NASDAQ$ARVN

Arvinas Inc. · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Arvinas reported financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2022.

Arvinas reported a net loss of $82.9 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2022, compared to a net loss of $52.9 million for the same period in 2021. Revenue for the quarter was $38.0 million, an increase from $28.7 million in the prior year. The company's cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash and marketable securities were $1,210.8 million as of December 31, 2022.

  • Initiated multiple trials with ARV-471, including a 2L+ Phase 3 trial for patients with metastatic breast cancer
  • Presented Phase 2 monotherapy expansion data from the VERITAC trial for the treatment of patients with metastatic or locally advanced ER+/HER2- breast cancer in a late-line setting
  • Gained alignment with FDA on an approach to the planned 1L Phase 3 trial with ARV-471 in combination with palbociclib to enable trial initiation in 2H 2023
  • Initiated a Phase 3 monotherapy trial with ARV-471 in ER+/HER2- metastatic breast cancer, marking the first registrational study.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$38M

Previous: $26.3M+44.5%
EPS (adj)

-$1.56

Previous: -$1.00-56.0%
Capital Expenditures

$1.1M

Previous: $1.89M-42.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$72.3M

Previous: -$37.6M-92.0%
Net Income

-$82.9M

Previous: -$53M-56.4%
Operating Income

-$75.4M

Previous: -$54.4M-38.6%
Gross Profit

$35.9M

Previous: $25.6M+40.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$81.3M

Previous: $108M-24.9%
Total Assets

$1.27B

Previous: $1.58B-19.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$20.1M

Previous: $17M+18.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Arvinas · Revenue · Quarterly

$38M

Q4 2022+44.5%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 9 of 14 quarters(64%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Arvinas · $30.3M total across 1 segment · Q3 2022

  • Collaboration Revenue
    $30.3M+225.8%

Forward guidance

Arvinas anticipates initiating a Phase 3 trial with ARV-471 + palbociclib as a first-line treatment in patients with ER+/HER2- locally advanced or metastatic breast cancer in the second half of 2023. They also plan to complete enrollment in the Phase 1b combination study with bavdegalutamide plus abiraterone in the second half of 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Initiate a Phase 3 trial with ARV-471 + palbociclib as a first-line treatment in patients with ER+/HER2- locally advanced or metastatic breast cancer (2H 2023)
  • Initiate additional arms of the Phase 1b combination umbrella trial (TACTIVE-U) with other targeted therapies (2023)
  • Provide an update with preliminary data from the Phase 1b combination trial with palbociclib (1H 2023)
  • Submit and present data from the Phase 1b combination trial with palbociclib at medical congress (2H 2023)
  • Initiate a global Phase 3 trial with confirmed bavdegalutamide dose in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) for patients with AR T878/H875 tumor mutations (2H 2023)

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-2.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.6%

Avg return

30 days after

30%

9 / 30 earnings

Positive

+11.8%

Q1 2019

Best reaction

-24.8%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.4%-10.2%-31.0%
Q4 2025+5.2%+4.7%-7.4%
Q3 2025+0.5%+17.3%+34.1%
Q1 2025-24.8%-27.8%-25.2%
Q4 2024-6.8%-3.5%-54.9%
Q3 2024-3.9%-2.5%-2.8%
Q2 2024-1.0%-7.0%-6.3%
Q1 2024+0.3%-2.5%-14.1%
Q4 2023-5.8%-3.1%-15.4%
Q3 2023-2.5%-11.5%+93.1%
Q2 2023+2.1%+6.8%+12.8%
Q1 2023+4.9%+3.0%-1.2%
Q4 2022-7.0%-10.8%-23.0%
Q3 2022-4.0%+17.9%-12.5%
Q2 2022+3.8%+4.5%-19.3%
Q1 2022-16.4%-22.6%-19.0%
Q4 2021-2.6%-4.4%-5.4%
Q3 2021+4.9%+1.2%-18.8%
Q2 2021-4.3%-8.9%-13.4%
Q1 2021-4.0%-9.1%-1.7%
Q4 2020-1.0%-8.0%-15.6%
Q3 2020-3.6%+4.3%+18.6%
Q2 2020-5.0%-11.1%-23.0%
Q1 2020-0.9%-6.0%-17.7%
Q4 2019-3.2%-1.8%+14.2%
Q3 2019+3.3%+17.6%+79.4%
Q2 2019-4.6%-0.2%-1.5%
Q1 2019+11.8%+11.1%+0.8%
Q4 2018-3.0%-6.9%+42.9%
Q3 2018-0.1%+7.3%-13.6%
Q2 2018
Q1 2018
Q4 2017
Q3 2017
Q2 2017
Q1 2017

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