NASDAQ$HLIT

Harmonic Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Achieved record revenue and Adjusted EBITDA, with Broadband and Video revenue exceeding expectations.

Harmonic Inc. reported strong Q3 2024 results with record total company revenue of $195.8 million, up 54% year over year, and Adjusted EBITDA of $43.4 million. Broadband revenue increased by 92% year over year, while Video returned to profitability with greater than 10% Adjusted EBITDA margin.

  • Achieved record total company revenue.
  • Broadband revenue increased 92% year over year.
  • Video returned to profitability with greater than 10% Adjusted EBITDA margin.
  • Commercially deployed cOSTM solution with 121 customers, serving 32.0 million cable modems.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$196M

Previous: $127M+53.9%
EPS

$0.19

Previous: -$0.05+480.0%
Non-GAAP Gross Margin

53.7%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$6.84M

Previous: -$5.75M-19.0%
Free Cash Flow

$14.9M

Previous: -$12.2M+221.5%
Net Income

$21.7M

Previous: -$6.5M+434.4%
Operating Income

$35.4M

Previous: -$8.6M+511.8%
Gross Profit

$105M

Previous: $61.7M+69.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$58.2M

Previous: $75.6M-23.1%
Total Assets

$760M

Previous: $674M+12.8%
R&D Expense

$30.1M

Previous: $30.3M-0.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.71M

Previous: $7.24M-21.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Harmonic · Revenue · Quarterly

$196M

Q3 2024+53.9%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 11 of 14 quarters(79%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The company provided financial guidance for Q4 2024, with GAAP net revenue expected to be between $205 million and $220 million and GAAP net income per share between $0.26 and $0.31. For the full year 2024, GAAP net revenue is projected to be between $662 million and $677 million, with GAAP net income per share between $0.27 and $0.32.

Tailwinds

  • GAAP net revenue for Q4 2024 is expected to be between $205 million and $220 million.
  • GAAP gross margin for Q4 2024 is expected to be between 55.4% and 56.7%.
  • GAAP net income per share for Q4 2024 is projected to be between $0.26 and $0.31.
  • GAAP net revenue for full year 2024 is projected to be between $662 million and $677 million.
  • GAAP net income per share for full year 2024 is expected to be between $0.27 and $0.32.

Headwinds

  • Stock-based compensation expense is expected to impact GAAP to Non-GAAP adjustments.
  • Tax effect of non-GAAP adjustments is expected.
  • Operating expenses are expected to be between $70 million and $73 million.
  • Tax rate of 26% for net income
  • Diluted shares assumes stock price at $13.34

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.5%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

32 / 68 earnings

Positive

+29.8%

Q3 2017

Best reaction

-24.9%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.8%-2.4%+13.1%
Q4 2025+1.7%-3.6%-16.1%
Q3 2025-2.1%-6.2%-10.2%
Q2 2025+4.1%+2.5%+15.7%
Q1 2025+1.3%-3.3%-1.3%
Q4 2024-15.3%-9.5%-7.4%
Q3 2024-24.9%-25.8%-15.0%
Q2 2024+18.3%+15.6%+18.4%
Q1 2024+16.7%+19.1%+28.6%
Q4 2023+5.3%+16.8%+14.7%
Q3 2023+9.1%+9.9%+12.5%
Q2 2023-22.2%-26.0%-28.4%
Q1 2023+20.1%+20.5%+34.0%
Q4 2022-10.7%-3.1%-11.5%
Q3 2022-11.3%-10.9%-2.0%
Q2 2022-0.4%+3.8%+3.1%
Q1 2022+17.0%+10.4%+19.8%
Q4 2021-10.7%-9.1%-10.4%
Q3 2021+15.8%+18.4%+16.1%
Q2 2021+20.1%+13.0%+4.0%
Q1 2021-9.8%-7.3%-10.0%
Q4 2020+1.7%-1.5%+4.6%
Q3 2020-8.6%-16.0%-4.7%
Q2 2020+25.8%+19.2%+7.3%
Q1 2020-15.4%-14.5%-12.4%
Q4 2019+1.2%-3.7%-9.7%
Q3 2019+22.1%+25.6%+27.3%
Q2 2019-5.8%-5.5%-14.4%
Q1 2019+0.4%+1.8%-6.4%
Q4 2018-6.4%+0.9%+4.9%
Q3 2018+1.1%+13.2%+7.5%
Q2 2018+2.2%+14.4%+23.3%
Q1 2018+11.3%-4.2%+9.9%
Q4 2017+17.6%+20.8%+27.5%
Q3 2017+29.8%+33.3%+52.6%
Q2 2017+2.5%+0.0%-17.5%
Q1 2017-8.2%-12.9%-12.9%
Q4 2016+7.3%+6.4%+7.3%
Q3 2016-9.1%+2.0%+4.0%
Q2 2016+21.2%+27.9%+54.6%
Q1 2016-6.3%
Q4 2015-1.9%
Q3 2015-0.7%
Q2 2015-8.5%
Q1 2015-4.8%
Q4 2014+8.7%
Q3 2014-0.3%
Q2 2014-9.0%
Q1 2014+8.1%
Q4 2013+0.3%
Q3 2013-3.1%
Q2 2013+8.5%
Q1 2013-1.7%
Q4 2012-5.3%
Q3 2012-1.0%
Q2 2012-0.9%
Q1 2012+3.6%
Q4 2008-4.7%
Q4 2011-4.7%
Q3 2011-4.5%
Q2 2011+2.1%
Q1 2011-1.9%
Q1 2010-0.3%
Q4 2010-0.3%
Q3 2010+0.4%
Q3 2009+0.4%
Q2 2010-8.1%
Q2 2009-8.1%

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