NASDAQ$BWIN

Baldwin Insurance Group Inc · Q3 2026 earnings

Q3 2026 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Baldwin Insurance reported Q3 2025 results with modest revenue growth and stable adjusted EBITDA despite a GAAP net loss.

The company grew revenue 8% year-over-year to $365.4M, with 5% organic revenue growth. Despite a GAAP net loss of $30.2M, adjusted EBITDA held steady at $72.5M and adjusted EPS came in at $0.31.

  • Revenue reached $365,389,000, an 8% increase YoY
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $72,520,000, unchanged from Q3 2024
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin was 19.8%
  • Organic revenue growth came in at 5%

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$365M

Previous: $365M+0.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.31

Previous: $0.59-47.5%
Organic Revenue Growth

5.0%

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA

$72.5M

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

19.8%

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$41.8M

Previous: -$18.7M+323.3%
Net Income

-$30.2M

Previous: -$18.7M-61.5%
Operating Income

$3.22M

Previous: $3.22M+0.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$89.7M

No prior period
Total Assets

$3.79B

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Baldwin Insurance · Revenue · Quarterly

$365M

Q3 2026+0%vs Q3 2025
Beat estimate in 8 of 14 quarters(57%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The company aims to maintain financial discipline and strategic capital allocation, though macro headwinds may impact future results.

Tailwinds

  • Consistent adjusted EBITDA performance
  • Strong liquidity with $89.7M in cash and $524M revolver capacity
  • Continued organic revenue growth
  • Increased adjusted free cash flow by 26% YoY
  • Progress on debt reduction and capital structure optimization

Headwinds

  • GAAP net loss of $30.2M in the quarter
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin decreased from 21.5% to 19.8%
  • Negative operating cash flow year-to-date
  • Colleague earnout incentives and transaction-related costs remain significant
  • Challenging macro environment and integration costs may persist

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2026

Historical avgQ3 2026

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.0%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

16 / 28 earnings

Positive

+25.6%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-25.4%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.3%-8.4%-14.8%
Q4 2025+25.6%+19.3%+14.1%
Q3 2025+10.0%+15.1%+8.9%
Q3 2026+2.8%+19.9%+15.6%
Q2 2025-16.7%-13.4%-12.6%
Q1 2025-4.3%-3.8%-5.6%
Q4 2024+1.8%-1.7%+13.2%
Q3 2024-10.3%+1.7%+8.5%
Q2 2024+3.3%+1.8%+13.0%
Q1 2024+11.8%+6.7%+20.6%
Q4 2023+2.7%+9.8%+6.8%
Q3 2023-11.9%-9.8%-12.0%
Q2 2023-3.6%+0.4%+7.9%
Q1 2023-4.4%-4.8%-5.0%
Q4 2022-3.0%-4.9%-12.1%
Q3 2022+1.7%+6.5%-0.3%
Q2 2022+3.7%+7.7%+10.1%
Q1 2022-25.4%-2.6%+7.3%
Q4 2021-2.2%-4.4%-3.4%
Q3 2021+2.0%+7.0%-0.3%
Q2 2021+17.9%+26.8%+38.1%
Q1 2021-5.9%-6.6%+4.9%
Q4 2020+1.5%+0.1%+6.9%
Q3 2020+5.4%+5.2%-5.8%
Q2 2020+7.6%+4.9%+31.2%
Q1 2020+2.0%+16.5%+47.9%
Q4 2019+11.5%+8.8%-8.1%
Q3 2019-7.1%-14.2%-6.8%
Q2 2019
Q4 2018
Q3 2018

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