NASDAQ$FAST

Fastenal Company · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported annual and fourth quarter earnings.

Fastenal Company reported a 6.4% increase in net sales for the fourth quarter of 2020 compared to the fourth quarter of 2019, driven by higher unit sales of safety and janitorial products. Diluted net earnings per share increased by 9.6% to $0.34.

  • Net sales increased by 6.4% due to higher unit sales of safety and janitorial products.
  • Daily sales of fastener products declined by 2.3%, while safety products grew by 34.6%.
  • Gross profit margin declined by 130 basis points to 45.6%, primarily due to lower product margins in the safety product line and changes in product and customer mix.
  • Operating income margin increased to 19.5% from 18.7% due to leveraged employee, occupancy, and general corporate expenses.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.36B

Previous: $1.28B+6.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.34

Previous: $0.31+9.7%
Non-Residential Const.

$21.6M

Previous: $3.23K+669045.0%
Capital Expenditures

$44.6M

Previous: $62.1M-28.2%
Free Cash Flow

$276M

Previous: $190M+45.2%
Net Income

$196M

Previous: $179M+9.7%
Operating Income

$264M

Previous: $239M+10.7%
Gross Profit

$619M

Previous: $598M+3.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$246M

Previous: $175M+40.5%
Total Assets

$3.96B

Previous: $3.8B+4.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.4M

Previous: $1.4M+0.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Fastenal · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.36B

Q4 2020+6.3%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Fastenal · $419M total across 1 segment · Q4 2020

  • Fastener Products
    $419M

Forward guidance

Fastenal anticipates weighted FMI device signings to be in a range of 23,000 to 25,000 MEUs in 2021. The goal for Onsite signings in 2021 is 375 to 400. Net capital expenditures in 2021 to be within a range of $170.0 to $200.0.

Tailwinds

  • Weighted FMI device signings are anticipated to be in a range of 23,000 to 25,000 MEUs in 2021, compared to actual signings of 15,724 in 2020 and 20,593 in 2019.
  • The goal for Onsite signings in 2021 is 375 to 400.
  • Net capital expenditures in 2021 are expected to be within a range of $170.0 to $200.0.
  • Strong collections at year end mitigating the rate of growth.
  • Internal initiatives to streamline inventory levels.

Headwinds

  • Achieving the Onsite signings range will likely require some normalization in the business environment that allows customers to prioritize long-term strategic decision-making over short-term crisis management.
  • Softer demand on our customers' working capital needs.
  • Lower Onsite and vending signings.
  • Deferral of payroll taxes resulting from the CARES Act.
  • Higher maintenance spending across most tracked categories following tighter spending control in 2020.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.0%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

32 / 69 earnings

Positive

+14.2%

Q3 2019

Best reaction

-9.5%

Q1 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.5%-6.9%-12.2%
Q4 2025-2.5%+0.3%+5.6%
Q3 2025-7.6%-7.3%-10.5%
Q2 2025-1.1%+1.4%-3.6%
Q1 2025+6.4%+6.1%+3.7%
Q4 2024+1.8%+1.1%+0.0%
Q3 2024+9.6%+11.1%+19.1%
Q2 2024+5.7%+9.1%+3.5%
Q1 2024-5.7%-8.0%-9.2%
Q4 2023+9.4%+9.7%+10.8%
Q3 2023+7.3%+7.2%+7.1%
Q2 2023-2.1%-3.3%-2.2%
Q1 2023+1.4%+2.5%+4.2%
Q4 2022+3.1%+4.3%+12.4%
Q3 2022-3.9%+4.0%+13.4%
Q2 2022-5.3%-4.2%+11.6%
Q1 2022-2.9%-4.7%-8.7%
Q4 2021-3.8%-1.6%-12.3%
Q3 2021+2.7%+6.7%+13.5%
Q2 2021-1.5%-0.8%+2.4%
Q1 2021-1.3%-0.3%+5.0%
Q4 2020-4.5%-4.5%-6.3%
Q3 2020-5.6%-5.0%-2.7%
Q2 2020+1.5%+1.9%+10.7%
Q1 2020+7.1%+11.3%+19.9%
Q4 2019-4.0%-3.7%+2.7%
Q3 2019+14.2%+14.8%+19.5%
Q2 2019-1.0%+0.1%-4.8%
Q1 2019+6.9%+6.6%+0.7%
Q4 2018+9.7%+9.2%+16.4%
Q3 2018-7.9%-5.3%-1.6%
Q2 2018+11.7%+11.9%+16.5%
Q1 2018-6.8%-6.9%-4.9%
Q4 2017-3.9%-2.0%-1.2%
Q3 2017+2.4%+5.3%+6.1%
Q2 2017-1.0%-2.5%-2.2%
Q1 2017-9.5%-9.0%-11.1%
Q4 2016+4.8%+5.6%+5.1%
Q3 2016-7.3%-9.0%+6.6%
Q2 2016-4.5%-4.2%-4.2%
Q1 2016-2.4%
Q4 2015-6.3%
Q3 2015-2.5%
Q2 2015-3.1%
Q1 2015+3.3%
Q4 2014+0.7%
Q3 2014-7.7%
Q2 2014-5.5%
Q1 2014-0.6%
Q4 2013-3.2%
Q3 2013-4.1%
Q2 2013-1.1%
Q1 2013-4.1%
Q4 2012+3.4%
Q3 2012+7.1%
Q2 2012+8.6%
Q1 2012+1.1%
Q4 2011-0.9%
Q3 2011+6.9%
Q2 2011+0.2%
Q1 2011+2.1%
Q4 2010+1.4%
Q3 2010+0.9%
Q2 2010+2.2%
Q1 2009-2.8%
Q1 2010+0.2%
Q4 2009+0.8%
Q3 2009-2.6%
Q2 2009+0.7%

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