NASDAQ$GOCO

GoHealth Inc · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong third quarter results, driven by revenue growth and efficient scaling, and increased the full year outlook for 2020.

GoHealth reported a strong third quarter with a 52% increase in net revenues to $163.4 million and a 142% increase in adjusted EBITDA to $39.3 million. The company also updated its full year 2020 outlook, expecting net revenues of $850-$890 million and adjusted EBITDA of $270-$290 million.

  • Third quarter net revenues increased by 52% year-over-year to $163.4 million.
  • Third quarter net loss was $206.5 million, including $209.3 million of accelerated vesting of equity awards related to the IPO.
  • Third quarter adjusted EBITDA increased by 142% year-over-year to $39.3 million.
  • The company increased its full year 2020 outlook, projecting net revenues of $850-$890 million and adjusted EBITDA of $270-$290 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$163M

No prior period
EPS (adj)

-$9.75

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$56.4M

No prior period
Net Income

-$56.4M

No prior period
Operating Income

-$198M

No prior period
Gross Profit

$138M

No prior period
Cash & Equivalents

$295M

No prior period
Total Assets

$1.94B

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$212M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

GoHealth · Revenue · Quarterly

$163M

Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 7 of 12 quarters(58%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

GoHealth · $11.9M total across 4 segments · Q1 2026

  • Medicare Agency Revenue
    $9.8M
  • Other Non-Agency Revenue
    $1.76M
  • Medicare Non-Agency Revenue
    $200K
  • Other Agency Revenue
    $155K

Forward guidance

GoHealth updated its outlook for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2020 based on current market conditions and expectations. Full year 2020 net revenue of $850 - $890 million, representing year-over-year growth of 58% - 65%. Full year 2020 adjusted EBITDA of $270 - $290 million, representing year-over-year growth of 58% - 70%

Tailwinds

  • Robust start to the Annual Enrollment Period
  • October submissions up 83% over the prior October
  • Medicare market is large and growing quickly
  • Realizing long-term growth opportunity
  • Creating value for partners and delivering great results for shareholders

Headwinds

  • Trajectory of the US economy remains challenging to predict
  • Heightened uncertainty associated with the COVID-19 pandemic
  • Ability to comply with the numerous, complex and frequently changing laws regulating the marketing and sale of Medicare plans
  • Potential for an adverse change in relationships with carriers, including a loss of a carrier relationships
  • Inability to effectively advertise the Company’s products

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

-7.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-9.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-6.6%

Avg return

30 days after

26%

6 / 23 earnings

Positive

+32.2%

Q1 2023

Best reaction

-45.5%

Q2 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.5%-23.4%
Q3 2025-24.4%-32.0%-12.8%
Q2 2025-9.0%-7.6%-23.8%
Q1 2025-0.6%-17.4%-21.4%
Q4 2024-14.4%-14.9%-32.8%
Q3 2024-6.6%-0.4%-15.4%
Q2 2024-21.4%-28.3%-34.0%
Q1 2024-8.0%-11.1%+2.2%
Q4 2023-13.0%-25.7%-27.0%
Q3 2023+2.3%+6.7%+7.4%
Q2 2023+6.8%+6.3%-17.2%
Q1 2023+32.2%+44.8%+99.5%
Q4 2022-19.9%-6.2%-18.5%
Q3 2022-16.7%-9.4%+95.3%
Q2 2022-31.5%-43.3%-57.0%
Q1 2022+11.1%+4.9%+6.5%
Q4 2021+23.7%+37.7%-9.8%
Q3 2021+1.1%-4.7%-18.1%
Q2 2021-45.5%-42.2%-34.7%
Q1 2021-2.7%-5.6%-4.0%
Q4 2020-14.9%-16.9%-4.1%
Q3 2020-14.9%-15.1%+1.8%
Q2 2020-10.5%-18.5%-27.1%
Q1 2020
Q4 2019
Q2 2019
Q1 2019

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