NASDAQ$AVDL

Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced third quarter financial results and provided a corporate update.

Avadel Pharmaceuticals reported its Q3 2022 financial results with a net loss of $20.1 million. The company is preparing for the commercial launch of LUMRYZ, expected no later than Q3 2023, and is working to potentially accelerate its final approval. Cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities were $106.5 million as of September 30, 2022.

  • LUMRYZ granted tentative approval on July 18, confirming its safety profile and clinical efficacy
  • Final approval decision of LUMRYZ expected by June 2023; advancing strategy to potentially accelerate final approval
  • Commercial launch planned for no later than Q3 2023; launch preparations underway
  • Updated RESTORE data demonstrates 94% of switch patients prefer once-at-bedtime LUMRYZ dosing regimen

Headline financials

EPS (adj)

-$0.33

Previous: -$0.38+13.2%
R&D Expenses

$2.9M

Previous: $4.4M-34.1%
SG&A Expenses

$14.1M

Previous: $21.3M-33.8%
Capital Expenditures

$716K

Previous: -$26K+2853.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$7.52M

Previous: -$54.8M+86.3%
Net Income

-$20.1M

Previous: -$22M+8.6%
Operating Income

-$17M

Previous: -$25.7M+33.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$107M

Previous: $58.2M+83.1%
Total Assets

$146M

Previous: $264M-44.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.92M

Previous: $2.36M-18.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Avadel · Revenue · Quarterly

$77.5M

Q3 2025+54.9%vs Q3 2024
Beat estimate in 4 of 10 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Avadel · $7M total across 1 segment · Q3 2023

  • LUMRYZ Net Product Revenue
    $7M

Forward guidance

The company focuses on the timing of FDA’s final approval decision for LUMRYZ, efforts to accelerate the FDA’s final approval decision, preparations to accelerate the timing between a potential final approval of LUMRYZ and commercial launch as well as the expected results thereof, the estimated once-at-bedtime oxybate market and anticipated market acceptance of LUMRYZ, the continued advancement of the RESTORE study to generate long-term safety, tolerability, and efficacy data for LUMRYZ, the company’s cash runway and anticipated uses of capital, and the expected maturity of the company’s convertible debt.

Tailwinds

  • Expectations regarding the timing of FDA’s final approval decision for LUMRYZ
  • Ongoing efforts of the Company to accelerate the FDA’s final approval decision
  • The Company’s preparations to accelerate the timing between a potential final approval of LUMRYZ and commercial launch as well as the expected results thereof
  • The estimated once-at-bedtime oxybate market and anticipated market acceptance of LUMRYZ (if approved)
  • The continued advancement of the RESTORE study to generate long-term safety, tolerability, and efficacy data for LUMRYZ

Headwinds

  • Company’s cash runway
  • Anticipated uses of capital
  • Expected maturity of the Company’s convertible debt.
  • Risks and uncertainties described in the “Risk Factors” section of Part I, Item 1A of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2021
  • Subsequent SEC filings

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 8 quarterly earnings reports

Historical avg

-1.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

28 / 64 earnings

Positive

+22.2%

Q4 2020

Best reaction

-26.3%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025
Q3 2025+0.4%-1.0%+12.9%
Q2 2025+14.7%+20.7%+42.0%
Q1 2025+9.1%+10.5%+12.1%
Q4 2024-4.6%+0.1%-5.6%
Q3 2024-26.3%-33.1%-34.9%
Q2 2024-3.7%+0.8%-9.9%
Q1 2024-12.9%-7.8%-16.9%
Q4 2023+15.2%+19.2%+18.7%
Q3 2023+6.9%
Q2 2023-0.6%
Q1 2023+5.4%
Q4 2022+3.0%
Q3 2022-0.3%
Q2 2022+13.2%
Q1 2022-5.0%
Q4 2021+4.7%
Q3 2021+7.3%
Q2 2021-3.4%
Q1 2021+1.1%
Q4 2020+22.2%
Q3 2020+11.7%
Q2 2020-7.4%
Q1 2020-2.5%
Q4 2019-24.8%
Q3 2019-2.7%
Q2 2019-11.4%
Q1 2019-3.3%
Q4 2018-15.0%
Q3 2018-25.6%
Q2 2018-11.5%
Q1 2018+4.0%
Q4 2017-11.0%
Q3 2017-1.3%
Q2 2017-5.2%
Q1 2017+1.6%
Q4 2016+6.0%
Q3 2016-2.8%
Q3 2015-2.8%
Q2 2016+1.0%
Q1 2016+1.4%
Q4 2015+1.6%
Q2 2015-10.8%
Q1 2015+6.0%
Q4 2014-0.3%
Q3 2014+0.2%
Q2 2014+1.3%
Q1 2013+3.4%
Q1 2014+3.4%
Q4 2013+2.3%
Q3 2012-1.2%
Q3 2013-1.2%
Q2 2013-5.0%
Q4 2012+1.4%
Q2 2011+6.0%
Q2 2012+6.0%
Q1 2011-1.1%
Q4 2011-4.8%
Q4 2009-4.8%
Q4 2010-4.8%
Q1 2012-4.5%
Q3 2011-5.0%
Q3 2010-0.7%
Q2 2010-6.9%
Q1 2010-4.5%

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