NASDAQ$ADSK

Autodesk, Inc. · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported record quarterly and full-year revenue, cash flow from operating activities, and free cash flow.

Autodesk reported a 9% increase in total revenue to $1.32 billion for Q4 2023. GAAP operating margin was 21%, up 9 percentage points, and non-GAAP operating margin was 36%, up 1 percentage point. GAAP diluted EPS was $1.35, while non-GAAP diluted EPS was $1.86. Free cash flow was $903 million.

  • Total revenue increased 9 percent to $1.32 billion.
  • GAAP operating margin was 21 percent, up 9 percentage points.
  • Non-GAAP operating margin was 36 percent, up 1 percentage point.
  • Total billings increased 28 percent to $2.12 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.32B

Previous: $1.21B+8.7%
EPS (adj)

$1.86

Previous: $1.50+24.0%
Billings

$2.12B

Previous: $1.66B+27.7%
GAAP Operating Margin

21.0%

Previous: 12.0%+75.0%
Non-GAAP Operating Margin

36.0%

Previous: 35.0%+2.9%
Capital Expenditures

$8M

Previous: $6.5M+23.1%
Free Cash Flow

$903M

Previous: $716M+26.1%
Net Income

$293M

Previous: $89.1M+228.8%
Operating Income

$277M

Previous: $142M+94.5%
Gross Profit

$1.19B

Previous: $1.1B+8.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.95B

Previous: $1.53B+27.4%
Total Assets

$9.44B

Previous: $8.61B+9.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$164M

Previous: $146M+12.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Autodesk · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.32B

Q4 2023+8.7%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Autodesk · $739M total across 4 segments · Q3 2024

  • AutoCAD and AutoCAD LT
    $372M
  • MFG
    $269M
  • M&E
    $73M
  • Other
    $25M

Forward guidance

Autodesk's business outlook for the first quarter and full-year fiscal 2024 takes into consideration the current economic environment and foreign exchange currency rate environment.

Tailwinds

  • Q1 FY24 Revenue is expected to be between $1,260 million and $1,275 million.
  • Q1 FY24 EPS GAAP is expected to be between $0.74 and $0.80.
  • Q1 FY24 EPS non-GAAP is expected to be between $1.50 and $1.56.
  • FY24 Revenue is expected to be between $5,355 million and $5,455 million.
  • FY24 EPS GAAP is expected to be between $3.63 and $3.97.

Headwinds

  • FY24 Billings are expected to be between $5,025 million and $5,175 million, down 13% - 11%.
  • Excluding the approximate 2 ppt impact of foreign currency exchange rates and hedge gains/losses, billings guidance would be down 11% to 9%.
  • Excluding the approximate 4 ppt impact of foreign currency exchange rates and hedge gains/losses, revenue guidance would be up 11% to 13%.
  • FY24 GAAP operating margin is expected to be approximately flat year over year.
  • FY24 Free cash flow is expected to be between $1,150 million and $1,250 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

34 / 73 earnings

Positive

+17.0%

Q1 2018

Best reaction

-18.9%

Q2 2012

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2027
Q4 2026-1.8%+10.5%-1.5%
Q3 2026-3.6%+3.6%+2.1%
Q2 2026+8.9%+10.1%+11.9%
Q1 2026+0.2%+1.4%+0.7%
Q4 2025-2.9%-5.4%-7.3%
Q3 2025-9.0%-8.6%-6.0%
Q2 2025+1.5%+1.3%+6.8%
Q1 2025+2.2%+3.5%+14.0%
Q4 2024+3.7%-3.1%+2.0%
Q3 2024-7.8%-7.4%+10.1%
Q2 2024+4.0%+8.2%+1.7%
Q1 2024+1.1%-0.9%+2.7%
Q4 2023-11.2%-8.3%-7.6%
Q3 2023-4.6%-2.8%-8.9%
Q2 2023+3.1%-3.7%-13.6%
Q1 2023+13.3%+11.4%+3.2%
Q4 2022+5.1%+2.4%+1.5%
Q3 2022-17.3%-18.1%-9.5%
Q2 2022-9.1%-8.1%-13.6%
Q1 2022-2.3%-3.8%-1.3%
Q4 2021-7.7%-7.0%-10.0%
Q3 2021+5.4%+6.0%+17.2%
Q2 2021-1.4%-1.8%-12.2%
Q1 2021+1.6%+9.9%+16.6%
Q4 2020+0.1%-5.3%-25.8%
Q3 2020+6.7%+7.1%+9.1%
Q2 2020-5.2%-3.4%+0.9%
Q1 2020-7.4%-7.4%-1.8%
Q4 2019-2.7%-5.8%-5.1%
Q3 2019+7.4%+5.5%-0.6%
Q2 2019+14.8%+14.5%+11.3%
Q1 2019-4.7%-7.0%-2.0%
Q4 2018+15.8%+17.2%+7.7%
Q3 2018-16.0%-17.8%-19.3%
Q2 2018+3.9%+0.6%+1.0%
Q1 2018+17.0%+20.2%+11.6%
Q4 2017-4.1%-7.7%-2.8%
Q3 2017-3.4%-6.1%-0.3%
Q2 2017+9.0%+7.7%+13.5%
Q1 2017-2.7%
Q4 2016+4.1%
Q3 2016-1.1%
Q2 2016-3.3%
Q1 2016-1.4%
Q4 2015+3.6%
Q3 2015+4.8%
Q2 2015-5.6%
Q1 2015+7.5%
Q4 2014-0.7%
Q3 2014+8.3%
Q2 2014+9.2%
Q1 2014-5.9%
Q4 2013-3.0%
Q3 2013+3.4%
Q2 2013-15.1%
Q1 2013-15.7%
Q4 2012-0.4%
Q3 2012+5.9%
Q2 2012-18.9%
Q1 2012-4.4%
Q4 2011+6.3%
Q3 2011+0.7%
Q2 2011+5.7%
Q1 2011+0.6%
Q4 2008+0.3%
Q4 2010+0.3%
Q3 2010-4.0%
Q3 2009-4.0%
Q2 2010-3.4%
Q2 2009-3.4%
Q4 2009-0.1%
Q1 2010-0.1%
Q1 2009-0.1%

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