NASDAQ$DIOD

Diodes Incorporated · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Diodes reported record organic revenue driven by market share gains and record automotive and Pericom products revenue.

Diodes Incorporated reported record fourth-quarter revenue of $350.4 million, including $16.9 million from the acquisition of Lite-On Semiconductor (LSC). GAAP net income was $29.7 million, or $0.59 per diluted share, while non-GAAP adjusted net income was $37.3 million, or $0.74 per diluted share. The LSC business contributed $0.02 per share on a non-GAAP basis.

  • Achieved the highest quarterly revenue in the Company’s history, even when excluding the revenue contribution from the acquisition of Lite-On Semiconductor.
  • Total organic revenue grew 7.8% sequentially and 10.7% year-over-year.
  • Revenue from Pericom products and the automotive market reached record levels.
  • The LSC business was immediately accretive, adding $0.02 per share on a non-GAAP basis.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$350M

Previous: $301M+16.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.74

Previous: $0.65+13.8%
EBITDA

$67.1M

Previous: $88.3M-24.0%
Capital Expenditures

$27.3M

Previous: $22.4M+22.1%
Free Cash Flow

$33.5M

Previous: $29.7M+12.8%
Net Income

$29.7M

Previous: $47.2M-37.0%
Operating Income

$39.8M

Previous: $61.3M-35.1%
Gross Profit

$123M

Previous: $109M+12.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$268M

Previous: $258M+3.7%
Total Assets

$1.98B

Previous: $1.64B+20.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$6.58M

Previous: $5.17M+27.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Diodes · Revenue · Quarterly

$350M

Q4 2020+16.3%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

For the first quarter of 2021, the company expects revenue to increase to approximately $400 million, plus or minus 3 percent. GAAP gross margin on a consolidated basis is expected to be 33.6 percent, plus or minus 1 percent. Non-GAAP operating expenses are expected to be approximately 22.0 percent of revenue, plus or minus 1 percent. Net interest expense is expected to be approximately $3.3 million. The income tax rate is expected to be 18 percent, plus or minus 3 percent, and shares used to calculate diluted EPS are anticipated to be approximately 45.7 million.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue is expected to increase to approximately $400 million, plus or minus 3 percent.
  • This guidance represents organic growth significantly better than typical seasonality of sequentially down 5 percent on average in the same prior two-year periods.
  • GAAP gross margin on a consolidated basis is expected to be 33.6 percent, plus or minus 1 percent.
  • Non-GAAP operating expenses are expected to be approximately 22.0 percent of revenue, plus or minus 1 percent.
  • Shares used to calculate diluted EPS for the first quarter are anticipated to be approximately 45.7 million.

Headwinds

  • GAAP gross margin includes an approximately 3 percent impact due to a full quarter of LSC.
  • Expected net interest expense of approximately $3.3 million.
  • Expected income tax rate of 18 percent, plus or minus 3 percent.
  • Purchase accounting adjustments related to amortization of acquisition-related intangible assets of $3.3 million, after tax, for Pericom and previous acquisitions is not included in these non-GAAP estimates.
  • The COVID-19 pandemic may continue and have a material adverse effect on customer demand and staffing of our production, sales and administration facilities.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

34 / 68 earnings

Positive

+26.4%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-14.9%

Q3 2011

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.2%-9.4%-10.2%
Q4 2025+26.4%+15.2%+3.5%
Q3 2025-14.5%-9.7%+1.5%
Q1 2025+12.1%+22.0%+23.7%
Q4 2024+3.1%+4.9%-9.7%
Q3 2024+0.1%-8.4%-5.3%
Q2 2024+9.4%+11.7%+3.6%
Q1 2024-7.0%-3.0%-4.1%
Q4 2023-1.0%+3.8%+5.2%
Q3 2023-10.9%-6.9%+5.7%
Q2 2023-7.0%-8.4%-10.1%
Q1 2023+3.0%+2.2%+9.3%
Q4 2022+1.3%+3.4%+1.2%
Q3 2022+5.8%+16.0%+21.4%
Q2 2022-3.0%-9.1%-18.5%
Q1 2022-0.2%-5.6%-0.6%
Q4 2021-0.7%-5.7%-12.2%
Q3 2021+4.5%+7.1%+7.4%
Q2 2021+4.2%+3.8%+12.4%
Q1 2021+2.7%-1.4%+5.7%
Q4 2020-0.2%+2.4%+3.5%
Q3 2020-0.3%+2.2%+8.7%
Q2 2020-0.4%-0.7%-8.0%
Q1 2020-12.2%-13.2%+1.4%
Q4 2019+7.6%+0.7%-31.5%
Q3 2019-3.3%-5.0%-2.7%
Q2 2019-2.9%-5.3%-9.7%
Q1 2019+8.3%+5.1%-8.8%
Q4 2018+12.1%+16.1%+3.9%
Q3 2018+14.7%+11.4%+6.1%
Q2 2018+4.1%+2.6%-3.2%
Q1 2018+11.7%+8.8%+22.0%
Q4 2017+2.4%+5.6%+15.4%
Q3 2017-7.5%-9.4%-18.8%
Q2 2017+0.6%-0.2%+2.8%
Q1 2017+9.4%+13.1%+17.7%
Q4 2016+5.4%+4.6%-0.7%
Q3 2016-5.1%+1.7%+19.2%
Q2 2016+3.4%+5.5%+11.9%
Q1 2016+6.7%
Q4 2015-4.0%
Q3 2015-10.2%
Q2 2015-5.0%
Q1 2015-1.0%
Q4 2014-1.0%
Q3 2014-2.0%
Q2 2014-2.6%
Q1 2014+1.5%
Q4 2013+8.6%
Q3 2013-9.9%
Q2 2013-10.3%
Q1 2013+10.3%
Q4 2012+8.7%
Q3 2012-11.0%
Q2 2012-2.7%
Q1 2012-7.2%
Q4 2011-1.6%
Q3 2011-14.9%
Q2 2011+7.9%
Q1 2010-8.5%
Q1 2011+0.5%
Q4 2008-1.7%
Q4 2010-1.7%
Q3 2009+3.4%
Q3 2010+3.4%
Q2 2009+5.4%
Q4 2009+5.4%
Q2 2010+5.4%

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