NASDAQ$GH

Guardant Health Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported a revenue increase of 34% driven by clinical and biopharma volume and Guardant360 ASP tailwinds.

Guardant Health reported a 34% increase in revenue for Q3 2024, reaching $191.5 million, driven by strong clinical and biopharma volume and Guardant360 ASP tailwinds. The company raised its 2024 annual revenue guidance to $720 to $725 million and improved its free cash flow to $(55) million. Shield received favorable Medicare pricing of $920.

  • Revenue increased by 34% to $191.5 million compared to Q3 2023.
  • Clinical tests (excluding Shield) increased by 21% and biopharma tests increased by 40% compared to Q3 2023.
  • Guardant360 ASP exceeded $3,000.
  • 2024 annual revenue guidance raised to $720 to $725 million, representing 28% to 29% growth.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$191M

Previous: $143M+33.9%
EPS

-$0.88

Previous: -$0.67-31.3%
Oncology Test Volume

52.9K

No prior period
Non-GAAP Gross Margin

63.0%

No prior period
GAAP Gross Margin

61.0%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$16.2M

Previous: -$16.4M+1.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$124M

Previous: -$103M-20.9%
Net Income

-$108M

Previous: -$86.1M-25.1%
Operating Income

-$117M

Previous: -$114M-3.3%
Gross Profit

$191M

Previous: $143M+33.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$585M

Previous: $457M+27.9%
Total Assets

$1.54B

Previous: $1.8B-14.4%
R&D Expense

$87.3M

Previous: $93.4M-6.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$49.8M

Previous: $21.8M+128.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Guardant Health · Revenue · Quarterly

$191M

Q3 2024+33.9%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 14 of 15 quarters(93%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Guardant Health · $133M total across 1 segment · Q3 2023

  • Oncology Revenue
    $133M+30.7%

Forward guidance

Guardant Health now expects full year 2024 revenue to be in the range of $720 to $725 million, representing growth of 28% to 29% compared to full year 2023. Guardant Health continues to expect full year 2024 non-GAAP gross margin excluding screening to be in the range of 61% to 63% and total non-GAAP operating expenses to be in the range of $720 to $730 million, representing a flat to 1% decrease compared to 2023. Guardant Health now expects free cash flow to be in the range of $(265) to $(275) million in 2024, representing an improvement of $70 million to $80 million compared to 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue growth of 28% to 29% expected for full year 2024.
  • Non-GAAP gross margin excluding screening expected to be in the range of 61% to 63%.
  • Total non-GAAP operating expenses expected to decrease flat to 1% compared to 2023.
  • Free cash flow expected to improve by $70 million to $80 million compared to 2023.
  • Revenue expected between $720 to $725 million.

Headwinds

  • Free cash flow to be in the range of $(265) to $(275) million in 2024.
  • Non-GAAP operating expenses expected to be in the range of $720 to $730 million.
  • Still expecting a loss on free cash flow.
  • Still expecting a loss on Non-GAAP net income.
  • No positive EPS guidance given.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+3.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.9%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

18 / 30 earnings

Positive

+41.3%

Q4 2018

Best reaction

-30.0%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+4.3%+6.6%+36.1%
Q4 2025-3.0%-10.4%-19.9%
Q3 2025+28.5%+35.8%+50.0%
Q1 2025+3.5%-11.2%-14.0%
Q4 2024-9.6%-8.9%-2.7%
Q3 2024+21.6%+24.8%+56.8%
Q2 2024-5.9%-5.3%-26.2%
Q1 2024+20.0%+32.7%+53.8%
Q4 2023-14.3%-13.8%-23.9%
Q3 2023-8.5%-24.7%-10.2%
Q2 2023+4.6%+1.9%-3.1%
Q1 2023+17.2%+12.1%+38.5%
Q4 2022+4.4%+11.7%-12.6%
Q3 2022+3.3%-3.1%+17.5%
Q2 2022+1.6%-6.0%+2.0%
Q1 2022-30.0%-44.3%-32.3%
Q4 2021+6.0%+7.0%-4.3%
Q3 2021-3.8%-5.8%-20.8%
Q2 2021+0.2%-7.7%+15.7%
Q1 2021-3.1%-14.0%-15.8%
Q4 2020-6.7%-5.0%-15.3%
Q3 2020-0.4%-1.1%+9.0%
Q2 2020+0.6%-4.0%+6.8%
Q1 2020+9.0%+19.6%+2.9%
Q4 2019-14.7%-2.1%-25.9%
Q3 2019+11.2%+13.8%+14.4%
Q2 2019+25.8%+18.2%-5.2%
Q1 2019+17.4%+12.0%+40.3%
Q4 2018+41.3%+46.6%+7.9%
Q3 2018-6.7%+3.1%-2.7%
Q2 2018
Q1 2018
Q4 2017
Q3 2017
Q2 2017
Q1 2017

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