NYSE$XYZ

Block Inc. · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Square, Inc. drove strong revenue growth and invested in long-term growth during the fourth quarter of 2019.

In the fourth quarter of 2019, Square's total net revenue grew 41% year over year to $1.31 billion, and gross profit grew 39% year over year to $527 million. Net income was $391 million, which included a gain of $373 million from the sale of Caviar. Excluding the gain on sale, net income was $17 million.

  • Total net revenue and gross profit grew 41% and 39% year over year, respectively.
  • Excluding Caviar, total net revenue and gross profit grew 46% and 42% year over year, respectively.
  • Cash App growth remained strong with total net revenue and gross profit increasing 147% and 104% year over year, respectively.
  • Cash App had approximately 24 million monthly active customers in December 2019, achieving 60% year-over-year growth.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$621M

Previous: $464M+33.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.23

Previous: $0.14+64.3%
Cash App MTA

24.0M

Previous: 15.0M+60.0%
Capital Expenditures

$16.7M

Previous: $24M-30.6%
Free Cash Flow

$44.4M

Previous: $152M-70.8%
Net Income

$391M

Previous: -$28.2M+1486.3%
Operating Income

$17.3M

Previous: -$3.11M+658.2%
Gross Profit

$527M

Previous: $380M+38.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.05B

Previous: $583M+79.6%
Total Assets

$4.55B

Previous: $3.28B+38.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$79.9M

Previous: $59M+35.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Block Inc. · Revenue · Quarterly

$621M

Q4 2019+33.7%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 8 of 16 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Block Inc. · $539M total across 2 segments · Q4 2019

  • Cash App
    $361M+147.0%
  • Bitcoin Ecosystem
    $178M+238.6%

Forward guidance

Square provided guidance for Q1 2020 and full year 2020, reflecting strong revenue and gross profit growth.

Tailwinds

  • Total net revenue for Q1 2020 is expected to be $1.34 billion to $1.36 billion.
  • Gross profit for Q1 2020 is expected to be $550 million to $560 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2020 is expected to be $95 million to $100 million.
  • Adjusted EPS (diluted) for Q1 2020 is expected to be $0.16 to $0.18.
  • Total net revenue for 2020 is expected to be $5.9 billion to $5.96 billion.

Headwinds

  • Net income (loss) per share for Q1 2020 is expected to be $(0.03) to $(0.01).
  • Operating expense base will increase in the first quarter as investments are made in growth opportunities.
  • Share-based compensation is expected to increase as a percentage of gross profit compared to 2019.
  • Transaction-based costs and bitcoin costs for 2020 are expected to be $3.1 billion to $3.115 billion.
  • The first quarter is typically the slowest in terms of sequential gross profit growth due to seasonality, driven primarily by the Seller business.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+1.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.0%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

24 / 46 earnings

Positive

+35.1%

Q4 2021

Best reaction

-24.5%

Q1 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+7.3%+1.7%-3.6%
Q4 2025-4.2%+19.6%+2.7%
Q3 2025-7.7%-7.3%-13.8%
Q2 2025-4.5%+0.1%-2.5%
Q1 2025-20.4%-18.0%+5.6%
Q4 2024-17.7%-21.4%-26.4%
Q3 2024-4.0%+12.4%+26.5%
Q2 2024-2.4%-7.5%+6.8%
Q1 2024+3.9%+7.1%-4.1%
Q4 2023+22.4%+20.5%+25.3%
Q3 2023+18.8%+24.6%+58.8%
Q2 2023-14.7%-16.3%-21.9%
Q1 2023-0.1%+0.0%+7.0%
Q4 2022+6.1%+5.2%-16.8%
Q3 2022+10.0%+14.4%+24.8%
Q2 2022-0.4%-7.9%-24.7%
Q1 2022-9.9%-21.0%-22.2%
Q4 2021+35.1%+42.1%+46.9%
Q3 2021-6.0%-8.6%-28.2%
Q2 2021+10.2%+11.3%+8.4%
Q1 2021+0.6%-4.8%-7.8%
Q4 2020-11.5%-14.2%-22.2%
Q3 2020+15.6%+0.4%+21.5%
Q2 2020+8.7%+9.2%+13.4%
Q1 2020+11.9%+12.3%+34.8%
Q4 2019+2.9%+4.7%-30.8%
Q3 2019+5.5%+4.5%+11.3%
Q2 2019-13.4%-19.7%-23.1%
Q1 2019-7.0%-3.7%-14.9%
Q4 2018+4.2%-4.2%-3.9%
Q3 2018-2.7%-9.7%-21.4%
Q2 2018+12.4%+9.7%+37.1%
Q1 2018+2.1%+6.1%+23.3%
Q4 2017-1.1%-1.1%+5.7%
Q3 2017+3.3%+8.8%+3.6%
Q2 2017-5.9%-4.2%-3.3%
Q1 2017+5.8%+4.0%+23.3%
Q4 2014-0.6%-3.1%-1.2%
Q4 2016+17.2%+22.6%+13.4%
Q3 2015+8.3%+10.4%+18.0%
Q3 2016+5.2%+8.8%+13.5%
Q2 2015+6.8%+8.2%+15.4%
Q2 2016+12.6%+12.0%+19.9%
Q1 2015-24.5%
Q1 2016-23.7%
Q4 2015-1.6%
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014

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