NASDAQ$CRMT

Americas Car-Mart Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

America’s Car-Mart reported earnings for Q3 2023, which reflected market share gains in a challenging used vehicle market and strategic investments for long-term growth.

America's Car-Mart reported a 2.7% increase in unit volumes due to market share gains, despite severe winter storms impacting sales. The company is focused on supporting customers and communities, with strategic reorganization and investments aimed at improving efficiencies and long-term profitability.

  • Unit volumes increased by 2.7% due to market share gains.
  • Gross profit totaled $92.5 million, with unit gross profits at $6,373.
  • Net charge-offs as a percent of average finance receivables were 5.9%.
  • Interest income increased by 31.0% to $51.1 million due to higher average finance receivables and interest rate increases.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$327M

Previous: $292M+11.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.23

Previous: $2.77-91.7%
Net charge-offs

$5.90

Previous: $5.30+11.3%
Gross Margin

147.0%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$22.1M

Previous: -$13.9M-59.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$20.6M

Previous: $4.89M-520.7%
Net Income

$1.51M

Previous: $18.8M-92.0%
Operating Income

$11.9M

Previous: -$87.2M+113.7%
Gross Profit

$144M

Previous: $135M+6.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$4.32M

Previous: $2.6M+66.0%
Total Assets

$1.38B

Previous: $1.04B+32.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.36M

Previous: $757K+79.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Car-Mart · Revenue · Quarterly

$327M

Q3 2023+11.9%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 14 quarters(64%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

America's Car-Mart anticipates improvements in volume productivity and gross margins, leveraging SG&A, and strategic acquisitions to generate historical levels of return on equity over the next three to five years. They expect capital expenditures to be approximately $15-20 million for fiscal year 2024.

Tailwinds

  • Expects to generate returns on equity at historical levels by increasing volume productivity.
  • Anticipates improving gross margins as a function of procurement initiatives.
  • Plans to leverage SG&A.
  • Pursuing acquisitions of well-operated dealerships.
  • Expects dealerships to be selling an average of 40-50 vehicles per month and eventually supporting an average of 1,000 or more active customers within the next three years.

Headwinds

  • Short-term operating conditions are difficult.
  • Severe winter storms disrupted operations in January, negatively impacting sales volumes by an estimated 300-400 units.
  • Many potential customers are sitting on the sidelines based on affordability.
  • Higher vehicle prices have resulted in longer contract term lengths.
  • Interest expense increased to $9.8 million due to higher borrowing levels and increased interest rates.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.9%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

37 / 66 earnings

Positive

+27.9%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-26.3%

Q1 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026+9.1%+75.5%
Q3 2026-8.0%-36.2%-41.8%
Q2 2026+10.9%+17.8%+3.9%
Q1 2026-18.0%-15.7%-31.5%
Q4 2025+0.0%-0.6%+22.8%
Q3 2025+15.9%+15.7%+13.8%
Q2 2025+17.4%+22.0%+7.7%
Q1 2025-11.6%-15.4%-29.0%
Q4 2024-2.8%-4.6%+7.0%
Q3 2024+5.6%+0.8%-5.2%
Q2 2024-21.3%-25.1%-21.1%
Q1 2024-16.5%-3.2%-4.6%
Q4 2023+0.1%-4.9%+5.9%
Q3 2023-7.0%-5.6%-15.0%
Q2 2023-4.9%-1.6%-1.1%
Q1 2023-26.3%-37.0%-44.6%
Q4 2022+27.9%+43.8%+24.7%
Q3 2022+8.0%-5.1%-8.8%
Q2 2022-10.0%-13.6%-14.8%
Q1 2022-20.1%-24.0%-26.4%
Q4 2021+8.7%+12.0%-3.3%
Q3 2021+4.0%+0.6%+17.1%
Q2 2021+7.5%+4.1%+15.2%
Q1 2021+5.8%+2.5%-11.3%
Q4 2020+9.1%+14.1%+23.8%
Q3 2020+6.7%-4.7%-66.7%
Q2 2020+14.0%+15.6%+24.2%
Q1 2020+3.5%-0.0%+6.2%
Q4 2019-8.7%-12.5%-14.7%
Q3 2019+3.4%+4.6%+6.0%
Q2 2019+16.4%+2.7%-2.2%
Q1 2019+25.6%+30.1%+27.3%
Q4 2018+14.7%+18.4%+23.4%
Q3 2018+3.8%+11.0%+7.7%
Q2 2018+11.3%+10.5%+5.0%
Q1 2018+1.9%+4.9%+8.7%
Q4 2017+6.9%+6.1%+5.7%
Q3 2017-15.6%-18.0%-11.3%
Q2 2017+2.2%+4.2%+7.2%
Q1 2017+14.2%+25.0%+18.7%
Q4 2016-6.9%+3.3%+9.9%
Q3 2016-3.9%
Q2 2016-12.2%
Q1 2016-12.8%
Q4 2015+0.4%
Q3 2015+3.4%
Q2 2015+12.9%
Q1 2015+11.7%
Q4 2014-1.8%
Q3 2014-4.1%
Q2 2014-5.4%
Q1 2014-5.2%
Q4 2013+0.4%
Q3 2013+10.5%
Q2 2013-11.3%
Q1 2013+0.7%
Q4 2010+7.2%
Q4 2012+7.2%
Q3 2011-3.2%
Q3 2012-3.2%
Q2 2012+2.3%
Q2 2011+2.3%
Q1 2011-2.3%
Q1 2012-2.3%
Q4 2011-2.3%
Q3 2010-0.9%

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