NASDAQ$ALTO

Alto Ingredients Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported improved gross loss and Adjusted EBITDA compared to Q4 2022.

Alto Ingredients reported financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2023, with gross loss and Adjusted EBITDA improving over the fourth quarter of 2022. The company is focused on diversifying revenue, improving capacity utilization, reducing costs, and expanding operating margins.

  • Gross loss improved $18.8 million compared to Q4 2022.
  • Adjusted EBITDA improved $19.0 million compared to Q4 2022.
  • Signed a letter of intent with Vault 44.01 for CO2 storage at the Pekin campus.
  • Temporarily hot-idled the Magic Valley plant to minimize the financial impact of negative regional crush margins and expedite equipment installation.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$274M

Previous: $328M-16.7%
EPS (adj)

-$0.18

Previous: -$0.46+60.9%
Adjusted EBITDA

$19M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$4.92M

Previous: $12.5M-60.7%
Net Income

-$18.9M

Previous: -$33.1M+42.7%
Operating Income

-$8.51M

Previous: -$31.1M+72.6%
Gross Profit

$9K

Previous: -$21.3M+100.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.18M

Previous: $787K+49.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Alto Ingredients · Revenue · Quarterly

$274M

Q4 2023-16.7%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Alto Ingredients anticipates stronger performance in 2024 with a favorable outlook leading to crush margin improvements and positive spreads through most of the year. The company is conducting ongoing maintenance to increase reliability and production run rates.

Tailwinds

  • Overall outlook for 2024 is favorable.
  • Crush margin improvements are expected over the next few months.
  • Positive spreads are anticipated through most of the year.
  • Ongoing maintenance across the asset portfolio to increase reliability.
  • Production run rates are expected to increase.

Headwinds

  • Markets are dynamic.
  • Company remains agile and financially prudent.
  • Company seeks to capitalize on the most promising and profitable opportunities.
  • Magic Valley facility temporarily hot-idled.
  • Restart production in the second quarter of 2024, once the upgrades are complete and crush margins have improved.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-1.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

39%

25 / 64 earnings

Positive

+54.6%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-58.2%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.3%+1.3%+20.1%
Q4 2025+54.6%+76.9%+79.6%
Q3 2025+21.9%+53.4%+116.4%
Q1 2025-1.4%-4.7%+18.6%
Q4 2024+6.8%-4.8%-38.8%
Q3 2024-37.3%-30.1%-22.3%
Q2 2024+4.3%-0.7%+2.9%
Q1 2024-7.4%-11.1%-23.7%
Q4 2023-7.4%-8.8%-5.1%
Q3 2023-58.2%-54.8%-45.5%
Q2 2023+11.8%+9.2%-4.9%
Q1 2023+12.1%+45.7%+69.3%
Q4 2022-34.4%-34.0%-52.9%
Q3 2022-10.0%-8.6%-23.2%
Q2 2022+1.1%+7.0%-18.5%
Q1 2022-10.9%-10.5%-7.4%
Q4 2021+4.1%-7.1%+12.2%
Q3 2021-1.3%-4.2%-19.4%
Q2 2021-9.0%-3.4%-5.6%
Q1 2021-11.8%-5.1%+7.8%
Q4 2020-17.1%-22.3%-28.3%
Q3 2020-14.1%-15.0%-9.6%
Q2 2020+25.3%+5.6%+41.4%
Q1 2020-4.5%-7.5%+70.0%
Q4 2019-5.6%-13.3%+10.0%
Q3 2019-4.5%-15.5%-19.0%
Q2 2019+9.5%+29.6%+20.4%
Q1 2019-4.6%+0.9%-11.0%
Q4 2018-7.0%-10.9%-10.2%
Q3 2018+4.2%+7.2%-9.6%
Q2 2018-11.3%-20.8%-30.2%
Q1 2018+4.6%+3.1%-4.6%
Q4 2017-12.8%-15.1%-30.2%
Q3 2017+3.3%+3.3%-3.3%
Q2 2017-1.7%-2.6%-13.0%
Q1 2017+2.1%-1.4%-15.0%
Q4 2016+0.6%-7.0%-12.7%
Q3 2016-6.0%-11.3%+16.0%
Q2 2016+8.0%+5.1%+8.4%
Q1 2016+2.1%
Q4 2015+28.3%
Q3 2015-10.4%
Q2 2015+5.3%
Q1 2015+0.7%
Q4 2014+28.3%
Q3 2014+4.5%
Q2 2014-3.7%
Q1 2014-7.1%
Q4 2013+54.0%
Q3 2013-2.7%
Q2 2013-3.1%
Q1 2013+0.0%
Q4 2012-6.4%
Q3 2012-8.0%
Q2 2012+0.5%
Q4 2011+0.5%
Q1 2012-17.0%
Q3 2011-13.2%
Q3 2010-13.2%
Q2 2011-11.3%
Q4 2010-11.3%
Q2 2010-11.3%
Q1 2011-10.6%
Q1 2010-11.0%

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