NASDAQ$BLMN

Bloomin Brands Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Bloomin' Brands reported positive Q4 2022 results driven by higher comparable restaurant sales and effective cost management.

Bloomin' Brands announced its Q4 2022 financial results, with diluted EPS at $0.61 and adjusted diluted EPS at $0.68. The company's total revenues increased by 4.6% to $1,095.0 million, driven by higher comparable restaurant sales and the net impact of restaurant openings and closures. The company also declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.24 per share, a 71% increase, and authorized a new $125 million share repurchase program.

  • Total revenues increased by 4.6% primarily due to higher comparable restaurant sales and the net impact of restaurant openings and closures.
  • GAAP operating income margin improved due to increases in average check, significant improvement in Brazil, the benefits of productivity initiatives, and lower incentive compensation.
  • The Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.24 per share, a 71% increase.
  • The Board of Directors approved a new $125 million share repurchase authorization.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.1B

Previous: $1.05B+4.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.68

Previous: $0.60+13.3%
U.S. Comparable Sales Growth

1.4%

Previous: 27.9%-95.0%
U.S. Traffic Growth

-7.3%

Previous: 17.0%-142.9%
U.S. Avg Check Growth

8.7%

Previous: 10.9%-20.2%
Capital Expenditures

$82.4M

Previous: $37.5M+119.9%
Free Cash Flow

$15.9M

Previous: $60.7M-73.8%
Net Income

$60.1M

Previous: $63.2M-4.8%
Operating Income

$84.1M

Previous: $78.5M+7.2%
Gross Profit

$191M

Previous: $187M+2.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$84.7M

Previous: $87.6M-3.3%
Total Assets

$3.32B

Previous: $3.29B+0.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.7M

Previous: $4.31M+9.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Bloomin' Brands · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.1B

Q4 2022+4.6%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 7 of 14 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Bloomin' Brands · $1.1B total across 2 segments · Q4 2022

  • Restaurant sales
    $1.08B+4.9%
  • Franchise and other
    $15.2M-12.5%

Forward guidance

The Company’s financial expectations for fiscal 2023 include the following: •Addition of a 53rd week at the end of fiscal 2023. This week is one of the Company’s highest sales volume weeks, however; it only has six days due to closure for the Christmas holiday. •Benefits from the Brazil tax legislation as described above.

Tailwinds

  • U.S. comparable restaurant sales are expected to grow between 2% and 4%.
  • GAAP diluted earnings per share are projected to be between $2.80 and $2.89.
  • Adjusted diluted earnings per share are expected to be between $2.91 and $3.00.
  • The effective income tax rate is anticipated to be between 13% and 15%.
  • The company plans to add 30 to 35 new system-wide restaurants.

Headwinds

  • Commodity inflation is expected to be in the mid-single digits.
  • Labor inflation is projected to be in the mid-single digits.
  • Capital expenditures are estimated to be between $240 million and $260 million.
  • Addition of a 53rd week at the end of fiscal 2023. This week is one of the Company’s highest sales volume weeks, however; it only has six days due to closure for the Christmas holiday.
  • Benefits from the Brazil tax legislation as described above.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+1.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

35 / 60 earnings

Positive

+17.3%

Q3 2014

Best reaction

-19.3%

Q2 2014

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.1%+2.3%-10.5%
Q4 2025-2.9%+7.7%-10.4%
Q3 2025+5.1%-7.1%-2.0%
Q1 2025-8.4%+11.1%-4.4%
Q4 2024-16.8%-29.1%-37.7%
Q3 2024-18.0%-19.2%-23.2%
Q2 2024-7.3%-14.5%-7.4%
Q1 2024-4.3%-7.7%-19.4%
Q4 2023+4.8%+4.1%+2.7%
Q3 2023-1.9%-3.4%+2.1%
Q2 2023-5.4%-6.9%+4.4%
Q1 2023+4.7%+4.4%+5.4%
Q4 2022+10.5%+12.9%+2.4%
Q3 2022+6.5%+2.9%+1.2%
Q2 2022+3.6%+7.5%+8.1%
Q1 2022+4.9%+4.3%-2.0%
Q4 2021+8.6%+6.6%-3.0%
Q3 2021-5.1%-2.3%-17.1%
Q2 2021+1.1%+1.5%+9.8%
Q1 2021+9.7%+7.2%+2.6%
Q4 2020+10.5%+13.7%+26.3%
Q3 2020-14.1%-20.8%-3.7%
Q2 2020+7.5%+10.8%+13.8%
Q1 2020+15.5%-7.2%+38.9%
Q4 2019+7.0%+8.9%-72.6%
Q3 2019+10.6%+9.9%+7.4%
Q2 2019-3.8%-5.1%+1.2%
Q1 2019+4.6%+0.3%-6.4%
Q4 2018+12.2%+10.1%+5.9%
Q3 2018+8.0%+11.1%+10.5%
Q2 2018-1.1%-7.3%-1.1%
Q1 2018+2.7%+4.4%-8.9%
Q4 2017+9.5%+6.5%+8.2%
Q3 2017-2.1%-2.1%+23.9%
Q2 2017-11.7%-16.1%-16.3%
Q1 2017+6.3%+10.6%+3.1%
Q4 2016+5.1%-0.2%+3.9%
Q3 2016+2.2%+1.1%+16.2%
Q2 2016-5.2%-5.3%+1.4%
Q1 2016+9.9%
Q4 2015-9.5%
Q3 2015-2.4%
Q2 2015+0.8%
Q1 2015-7.0%
Q4 2014-0.2%
Q1 2012+2.3%
Q3 2014+17.3%
Q2 2014-19.3%
Q1 2014+0.8%
Q4 2013-1.8%
Q3 2013-4.1%
Q2 2013+6.3%
Q1 2013-3.6%
Q4 2010+2.1%
Q1 2011+2.1%
Q4 2012-5.9%
Q3 2012+10.0%
Q2 2011+7.1%
Q4 2011+7.1%
Q2 2012+6.8%
Q3 2011

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