NASDAQ$ARVN

Arvinas Inc. · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Arvinas reported its Q4 and full year results, highlighting clinical and corporate advancements, including initial clinical data for ARV-110 and ARV-471, and a public offering that generated $107.6 million in net proceeds.

Arvinas reported a net loss of $21.0 million for the fourth quarter of 2019, compared to a net loss of $16.1 million for the same period in 2018. Revenue for the quarter was $4.9 million, up from $3.4 million in the prior year. The company's cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities totaled $280.9 million as of December 31, 2019.

  • Presented initial clinical data for ARV-110 and ARV-471, showing they were well-tolerated and safe for further development.
  • Closed a public offering generating $107.6 million in net proceeds.
  • Presented preclinical data demonstrating PROTAC® molecules degraded aggregates of human alpha-synuclein in primary rat neurons.
  • Appointed Laurie Smaldone Alsup, M.D., to the board of directors.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.89M

Previous: $3.44M+42.2%
EPS (adj)

-$0.56

Previous: -$0.52-7.7%
Capital Expenditures

$1.79M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$18M

No prior period
Net Income

-$21M

No prior period
Operating Income

-$22.8M

No prior period
Gross Profit

$4.89M

No prior period
Cash & Equivalents

$9.21M

No prior period
Total Assets

$302M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$4.98M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Arvinas · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.89M

Q4 2019+42.2%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 5 of 9 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Arvinas · $4.9M total across 1 segment · Q4 2019

  • Collaboration Revenue
    $4.9M

Forward guidance

Arvinas expects to share Phase 1 dose escalation clinical data for ARV-110 in Q2 2020 and for ARV-471 in the second half of 2020. The company also anticipates providing information about the advancement of additional programs in its preclinical pipeline in the second half of 2020, and believes its current cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities will be sufficient to fund operations into 2022.

Tailwinds

  • Phase 1 dose escalation clinical data for ARV-110 expected in Q2 2020.
  • Phase 1 dose escalation clinical data for ARV-471 expected in the second half of 2020.
  • Information about additional preclinical programs expected in the second half of 2020.
  • Cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities expected to fund operations into 2022.
  • ARV-110 and ARV-471 were well-tolerated and safe for further development.

Headwinds

  • Uncertainties regarding the successful conduct of Phase 1 clinical trials for ARV-110 and ARV-471.
  • Risk of not completing clinical trials for other product candidates.
  • Uncertainty in receiving results from clinical trials on expected timelines, or at all.
  • Risk that cash resources may not be sufficient to fund operating expenses and capital expenditure requirements.
  • Dependence on successful development and regulatory status of product candidates.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

-2.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.6%

Avg return

30 days after

30%

9 / 30 earnings

Positive

+11.8%

Q1 2019

Best reaction

-24.8%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.4%-10.2%
Q4 2025+5.2%+4.7%-7.4%
Q3 2025+0.5%+17.3%+34.1%
Q1 2025-24.8%-27.8%-25.2%
Q4 2024-6.8%-3.5%-54.9%
Q3 2024-3.9%-2.5%-2.8%
Q2 2024-1.0%-7.0%-6.3%
Q1 2024+0.3%-2.5%-14.1%
Q4 2023-5.8%-3.1%-15.4%
Q3 2023-2.5%-11.5%+93.1%
Q2 2023+2.1%+6.8%+12.8%
Q1 2023+4.9%+3.0%-1.2%
Q4 2022-7.0%-10.8%-23.0%
Q3 2022-4.0%+17.9%-12.5%
Q2 2022+3.8%+4.5%-19.3%
Q1 2022-16.4%-22.6%-19.0%
Q4 2021-2.6%-4.4%-5.4%
Q3 2021+4.9%+1.2%-18.8%
Q2 2021-4.3%-8.9%-13.4%
Q1 2021-4.0%-9.1%-1.7%
Q4 2020-1.0%-8.0%-15.6%
Q3 2020-3.6%+4.3%+18.6%
Q2 2020-5.0%-11.1%-23.0%
Q1 2020-0.9%-6.0%-17.7%
Q4 2019-3.2%-1.8%+14.2%
Q3 2019+3.3%+17.6%+79.4%
Q2 2019-4.6%-0.2%-1.5%
Q1 2019+11.8%+11.1%+0.8%
Q4 2018-3.0%-6.9%+42.9%
Q3 2018-0.1%+7.3%-13.6%
Q2 2018
Q1 2018
Q4 2017
Q3 2017
Q2 2017
Q1 2017

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