NASDAQ$ALTO

Alto Ingredients Inc · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Improved gross profit, net loss, and Adjusted EBITDA compared to Q1 2023.

Alto Ingredients reported improved first quarter 2024 results with gross profit increasing by $0.8 million, net loss decreasing by $1.4 million, and Adjusted EBITDA increasing by $3.4 million compared to the first quarter of 2023. However, weather factors and energy hedging activities impacted the quarter's performance.

  • Strategies to diversify revenue, improve capacity utilization rates, reduce costs and expand operating margins are coming to fruition.
  • First quarter 2024 financial results benefited from improved crush margins and efforts to increase essential ingredient returns and operating efficiencies.
  • Cold spike at the Pekin campus increased transportation related expenses, reduced production rates and caused a shift to lower margin feed products.
  • Unseasonably moderate weather conditions and ensuing low natural gas prices resulted in an incremental loss of $4.9 million from energy hedging activities.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$241M

Previous: $314M-23.3%
EPS

-$0.17

Previous: -$0.18+5.6%
Adjusted EBITDA

-$7.05M

No prior period
SG&A Expenses

$7.93M

No prior period
Interest Expense, Net

$1.63M

No prior period
Total Gallons Sold

99.0M

No prior period
Avg Sales Price Per Gallon

$1.86

No prior period
Total Alcohol Production

63.3M

No prior period
Essential Ingredients Sold

313.4K

No prior period
Essential Ingredients Return

49.8%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$4.64M

Previous: -$9.6M+51.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$16.4M

Previous: -$22.8M+28.1%
Net Income

-$11.7M

Previous: -$13.2M+10.9%
Operating Income

-$10.3M

Previous: -$11.6M+11.1%
Gross Profit

-$2.4M

Previous: -$3.16M+24.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$29.3M

Previous: $21.2M+38.4%
Total Assets

$435M

Previous: $460M-5.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.14M

Previous: $752K+51.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Alto Ingredients · Revenue · Quarterly

$241M

Q1 2024-23.3%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The market outlook for the rest of 2024 remains favorable, supported by solid corn inventories, improved export demand for ethanol and the EPA’s summer waiver for 15% blends.

Tailwinds

  • Solid corn inventories
  • Improved export demand for ethanol
  • EPA’s summer waiver for 15% blends.
  • Scheduled biennial outage at our Pekin wet mill was completed in April 2024 and will result in more consistent and higher production rates
  • Improving reliability as we approach the summer driving season

Headwinds

  • Cold spike at the Pekin campus increased transportation related expenses
  • Reduced production rates
  • Shift to lower margin feed products
  • Unseasonably moderate weather conditions
  • Low natural gas prices resulted in an incremental loss of $4.9 million from our energy hedging activities

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

-1.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

39%

25 / 64 earnings

Positive

+54.6%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-58.2%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.3%+1.3%+20.1%
Q4 2025+54.6%+76.9%+79.6%
Q3 2025+21.9%+53.4%+116.4%
Q1 2025-1.4%-4.7%+18.6%
Q4 2024+6.8%-4.8%-38.8%
Q3 2024-37.3%-30.1%-22.3%
Q2 2024+4.3%-0.7%+2.9%
Q1 2024-7.4%-11.1%-23.7%
Q4 2023-7.4%-8.8%-5.1%
Q3 2023-58.2%-54.8%-45.5%
Q2 2023+11.8%+9.2%-4.9%
Q1 2023+12.1%+45.7%+69.3%
Q4 2022-34.4%-34.0%-52.9%
Q3 2022-10.0%-8.6%-23.2%
Q2 2022+1.1%+7.0%-18.5%
Q1 2022-10.9%-10.5%-7.4%
Q4 2021+4.1%-7.1%+12.2%
Q3 2021-1.3%-4.2%-19.4%
Q2 2021-9.0%-3.4%-5.6%
Q1 2021-11.8%-5.1%+7.8%
Q4 2020-17.1%-22.3%-28.3%
Q3 2020-14.1%-15.0%-9.6%
Q2 2020+25.3%+5.6%+41.4%
Q1 2020-4.5%-7.5%+70.0%
Q4 2019-5.6%-13.3%+10.0%
Q3 2019-4.5%-15.5%-19.0%
Q2 2019+9.5%+29.6%+20.4%
Q1 2019-4.6%+0.9%-11.0%
Q4 2018-7.0%-10.9%-10.2%
Q3 2018+4.2%+7.2%-9.6%
Q2 2018-11.3%-20.8%-30.2%
Q1 2018+4.6%+3.1%-4.6%
Q4 2017-12.8%-15.1%-30.2%
Q3 2017+3.3%+3.3%-3.3%
Q2 2017-1.7%-2.6%-13.0%
Q1 2017+2.1%-1.4%-15.0%
Q4 2016+0.6%-7.0%-12.7%
Q3 2016-6.0%-11.3%+16.0%
Q2 2016+8.0%+5.1%+8.4%
Q1 2016+2.1%
Q4 2015+28.3%
Q3 2015-10.4%
Q2 2015+5.3%
Q1 2015+0.7%
Q4 2014+28.3%
Q3 2014+4.5%
Q2 2014-3.7%
Q1 2014-7.1%
Q4 2013+54.0%
Q3 2013-2.7%
Q2 2013-3.1%
Q1 2013+0.0%
Q4 2012-6.4%
Q3 2012-8.0%
Q2 2012+0.5%
Q4 2011+0.5%
Q1 2012-17.0%
Q3 2011-13.2%
Q3 2010-13.2%
Q2 2011-11.3%
Q4 2010-11.3%
Q2 2010-11.3%
Q1 2011-10.6%
Q1 2010-11.0%

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