NASDAQ$FAST

Fastenal Company · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Fastenal's fourth quarter earnings increased due to growth drivers, but were impacted by economic slowdown and holiday timing.

Fastenal Company reported a 3.7% increase in net sales for the fourth quarter of 2019 compared to the fourth quarter of 2018, driven by higher unit sales from industrial vending and Onsite locations. However, the company experienced a general slowing in economic activity, exacerbated by holiday timing and plant shutdowns, which impacted gross profit and operating income.

  • Net sales increased by 3.7% compared to Q4 2018, driven by industrial vending and Onsite locations.
  • Daily sales through vending devices grew at a low double-digit pace.
  • Daily sales to national account customers grew 8.2% and represented 54.8% of total revenues.
  • The company signed 5,144 industrial vending devices and 79 new Onsite locations during the quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.28B

Previous: $1.23B+3.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.31

Previous: $0.30+3.3%
Non-Residential Const.

$3.23K

Previous: $3.12K+3.4%
Capital Expenditures

$62.1M

Previous: $79.2M-21.6%
Free Cash Flow

$190M

Previous: $98.8M+92.6%
Net Income

$179M

Previous: $169M+5.9%
Operating Income

$239M

Previous: $233M+2.4%
Gross Profit

$598M

Previous: $588M+1.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$175M

Previous: $167M+4.6%
Total Assets

$3.8B

Previous: $3.32B+14.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.4M

Previous: $1.3M+7.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Fastenal · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.28B

Q4 2019+3.7%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Fastenal · $461M total across 1 segment · Q1 2021

  • Fastener Products
    $461M+2.3%

Forward guidance

Fastenal anticipates continued growth through vending and Onsite locations with focus on expense control.

Tailwinds

  • Vending device signings goal for 2020 is 22,000 to 24,000 units.
  • Onsite signings goal for 2020 is 375 to 400 locations.
  • Expects net capital expenditures in 2020 to be within a range of $180.0 to $205.0.
  • Continue to invest in the inventory necessary to support our vending and Onsite initiatives.
  • Our in-market network forms the foundation of our business strategy, and we will continue to open or close locations as is deemed necessary to sustain and improve our network, support our growth drivers, and manage our operating expenses.

Headwinds

  • General slowing in economic activity.
  • Holiday timing and longer than usual year-end plant shutdowns.
  • These two channels have a lower gross margin, due to customer and product mix, when compared to the company average.
  • Weaker business conditions resulted in lower freight revenues, even as the overall cost of our fleet assets is relatively stable.
  • The number of closings reflects both normal churn in our business, whether due to exiting customer relationships, the shutting or relocation of a customer facility, or a customer decision, as well as a review of certain underperforming locations.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.0%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

32 / 69 earnings

Positive

+14.2%

Q3 2019

Best reaction

-9.5%

Q1 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.5%-6.9%-12.2%
Q4 2025-2.5%+0.3%+5.6%
Q3 2025-7.6%-7.3%-10.5%
Q2 2025-1.1%+1.4%-3.6%
Q1 2025+6.4%+6.1%+3.7%
Q4 2024+1.8%+1.1%+0.0%
Q3 2024+9.6%+11.1%+19.1%
Q2 2024+5.7%+9.1%+3.5%
Q1 2024-5.7%-8.0%-9.2%
Q4 2023+9.4%+9.7%+10.8%
Q3 2023+7.3%+7.2%+7.1%
Q2 2023-2.1%-3.3%-2.2%
Q1 2023+1.4%+2.5%+4.2%
Q4 2022+3.1%+4.3%+12.4%
Q3 2022-3.9%+4.0%+13.4%
Q2 2022-5.3%-4.2%+11.6%
Q1 2022-2.9%-4.7%-8.7%
Q4 2021-3.8%-1.6%-12.3%
Q3 2021+2.7%+6.7%+13.5%
Q2 2021-1.5%-0.8%+2.4%
Q1 2021-1.3%-0.3%+5.0%
Q4 2020-4.5%-4.5%-6.3%
Q3 2020-5.6%-5.0%-2.7%
Q2 2020+1.5%+1.9%+10.7%
Q1 2020+7.1%+11.3%+19.9%
Q4 2019-4.0%-3.7%+2.7%
Q3 2019+14.2%+14.8%+19.5%
Q2 2019-1.0%+0.1%-4.8%
Q1 2019+6.9%+6.6%+0.7%
Q4 2018+9.7%+9.2%+16.4%
Q3 2018-7.9%-5.3%-1.6%
Q2 2018+11.7%+11.9%+16.5%
Q1 2018-6.8%-6.9%-4.9%
Q4 2017-3.9%-2.0%-1.2%
Q3 2017+2.4%+5.3%+6.1%
Q2 2017-1.0%-2.5%-2.2%
Q1 2017-9.5%-9.0%-11.1%
Q4 2016+4.8%+5.6%+5.1%
Q3 2016-7.3%-9.0%+6.6%
Q2 2016-4.5%-4.2%-4.2%
Q1 2016-2.4%
Q4 2015-6.3%
Q3 2015-2.5%
Q2 2015-3.1%
Q1 2015+3.3%
Q4 2014+0.7%
Q3 2014-7.7%
Q2 2014-5.5%
Q1 2014-0.6%
Q4 2013-3.2%
Q3 2013-4.1%
Q2 2013-1.1%
Q1 2013-4.1%
Q4 2012+3.4%
Q3 2012+7.1%
Q2 2012+8.6%
Q1 2012+1.1%
Q4 2011-0.9%
Q3 2011+6.9%
Q2 2011+0.2%
Q1 2011+2.1%
Q4 2010+1.4%
Q3 2010+0.9%
Q2 2010+2.2%
Q1 2009-2.8%
Q1 2010+0.2%
Q4 2009+0.8%
Q3 2009-2.6%
Q2 2009+0.7%

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