NASDAQ$BLMN

Bloomin Brands Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported continued resilience navigating a rapidly changing environment, making progress on key initiatives to improve margins and increase cash flow.

Bloomin' Brands reported Q4 2020 results, showing resilience amidst a rapidly changing environment. The company is focused on improving margins, increasing cash flow, and reducing debt. U.S. comp sales were down 12.9% through the first seven weeks of the fiscal year.

  • Total revenues decreased primarily due to lower comparable restaurant sales and franchise revenues due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Restaurant-level operating margin decreased due to lower comparable restaurant sales and costs related to the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • GAAP operating loss income margin decreased due to a decline in restaurant-level operating margin and sales deleveraging.
  • Liquidity position improved due to increased sales performance and holiday gift card sales.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$813M

Previous: $1.02B-20.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.02

Previous: $0.32-93.8%
U.S. Comparable Sales Growth

-17.7%

Previous: 1.9%-1031.6%
U.S. Traffic Growth

-16.6%

Previous: 0.9%-1944.4%
U.S. Avg Check Growth

-1.1%

Previous: 1.0%-210.0%
Capital Expenditures

$20.9M

Previous: $44.4M-53.0%
Free Cash Flow

$63M

Previous: $92.2M-31.7%
Net Income

-$14.2M

Previous: $29.3M-148.4%
Operating Income

-$7.24M

Previous: $43.2M-116.8%
Gross Profit

$102M

Previous: $161M-36.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$110M

Previous: $67.1M+63.8%
Total Assets

$3.36B

Previous: $3.59B-6.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.73M

Previous: $5.9M-36.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Bloomin' Brands · Revenue · Quarterly

$813M

Q4 2020-20.5%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Bloomin' Brands · $813M total across 2 segments · Q4 2020

  • Restaurant sales
    $806M-19.9%
  • Franchise and other
    $6.85M-58.0%

Forward guidance

The Company remains committed to making decisions to achieve its long-term growth framework and maximize shareholder value. However, ongoing uncertainties related to the COVID-19 pandemic and evolving in-restaurant dining capacity restrictions across the country have made it difficult to forecast sales.

Tailwinds

  • Pursue previously announced transformational cost savings initiatives representing $40 million over two years. We achieved $25 million of these cost savings in 2020 and expect approximately $15 million of these savings to be realized in 2021
  • Capitalize on additional margin opportunities learned during the pandemic
  • Prioritize capital allocation towards debt pay down while maintaining flexibility to reinvest back in the business

Headwinds

  • Ongoing uncertainties related to the COVID-19 pandemic
  • Evolving in-restaurant dining capacity restrictions across the country
  • Difficult to forecast sales
  • Commodity inflation Flat
  • Labor inflation 3.0% - 3.5%

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+1.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

35 / 60 earnings

Positive

+17.3%

Q3 2014

Best reaction

-19.3%

Q2 2014

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.1%+2.3%-10.5%
Q4 2025-2.9%+7.7%-10.4%
Q3 2025+5.1%-7.1%-2.0%
Q1 2025-8.4%+11.1%-4.4%
Q4 2024-16.8%-29.1%-37.7%
Q3 2024-18.0%-19.2%-23.2%
Q2 2024-7.3%-14.5%-7.4%
Q1 2024-4.3%-7.7%-19.4%
Q4 2023+4.8%+4.1%+2.7%
Q3 2023-1.9%-3.4%+2.1%
Q2 2023-5.4%-6.9%+4.4%
Q1 2023+4.7%+4.4%+5.4%
Q4 2022+10.5%+12.9%+2.4%
Q3 2022+6.5%+2.9%+1.2%
Q2 2022+3.6%+7.5%+8.1%
Q1 2022+4.9%+4.3%-2.0%
Q4 2021+8.6%+6.6%-3.0%
Q3 2021-5.1%-2.3%-17.1%
Q2 2021+1.1%+1.5%+9.8%
Q1 2021+9.7%+7.2%+2.6%
Q4 2020+10.5%+13.7%+26.3%
Q3 2020-14.1%-20.8%-3.7%
Q2 2020+7.5%+10.8%+13.8%
Q1 2020+15.5%-7.2%+38.9%
Q4 2019+7.0%+8.9%-72.6%
Q3 2019+10.6%+9.9%+7.4%
Q2 2019-3.8%-5.1%+1.2%
Q1 2019+4.6%+0.3%-6.4%
Q4 2018+12.2%+10.1%+5.9%
Q3 2018+8.0%+11.1%+10.5%
Q2 2018-1.1%-7.3%-1.1%
Q1 2018+2.7%+4.4%-8.9%
Q4 2017+9.5%+6.5%+8.2%
Q3 2017-2.1%-2.1%+23.9%
Q2 2017-11.7%-16.1%-16.3%
Q1 2017+6.3%+10.6%+3.1%
Q4 2016+5.1%-0.2%+3.9%
Q3 2016+2.2%+1.1%+16.2%
Q2 2016-5.2%-5.3%+1.4%
Q1 2016+9.9%
Q4 2015-9.5%
Q3 2015-2.4%
Q2 2015+0.8%
Q1 2015-7.0%
Q4 2014-0.2%
Q1 2012+2.3%
Q3 2014+17.3%
Q2 2014-19.3%
Q1 2014+0.8%
Q4 2013-1.8%
Q3 2013-4.1%
Q2 2013+6.3%
Q1 2013-3.6%
Q4 2010+2.1%
Q1 2011+2.1%
Q4 2012-5.9%
Q3 2012+10.0%
Q2 2011+7.1%
Q4 2011+7.1%
Q2 2012+6.8%
Q3 2011

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