NASDAQ$BIIB

Biogen Inc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Biogen reported strong execution across its core business areas with resilience in MS, continued growth for SPINRAZA, and an expanded biosimilars business in Q4 2019.

Biogen reported Q4 2019 revenues of $3.671 billion, a 4% increase compared to Q4 2018. GAAP diluted EPS was $8.08, a 71% increase, while Non-GAAP diluted EPS was $8.34, a 19% increase. Full year 2019 revenues were $14.378 billion, a 7% increase year-over-year.

  • Total revenues reached $3.671 billion, a 4% increase year-over-year.
  • GAAP diluted EPS increased by 71% to $8.08.
  • Non-GAAP diluted EPS increased by 19% to $8.34.
  • Company plans to submit a regulatory filing for aducanumab in Alzheimer’s disease.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.67B

Previous: $3.53B+4.1%
EPS (adj)

$8.34

Previous: $6.99+19.3%
GAAP Effective Tax Rate

16.0%

No prior period
GAAP R&D Expense

$692M

No prior period
GAAP SG&A Expense

$665M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$110M

Previous: $226M-51.1%
Free Cash Flow

$1.96B

Previous: $1.67B+17.4%
Net Income

$1.44B

Previous: $947M+52.1%
Operating Income

$1.78B

Previous: $1.44B+23.2%
Gross Profit

$3.22B

Previous: $3.04B+6.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$4.48B

Previous: $1.22B+265.5%
Total Assets

$27.2B

Previous: $25.3B+7.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$38.4M

Previous: $38.5M-0.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Biogen · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.67B

Q4 2019+4.1%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Biogen announced its full year 2020 financial guidance, which includes revenue expected to be approximately $14.0 billion to $14.3 billion and Non-GAAP diluted EPS is expected to be between $31.50 and $33.50.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue is expected to be approximately $14.0 billion to $14.3 billion.
  • GAAP and Non-GAAP R&D expense is expected to be approximately 15% to 16% of total revenue.
  • GAAP and Non-GAAP SG&A expense is expected to be approximately 19.5% to 20.5% of total revenue.
  • GAAP and Non-GAAP tax rate is expected to be approximately 18% to 19%.
  • GAAP diluted EPS is expected to be between $29.50 and $31.50.

Headwinds

  • Financial guidance does not include any impact from potential acquisitions or large business development transactions.
  • Guidance assumes no generic competition in the U.S. for TECFIDERA in 2020
  • Guidance assumes no change to foreign exchange rates.
  • Guidance assumes additional commercial and R&D expenses related to aducanumab
  • Guidance assumes closing of the proposed transaction with Pfizer Inc., and a stable share count.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.9%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

34 / 71 earnings

Positive

+24.7%

Q3 2019

Best reaction

-19.6%

Q2 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.0%+2.1%+6.9%
Q4 2025+8.5%+3.2%-0.3%
Q3 2025+0.9%+1.0%+23.2%
Q1 2025-0.1%-3.5%+7.2%
Q4 2024-4.3%-1.5%+0.0%
Q3 2024-5.2%-5.4%-12.4%
Q2 2024-3.5%-6.1%-4.0%
Q1 2024+4.8%+11.6%+12.7%
Q4 2023-9.8%-10.5%-10.3%
Q3 2023-8.5%-9.4%-2.6%
Q2 2023-4.2%-4.2%-5.3%
Q1 2023-1.7%+3.8%+1.4%
Q4 2022-6.1%-3.7%-9.0%
Q3 2022+2.1%+3.5%+10.5%
Q2 2022-2.8%-5.8%-2.8%
Q1 2022+1.3%-6.6%-4.2%
Q4 2021-1.5%-1.1%-6.9%
Q3 2021+0.8%+0.7%-4.1%
Q2 2021+0.8%+3.4%+5.8%
Q1 2021-2.7%-0.9%+4.9%
Q4 2020-3.7%-3.2%-2.5%
Q3 2020-0.1%-3.9%-8.6%
Q2 2020-0.6%+2.1%-1.1%
Q1 2020-11.2%-7.8%-7.4%
Q4 2019-4.8%+0.3%+9.2%
Q3 2019+24.7%+28.9%+29.1%
Q2 2019+3.8%+2.5%-0.2%
Q1 2019-0.1%-0.4%-1.4%
Q4 2018-0.7%+0.3%-0.6%
Q3 2018-4.3%-4.9%+0.0%
Q2 2018+7.2%-5.0%-4.5%
Q1 2018+3.9%+6.7%+9.7%
Q4 2017+6.2%+1.8%-15.5%
Q3 2017-4.2%-6.3%-5.7%
Q2 2017+3.8%+1.0%+0.3%
Q1 2017+1.1%-2.0%-8.6%
Q4 2016+1.8%+1.5%+4.4%
Q3 2016+1.7%-2.0%+6.7%
Q2 2016+9.7%+9.4%+20.7%
Q1 2016+6.3%
Q4 2015+2.3%
Q3 2015+4.1%
Q2 2015-19.6%
Q1 2015-9.5%
Q4 2014+10.8%
Q3 2014-3.3%
Q2 2014+10.9%
Q1 2014-3.7%
Q4 2013+4.1%
Q3 2013+0.8%
Q2 2013-1.5%
Q1 2013+3.6%
Q4 2012+5.3%
Q3 2012-2.2%
Q2 2012+3.0%
Q1 2012+2.4%
Q4 2011+0.7%
Q3 2011-1.2%
Q2 2011-2.1%
Q1 2011+1.5%
Q4 2010-0.5%
Q3 2010+4.3%
Q2 2010+3.4%
Q1 2009-3.8%
Q1 2010-0.3%
Q4 2007+2.9%
Q3 2009-1.7%
Q3 2008-1.7%
Q4 2008-0.4%
Q2 2009-0.4%
Q2 2008-0.4%

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