NASDAQ$DIOD

Diodes Incorporated · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Diodes reported a decrease in revenue but an increase in net income for Q4 2019.

Diodes Incorporated reported fourth-quarter revenue of $301.2 million, a decrease from $314.4 million in Q4 2018. However, GAAP net income increased to $47.2 million, or $0.90 per diluted share, compared to $29.5 million, or $0.58 per diluted share, in the same quarter of the previous year. The company's EBITDA also improved to $88.3 million, or 29.3 percent of revenue, from $70.5 million, or 22.4 percent of revenue, in Q4 2018.

  • Revenue for Q4 2019 was $301.2 million, a decrease from $314.4 million in Q4 2018.
  • GAAP gross profit was $109.4 million, compared to $114.2 million in Q4 2018.
  • GAAP net income increased to $47.2 million, or $0.90 per diluted share, from $29.5 million, or $0.58 per diluted share, in Q4 2018.
  • EBITDA improved to $88.3 million, or 29.3 percent of revenue, from $70.5 million, or 22.4 percent of revenue, in Q4 2018.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$301M

Previous: $314M-4.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.65

Previous: $0.65+0.0%
EBITDA

$88.3M

Previous: $70.5M+25.3%
Capital Expenditures

$22.4M

Previous: $15.3M+45.8%
Free Cash Flow

$29.7M

Previous: $46.3M-35.8%
Net Income

$47.2M

Previous: $29.5M+59.9%
Operating Income

$61.3M

Previous: $43.9M+39.7%
Gross Profit

$109M

Previous: $114M-4.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$258M

Previous: $241M+7.2%
Total Assets

$1.64B

Previous: $1.53B+7.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.17M

Previous: $4.76M+8.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Diodes · Revenue · Quarterly

$301M

Q4 2019-4.2%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

For the first quarter of 2020, Diodes expects revenue to be approximately $290 million, plus or minus 3 percent, and GAAP gross margin to be 35.0 percent, plus or minus 1 percent. Non-GAAP operating expenses are expected to be approximately 22.5 percent of revenue, plus or minus 1 percent.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue is expected to be approximately $290 million, plus or minus 3 percent.
  • The revenue reduction of approximately 3.7 percent sequentially is better than typical seasonality.
  • GAAP gross margin is expected to be 35.0 percent, plus or minus 1 percent.
  • All production, including wafer fabs and assembly test facilities in China, resumed on February 10th.
  • Diodes does not have a manufacturing facility in the affected areas of Wuhan and Hubei province, as our primary facilities are located in Shanghai and Chengdu.

Headwinds

  • Guidance ranges reflect the delayed start to manufacturing production following the extended Chinese New Year holiday due to the coronavirus outbreak in China.
  • It will take longer to return to full production.
  • It is difficult to fully determine the potential impact to the supply chain or customer demand disruption resulting from the prevailing crisis.
  • Non-GAAP operating expenses are expected to be approximately 22.5 percent of revenue, plus or minus 1 percent.
  • Net interest expense is expected to be approximately $2.0 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

34 / 68 earnings

Positive

+26.4%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-14.9%

Q3 2011

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.2%-9.4%-10.2%
Q4 2025+26.4%+15.2%+3.5%
Q3 2025-14.5%-9.7%+1.5%
Q1 2025+12.1%+22.0%+23.7%
Q4 2024+3.1%+4.9%-9.7%
Q3 2024+0.1%-8.4%-5.3%
Q2 2024+9.4%+11.7%+3.6%
Q1 2024-7.0%-3.0%-4.1%
Q4 2023-1.0%+3.8%+5.2%
Q3 2023-10.9%-6.9%+5.7%
Q2 2023-7.0%-8.4%-10.1%
Q1 2023+3.0%+2.2%+9.3%
Q4 2022+1.3%+3.4%+1.2%
Q3 2022+5.8%+16.0%+21.4%
Q2 2022-3.0%-9.1%-18.5%
Q1 2022-0.2%-5.6%-0.6%
Q4 2021-0.7%-5.7%-12.2%
Q3 2021+4.5%+7.1%+7.4%
Q2 2021+4.2%+3.8%+12.4%
Q1 2021+2.7%-1.4%+5.7%
Q4 2020-0.2%+2.4%+3.5%
Q3 2020-0.3%+2.2%+8.7%
Q2 2020-0.4%-0.7%-8.0%
Q1 2020-12.2%-13.2%+1.4%
Q4 2019+7.6%+0.7%-31.5%
Q3 2019-3.3%-5.0%-2.7%
Q2 2019-2.9%-5.3%-9.7%
Q1 2019+8.3%+5.1%-8.8%
Q4 2018+12.1%+16.1%+3.9%
Q3 2018+14.7%+11.4%+6.1%
Q2 2018+4.1%+2.6%-3.2%
Q1 2018+11.7%+8.8%+22.0%
Q4 2017+2.4%+5.6%+15.4%
Q3 2017-7.5%-9.4%-18.8%
Q2 2017+0.6%-0.2%+2.8%
Q1 2017+9.4%+13.1%+17.7%
Q4 2016+5.4%+4.6%-0.7%
Q3 2016-5.1%+1.7%+19.2%
Q2 2016+3.4%+5.5%+11.9%
Q1 2016+6.7%
Q4 2015-4.0%
Q3 2015-10.2%
Q2 2015-5.0%
Q1 2015-1.0%
Q4 2014-1.0%
Q3 2014-2.0%
Q2 2014-2.6%
Q1 2014+1.5%
Q4 2013+8.6%
Q3 2013-9.9%
Q2 2013-10.3%
Q1 2013+10.3%
Q4 2012+8.7%
Q3 2012-11.0%
Q2 2012-2.7%
Q1 2012-7.2%
Q4 2011-1.6%
Q3 2011-14.9%
Q2 2011+7.9%
Q1 2010-8.5%
Q1 2011+0.5%
Q4 2008-1.7%
Q4 2010-1.7%
Q3 2009+3.4%
Q3 2010+3.4%
Q2 2009+5.4%
Q4 2009+5.4%
Q2 2010+5.4%

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