NASDAQ$HLIT

Harmonic Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Harmonic's Q4 2020 results reflected the competitive advantages and complementary strengths of its Cable Access and Video segments.

Harmonic Inc. reported Q4 2020 revenue of $131.5 million, up 7.7% year over year. GAAP net income was $13.5 million, or $0.13 per share, and non-GAAP net income was $20.0 million, or $0.20 per share. Bookings were up 105% quarter over quarter.

  • Revenue was up 7.7% year over year.
  • Bookings were up 105% quarter over quarter
  • Cable Access segment revenue was up 5.8% year over year.
  • Video segment revenue was up 8.7% year over year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$132M

Previous: $122M+7.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.20

Previous: $0.12+66.7%
Non-GAAP Gross Margin

55.3%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$6.03M

Previous: $5.36M+12.6%
Free Cash Flow

$35.6M

No prior period
Net Income

$13.5M

Previous: $5.57M+142.4%
Operating Income

$16.8M

Previous: $6.71M+150.5%
Gross Profit

$71.6M

Previous: $61.7M+16.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$98.6M

No prior period
Total Assets

$592M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$4.3M

Previous: $3.36M+28.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Harmonic · Revenue · Quarterly

$132M

Q4 2020+7.7%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Harmonic provided GAAP financial guidance for Q1 2021 with net revenue between $97.0 million and $107.0 million and EPS between $(0.12) and $(0.07). They also provided 2021 full year guidance with net revenue between $430.0 million and $465.0 million and EPS between $(0.26) and $(0.02).

Tailwinds

  • Q1 2021 Net revenue is expected to be between $97.0 million and $107.0 million
  • Q1 2021 Video revenue is expected to be between $61.0 million and $66.0 million
  • Q1 2021 Cable Access revenue is expected to be between $36.0 million and $41.0 million
  • 2021 Net revenue is expected to be between $430.0 million and $465.0 million
  • 2021 Video revenue is expected to be between $260.0 million and $275.0 million

Headwinds

  • Q1 2021 Operating income (loss) is expected to be between $(9.0) million and $(4.0) million
  • Q1 2021 EPS is expected to be between $(0.12) and $(0.07)
  • Q1 2021 Cash is expected to be between $85.0 million and $95.0 million
  • 2021 Operating income (loss) is expected to be between $(12.5) million and $12.5 million
  • 2021 EPS is expected to be between $(0.26) and $(0.02)

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.5%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

32 / 68 earnings

Positive

+29.8%

Q3 2017

Best reaction

-24.9%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.8%-2.4%+13.1%
Q4 2025+1.7%-3.6%-16.1%
Q3 2025-2.1%-6.2%-10.2%
Q2 2025+4.1%+2.5%+15.7%
Q1 2025+1.3%-3.3%-1.3%
Q4 2024-15.3%-9.5%-7.4%
Q3 2024-24.9%-25.8%-15.0%
Q2 2024+18.3%+15.6%+18.4%
Q1 2024+16.7%+19.1%+28.6%
Q4 2023+5.3%+16.8%+14.7%
Q3 2023+9.1%+9.9%+12.5%
Q2 2023-22.2%-26.0%-28.4%
Q1 2023+20.1%+20.5%+34.0%
Q4 2022-10.7%-3.1%-11.5%
Q3 2022-11.3%-10.9%-2.0%
Q2 2022-0.4%+3.8%+3.1%
Q1 2022+17.0%+10.4%+19.8%
Q4 2021-10.7%-9.1%-10.4%
Q3 2021+15.8%+18.4%+16.1%
Q2 2021+20.1%+13.0%+4.0%
Q1 2021-9.8%-7.3%-10.0%
Q4 2020+1.7%-1.5%+4.6%
Q3 2020-8.6%-16.0%-4.7%
Q2 2020+25.8%+19.2%+7.3%
Q1 2020-15.4%-14.5%-12.4%
Q4 2019+1.2%-3.7%-9.7%
Q3 2019+22.1%+25.6%+27.3%
Q2 2019-5.8%-5.5%-14.4%
Q1 2019+0.4%+1.8%-6.4%
Q4 2018-6.4%+0.9%+4.9%
Q3 2018+1.1%+13.2%+7.5%
Q2 2018+2.2%+14.4%+23.3%
Q1 2018+11.3%-4.2%+9.9%
Q4 2017+17.6%+20.8%+27.5%
Q3 2017+29.8%+33.3%+52.6%
Q2 2017+2.5%+0.0%-17.5%
Q1 2017-8.2%-12.9%-12.9%
Q4 2016+7.3%+6.4%+7.3%
Q3 2016-9.1%+2.0%+4.0%
Q2 2016+21.2%+27.9%+54.6%
Q1 2016-6.3%
Q4 2015-1.9%
Q3 2015-0.7%
Q2 2015-8.5%
Q1 2015-4.8%
Q4 2014+8.7%
Q3 2014-0.3%
Q2 2014-9.0%
Q1 2014+8.1%
Q4 2013+0.3%
Q3 2013-3.1%
Q2 2013+8.5%
Q1 2013-1.7%
Q4 2012-5.3%
Q3 2012-1.0%
Q2 2012-0.9%
Q1 2012+3.6%
Q4 2008-4.7%
Q4 2011-4.7%
Q3 2011-4.5%
Q2 2011+2.1%
Q1 2011-1.9%
Q1 2010-0.3%
Q4 2010-0.3%
Q3 2010+0.4%
Q3 2009+0.4%
Q2 2010-8.1%
Q2 2009-8.1%

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