NASDAQ$DNLI

Denali Therapeutics Inc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Denali Therapeutics experienced a net loss, decreased collaboration revenue, and increased research and development expenses.

Denali Therapeutics reported a net loss for the quarter ended December 31, 2019, compared to net income for the same period in 2018. There was a decrease in collaboration revenue and an increase in research and development expenses.

  • Net loss of $54.0 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2019, compared to net income of $77.5 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2018.
  • Collaboration revenue was $4.7 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2019, compared to $125.7 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2018.
  • Total research and development expenses were $51.6 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2019, compared to $39.9 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2018.
  • Cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities were $455.2 million as of December 31, 2019.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.67M

Previous: $126M-96.3%
EPS (adj)

-$0.56

Previous: $0.79-170.9%
Capital Expenditures

$2.77M

Previous: $1.44M+93.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$50.4M

Previous: $91.7M-155.0%
Net Income

-$54M

Previous: $77.5M-169.7%
Operating Income

-$57.8M

Previous: $74.7M-177.3%
Gross Profit

-$46.9M

Previous: $85.8M-154.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$79.4M

Previous: $77.1M+3.0%
Total Assets

$553M

Previous: $662M-16.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$8.89M

Previous: $5.65M+57.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Denali Therapeutics · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.67M

Q4 2019-96.3%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Denali expects key milestones in 2020, including advancing its LRRK2 program into late stage clinical testing and establishing clinical biomarker proof-of-concept with its first large molecule program, ETV:IDS (DNL310) in Hunter syndrome.

Tailwinds

  • Advancing LRRK2 program into late stage clinical testing.
  • Establishing clinical biomarker proof-of-concept with ETV:IDS (DNL310) in Hunter syndrome.
  • Initiating a Phase 1/2 study for DNL310 in Hunter syndrome patients in the first half of 2020.
  • Positive results from a Phase 1b study with DNL201 in patients with Parkinson’s disease.
  • Commenced dosing of its small molecule activator of EIF2B, DNL343, in healthy volunteers.

Headwinds

  • Early stages of clinical drug development.
  • Ability to complete the development and, if approved, commercialization of its product candidates.
  • Risk of the occurrence of any event, change or other circumstance that could give rise to the termination of Denali’s collaboration agreements.
  • Dependence on successful development of its BBB platform technology.
  • Ability to conduct or complete clinical trials on expected timelines.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.3%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

14 / 32 earnings

Positive

+19.7%

Q4 2023

Best reaction

-13.7%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025-1.0%-4.9%-15.2%
Q3 2025-3.2%+18.1%+34.0%
Q1 2025+1.0%-0.9%+6.1%
Q4 2024-1.5%-15.6%-21.8%
Q3 2024+7.1%+14.2%-10.0%
Q2 2024-10.3%-9.7%+0.3%
Q1 2024+10.3%+6.8%+24.3%
Q4 2023+19.7%+23.5%+21.5%
Q3 2023-2.7%-21.8%-9.7%
Q2 2023-5.2%-7.6%-7.3%
Q1 2023+3.0%+5.4%+16.1%
Q4 2022+4.8%+7.3%-10.9%
Q3 2022-7.8%-10.3%+6.2%
Q2 2022+4.6%+6.6%-17.5%
Q1 2022-13.7%-14.0%-8.5%
Q4 2021-2.8%-7.8%-1.9%
Q3 2021+3.5%-0.4%-19.9%
Q2 2021+3.5%+4.6%+6.6%
Q1 2021-8.0%-10.2%+5.5%
Q4 2020+7.5%-5.8%-17.2%
Q3 2020+5.2%+16.3%+40.8%
Q2 2020+6.1%-5.4%-2.5%
Q1 2020-5.5%-5.7%+2.6%
Q4 2019-8.6%-10.0%-12.5%
Q3 2019-6.1%-10.1%+10.5%
Q2 2019+0.6%+5.4%-4.2%
Q1 2019-4.8%-11.4%-18.9%
Q4 2018+11.7%+12.0%+26.4%
Q3 2018-4.0%-0.6%+12.7%
Q2 2018-0.5%-0.7%+17.0%
Q4 2017-4.8%-5.1%+2.2%
Q1 2018-8.8%-8.0%-12.4%
Q3 2017
Q2 2017
Q1 2017
Q4 2016
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016

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