%
Q4 2022+10.4%+12.4%+6.2%
Q3 2022+2.8%+5.8%+9.9%
Q2 2022+5.8%+7.2%+2.5%
Q1 2022+3.8%+14.0%+13.5%
Q4 2021+7.9%+7.0%+10.4%
Q3 2021+1.9%+4.2%+6.0%
Q2 2021+3.7%+4.5%+9.0%
Q1 2021+1.6%+7.0%-2.2%
Q4 2020+4.4%+6.7%+11.1%
Q3 2020+1.3%+3.9%+12.1%
Q2 2020+3.2%+2.9%+6.0%
Q1 2020-15.6%-12.2%-7.1%
Q4 2019+7.8%+0.2%-17.3%
Q3 2019-7.7%-1.6%+2.9%
Q2 2019+11.7%+6.1%+6.3%
Q1 2019+0.5%+11.4%-5.7%
Q4 2018-0.9%-0.4%-7.0%
Q3 2018+11.6%+12.6%+5.5%
Q2 2018+10.0%+15.0%+13.9%
Q1 2018-0.3%+0.8%+15.7%
Q4 2017-5.7%+0.1%-2.8%
Q3 2017+14.0%+10.6%+13.5%
Q2 2017-16.0%-15.5%-6.1%
Q1 2017-0.7%-3.6%-14.2%
Q4 2016+7.9%+6.4%+11.5%
Q3 2016-10.3%-8.5%+9.2%
Q2 2016-0.0%+1.1%-1.1%
Q1 2016+6.3%
Q4 2015+10.2%
Q3 2015+8.7%
Q2 2015+8.4%
Q1 2015+8.1%
Q4 2014+7.1%
Q3 2014+3.0%
Q2 2014-5.1%
Q1 2014+6.0%
Q4 2013+3.2%
Q3 2013+2.8%
Q2 2013+6.5%
Q1 2013-5.6%
Q4 2012-0.5%
Q3 2012+0.1%
Q2 2012+1.0%
Q1 2012+0.3%
Q2 2011-0.7%
Q4 2011-0.7%
Q3 2011-1.1%
Q4 2010-3.9%
Q1 2010-0.4%
Q1 2011-0.4%
Q4 2008+2.1%
Q3 2010+0.4%
Q3 2009+0.4%
Q2 2009+1.0%
Q2 2010+1.0%
Q4 2009+1.0%

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