NASDAQ$HLIT

Harmonic Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Harmonic's Q4 2023 performance was solid, with record total company and Broadband revenue, driven by strong demand.

Harmonic Inc. reported record quarterly total revenue of $167.1 million, a 31% increase quarter over quarter. Broadband revenue increased by 20%, and Video SaaS revenue increased by 26% year over year. The company's robust backlog positions it well for future growth.

  • Harmonic achieved record quarterly total revenue of $167.1 million.
  • Broadband segment revenue reached $115.2 million, while Video segment revenue was $51.9 million.
  • GAAP net income was $83.8 million, or $0.72 per share, and non-GAAP net income was $14.7 million, or $0.13 per share.
  • The company commercially deployed its cOS™ solution with 108 customers, serving 26.3 million cable modems.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$167M

Previous: $164M+1.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.13

Previous: $0.17-23.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$2.73M

Previous: $1.86M-246.5%
Free Cash Flow

$2.52M

Previous: $17.5M-85.6%
Net Income

$83.8M

Previous: $6.1M+1273.8%
Operating Income

$9.63M

Previous: $16.5M-41.5%
Gross Profit

$81.9M

Previous: $85.7M-4.5%
R&D Expense

$30.3M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$6.61M

Previous: $5.59M+18.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Harmonic · Revenue · Quarterly

$167M

Q4 2023+1.7%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 14 quarters(79%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Harmonic provided financial guidance for Q1 2024 and full year 2024.

Tailwinds

  • Q1 2024 GAAP net revenue is expected to be between $110 million and $130 million.
  • Q1 2024 Non-GAAP gross margin is expected to be between 51.1% and 52.4%.
  • Full year 2024 GAAP net revenue is projected to be between $655 million and $710 million.
  • Full year 2024 GAAP net income is anticipated to be between $31 million and $57 million.
  • Full year 2024 Non-GAAP diluted net income per share is expected to be between $0.49 and $0.72.

Headwinds

  • Q1 2024 GAAP net loss is projected to be between $13 million and $5 million.
  • Q1 2024 Non-GAAP net loss per share is expected to be between $(0.06) and $0.02.
  • Q1 2024 Video segment adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $(8) million and $(2) million.
  • Full year 2024 Video segment adjusted EBITDA is projected to be between $(7) million and $2 million.
  • The guidance assumes estimated impact of redeeming the 2024 Convertible Notes and repurchases during 2024 under the Company's stock repurchase program.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.5%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

32 / 68 earnings

Positive

+29.8%

Q3 2017

Best reaction

-24.9%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.8%-2.4%+13.1%
Q4 2025+1.7%-3.6%-16.1%
Q3 2025-2.1%-6.2%-10.2%
Q2 2025+4.1%+2.5%+15.7%
Q1 2025+1.3%-3.3%-1.3%
Q4 2024-15.3%-9.5%-7.4%
Q3 2024-24.9%-25.8%-15.0%
Q2 2024+18.3%+15.6%+18.4%
Q1 2024+16.7%+19.1%+28.6%
Q4 2023+5.3%+16.8%+14.7%
Q3 2023+9.1%+9.9%+12.5%
Q2 2023-22.2%-26.0%-28.4%
Q1 2023+20.1%+20.5%+34.0%
Q4 2022-10.7%-3.1%-11.5%
Q3 2022-11.3%-10.9%-2.0%
Q2 2022-0.4%+3.8%+3.1%
Q1 2022+17.0%+10.4%+19.8%
Q4 2021-10.7%-9.1%-10.4%
Q3 2021+15.8%+18.4%+16.1%
Q2 2021+20.1%+13.0%+4.0%
Q1 2021-9.8%-7.3%-10.0%
Q4 2020+1.7%-1.5%+4.6%
Q3 2020-8.6%-16.0%-4.7%
Q2 2020+25.8%+19.2%+7.3%
Q1 2020-15.4%-14.5%-12.4%
Q4 2019+1.2%-3.7%-9.7%
Q3 2019+22.1%+25.6%+27.3%
Q2 2019-5.8%-5.5%-14.4%
Q1 2019+0.4%+1.8%-6.4%
Q4 2018-6.4%+0.9%+4.9%
Q3 2018+1.1%+13.2%+7.5%
Q2 2018+2.2%+14.4%+23.3%
Q1 2018+11.3%-4.2%+9.9%
Q4 2017+17.6%+20.8%+27.5%
Q3 2017+29.8%+33.3%+52.6%
Q2 2017+2.5%+0.0%-17.5%
Q1 2017-8.2%-12.9%-12.9%
Q4 2016+7.3%+6.4%+7.3%
Q3 2016-9.1%+2.0%+4.0%
Q2 2016+21.2%+27.9%+54.6%
Q1 2016-6.3%
Q4 2015-1.9%
Q3 2015-0.7%
Q2 2015-8.5%
Q1 2015-4.8%
Q4 2014+8.7%
Q3 2014-0.3%
Q2 2014-9.0%
Q1 2014+8.1%
Q4 2013+0.3%
Q3 2013-3.1%
Q2 2013+8.5%
Q1 2013-1.7%
Q4 2012-5.3%
Q3 2012-1.0%
Q2 2012-0.9%
Q1 2012+3.6%
Q4 2008-4.7%
Q4 2011-4.7%
Q3 2011-4.5%
Q2 2011+2.1%
Q1 2011-1.9%
Q1 2010-0.3%
Q4 2010-0.3%
Q3 2010+0.4%
Q3 2009+0.4%
Q2 2010-8.1%
Q2 2009-8.1%

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