NASDAQ$BPOP

Popular Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Popular's Q4 2022 financial results were announced, revealing a net income of $257.1 million.

Popular, Inc. reported a net income of $257.1 million for Q4 2022. The results included a tax benefit of $68.2 million related to the partial release of the deferred tax valuation allowance in the U.S.

  • Net income was $257.1 million in Q4 2022, which included a tax benefit of $68.2 million.
  • Net interest margin was 3.28% in Q4 2022.
  • Non-performing loans held-in-portfolio decreased by $14.0 million from Q3 2022.
  • The Corporation repurchased a total of 3,179,265 shares at an average purchase price of $72.66 under the ASR Agreement.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$560M

Previous: $501M+11.6%
EPS (adj)

$2.62

Previous: $2.58+1.6%
Net Interest Margin

3.3%

Previous: 2.8%+18.0%
Common Equity Tier 1

16.4%

No prior period
Common Equity/Share

$56.66

No prior period
Tangible Book Value/Share

$44.97

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$35.9M

Previous: $22M+63.4%
Free Cash Flow

$165M

Previous: $285M-42.1%
Net Income

$257M

Previous: $206M+24.8%
Operating Income

$207M

Previous: $282M-26.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$476M

Previous: $435M+9.6%
Total Assets

$67.6B

Previous: $75.1B-9.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Popular · Revenue · Quarterly

$560M

Q4 2022+11.6%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Popular plans to continue to leverage the benefits of the Evertec transaction and will focus on growing and deepening its strong commercial and retail franchise in P.R. as it continues to look for appropriate opportunities in the U.S. market.

Tailwinds

  • Leverage the benefits of the Evertec transaction.
  • Focus on growing and deepening the strong commercial and retail franchise in P.R.
  • Continue to look for appropriate opportunities in the U.S. market.
  • P.R. will continue its growth path, albeit perhaps at a slower pace.
  • Committed to continuing that transformation by investing in the future of our organization, our people and the communities we serve to meet future challenges and continue to provide value to our shareholders.

Headwinds

  • Aware of the macroeconomic headwinds related to inflation and geopolitical risks.
  • Expected slowdown in the economy as a result of tight monetary policy.
  • Weaker job growth.
  • Persistent inflation.
  • Reduction in 2023 GDP growth for Puerto Rico and the United States.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+1.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.9%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

41 / 69 earnings

Positive

+15.3%

Q4 2012

Best reaction

-12.0%

Q2 2012

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.2%+1.6%+1.4%
Q4 2025+6.3%+8.7%+16.0%
Q3 2025-1.2%-2.6%-0.5%
Q2 2025+0.3%+0.3%+3.9%
Q1 2025+5.9%+7.4%+14.6%
Q4 2024-1.3%-0.8%-3.2%
Q3 2024-11.0%-9.7%-1.0%
Q2 2024-0.7%-0.8%-3.4%
Q1 2024+3.6%+1.6%+3.7%
Q4 2023+4.9%+7.2%-0.1%
Q3 2023+8.1%+8.4%+20.4%
Q2 2023+4.6%+7.4%-5.4%
Q1 2023+3.2%+2.7%+3.5%
Q4 2022-3.9%-3.1%+4.3%
Q3 2022-6.9%-6.0%-4.3%
Q2 2022-3.0%-4.1%-0.1%
Q1 2022-0.4%-2.5%+0.9%
Q4 2021-0.8%+3.8%+3.4%
Q3 2021+1.5%+6.0%+3.5%
Q2 2021-0.2%+0.5%+3.5%
Q1 2021+0.4%-0.1%+8.5%
Q4 2020+2.9%+11.0%+21.2%
Q3 2020+7.6%+11.6%+29.4%
Q2 2020+2.6%+0.6%-1.6%
Q1 2020-11.3%-13.3%-5.6%
Q4 2019-2.9%-3.7%-16.3%
Q3 2019-1.6%+0.8%+0.2%
Q2 2019+5.4%+4.7%-6.2%
Q1 2019+1.5%+3.4%-1.0%
Q4 2018+3.4%+6.1%+11.6%
Q3 2018-0.1%+1.2%+7.0%
Q2 2018+6.4%+6.0%+8.4%
Q1 2018+6.3%+8.1%+6.1%
Q4 2017+7.1%+5.2%+9.9%
Q3 2017+1.6%+0.1%+3.7%
Q2 2017+1.9%-0.4%-4.3%
Q1 2017+6.0%+4.0%-5.2%
Q4 2016+2.3%+2.0%+1.0%
Q3 2016-4.2%-6.3%+6.3%
Q2 2016+7.3%+8.3%+21.6%
Q1 2016+0.4%
Q4 2015+8.8%
Q3 2015-4.9%
Q2 2015+5.8%
Q1 2015-2.0%
Q4 2014+0.7%
Q3 2014+4.3%
Q2 2014-1.0%
Q1 2014+5.3%
Q4 2013+2.8%
Q3 2013-2.7%
Q2 2013+3.0%
Q1 2013-0.4%
Q4 2012+15.3%
Q3 2012-0.5%
Q2 2012-12.0%
Q1 2012+0.0%
Q4 2010+2.7%
Q4 2011+2.7%
Q3 2011-8.2%
Q2 2011+4.1%
Q1 2010-1.0%
Q1 2011-1.7%
Q4 2008-2.5%
Q3 2009+1.9%
Q3 2010+1.9%
Q2 2009+3.4%
Q4 2009+3.4%
Q2 2010+3.4%

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