NASDAQ$BIIB

Biogen Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Biogen reported third quarter results and raised full year financial guidance.

Biogen reported Q3 2024 revenue of $2.5 billion, with a GAAP diluted EPS of $2.66 and a Non-GAAP diluted EPS of $4.08. The company is increasing its full year 2024 Non-GAAP diluted EPS guidance to between $16.10 and $16.60.

  • Total revenue from product launches in the third quarter continued to offset year-over-year decline in multiple sclerosis product revenue
  • LEQEMBI third quarter global in-market sales of approximately $67 million, including U.S. in-market sales of approximately $39 million
  • Dapirolizumab pegol Phase 3 study met the primary endpoint in systemic lupus erythematosus
  • Nusinersen higher dose regimen showed statistically significant improvement in the pivotal cohort of the Phase 2/3 DEVOTE study; Biogen plans to submit regulatory applications globally

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.47B

Previous: $2.53B-2.5%
EPS

$2.66

Previous: $4.36-39.0%
GAAP Effective Tax Rate

13.9%

No prior period
GAAP R&D Expense

$543M

Previous: $736M-26.3%
GAAP SG&A Expense

$588M

Previous: $788M-25.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$114M

Previous: -$212M+46.0%
Free Cash Flow

$274M

Previous: -$280M+197.9%
Net Income

$389M

Previous: -$68.1M+670.5%
Operating Income

$763M

Previous: -$29.8M+2660.4%
Gross Profit

$1.83B

Previous: $1.87B-2.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$802M

Previous: $1.92B-58.2%
Total Assets

$28.3B

Previous: $28.2B+0.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$72.7M

Previous: $62.2M+16.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Biogen · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.47B

Q3 2024-2.5%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 12 of 14 quarters(86%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Biogen is increasing its full year 2024 Non-GAAP diluted EPS guidance to between $16.10 and $16.60, representing Non-GAAP diluted EPS growth of approximately 11% at the mid-point versus full year 2023. The company continues to expect total revenue to decline by a low-single digit percentage, with core pharmaceutical revenue expected to be roughly flat versus full year 2023. Operating income is expected to grow at a high-teen percentage versus full year 2023 with mid-single digit percentage point operating margin improvement.

Tailwinds

  • Non-GAAP diluted EPS now expected to be between $16.10 and $16.60, representing Non-GAAP diluted EPS growth of approximately 11% at the mid-point versus full year 2023
  • Maintaining expectation of a full year 2024 total revenue decline of a low-single digit percentage versus full year 2023 with core pharmaceutical revenue expected to be roughly flat versus full year 2023
  • Expect operating income to grow at a high-teen percentage versus full year 2023
  • Maintaining expectation of a mid-single digit percentage operating margin improvement
  • Expect an improvement in the cost of sales as a percentage of total revenue for 2024 compared to 2023 driven by product mix and significantly lower idle capacity charges

Headwinds

  • This financial guidance does not include any impact from potential acquisitions or business development transactions or pending and future litigation or any impact of potential tax or healthcare reform, as all are hard to predict.
  • This guidance also assumes that foreign exchange rates as of October 25, 2024, will remain in effect for the remainder of the year, net of hedging activities.
  • Biogen may incur charges, realize gains or losses, or experience other events or circumstances in 2024 that could cause any of these assumptions to change and/or actual results to vary from this financial guidance.
  • Biogen does not provide guidance for GAAP reported financial measures (other than revenue)
  • In October, Biogen and Sage decided they will not pursue further development for zuranolone as a treatment for major depressive disorder.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.9%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

34 / 71 earnings

Positive

+24.7%

Q3 2019

Best reaction

-19.6%

Q2 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.0%+2.1%+6.9%
Q4 2025+8.5%+3.2%-0.3%
Q3 2025+0.9%+1.0%+23.2%
Q1 2025-0.1%-3.5%+7.2%
Q4 2024-4.3%-1.5%+0.0%
Q3 2024-5.2%-5.4%-12.4%
Q2 2024-3.5%-6.1%-4.0%
Q1 2024+4.8%+11.6%+12.7%
Q4 2023-9.8%-10.5%-10.3%
Q3 2023-8.5%-9.4%-2.6%
Q2 2023-4.2%-4.2%-5.3%
Q1 2023-1.7%+3.8%+1.4%
Q4 2022-6.1%-3.7%-9.0%
Q3 2022+2.1%+3.5%+10.5%
Q2 2022-2.8%-5.8%-2.8%
Q1 2022+1.3%-6.6%-4.2%
Q4 2021-1.5%-1.1%-6.9%
Q3 2021+0.8%+0.7%-4.1%
Q2 2021+0.8%+3.4%+5.8%
Q1 2021-2.7%-0.9%+4.9%
Q4 2020-3.7%-3.2%-2.5%
Q3 2020-0.1%-3.9%-8.6%
Q2 2020-0.6%+2.1%-1.1%
Q1 2020-11.2%-7.8%-7.4%
Q4 2019-4.8%+0.3%+9.2%
Q3 2019+24.7%+28.9%+29.1%
Q2 2019+3.8%+2.5%-0.2%
Q1 2019-0.1%-0.4%-1.4%
Q4 2018-0.7%+0.3%-0.6%
Q3 2018-4.3%-4.9%+0.0%
Q2 2018+7.2%-5.0%-4.5%
Q1 2018+3.9%+6.7%+9.7%
Q4 2017+6.2%+1.8%-15.5%
Q3 2017-4.2%-6.3%-5.7%
Q2 2017+3.8%+1.0%+0.3%
Q1 2017+1.1%-2.0%-8.6%
Q4 2016+1.8%+1.5%+4.4%
Q3 2016+1.7%-2.0%+6.7%
Q2 2016+9.7%+9.4%+20.7%
Q1 2016+6.3%
Q4 2015+2.3%
Q3 2015+4.1%
Q2 2015-19.6%
Q1 2015-9.5%
Q4 2014+10.8%
Q3 2014-3.3%
Q2 2014+10.9%
Q1 2014-3.7%
Q4 2013+4.1%
Q3 2013+0.8%
Q2 2013-1.5%
Q1 2013+3.6%
Q4 2012+5.3%
Q3 2012-2.2%
Q2 2012+3.0%
Q1 2012+2.4%
Q4 2011+0.7%
Q3 2011-1.2%
Q2 2011-2.1%
Q1 2011+1.5%
Q4 2010-0.5%
Q3 2010+4.3%
Q2 2010+3.4%
Q1 2009-3.8%
Q1 2010-0.3%
Q4 2007+2.9%
Q3 2009-1.7%
Q3 2008-1.7%
Q4 2008-0.4%
Q2 2009-0.4%
Q2 2008-0.4%

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