NYSE$WD

Walker & Dunlop Inc · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Walker & Dunlop's financial performance was impacted by market uncertainty and rising rates, which slowed transaction volume, while adjusted core EPS and adjusted EBITDA increased, showcasing the durability of the business model.

Walker & Dunlop reported a mixed Q1 2024 with a 4% decrease in total revenues to $228.1 million and a 55% decrease in net income to $11.9 million, or $0.35 per diluted share. However, adjusted EBITDA increased by 9% to $74.1 million, and adjusted core EPS rose by 2% to $1.19, demonstrating the strength of recurring revenue streams despite market headwinds.

  • Total transaction volume was $6.4 billion, a 5% decrease compared to Q1 2023.
  • Total revenues amounted to $228.1 million, a 4% decrease year-over-year.
  • Net income was reported at $11.9 million, with diluted earnings per share at $0.35, reflecting decreases of 55% and 56%, respectively, from Q1 2023.
  • The servicing portfolio reached $132.0 billion as of March 31, 2024, marking a 6% increase from March 31, 2023.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$228M

Previous: $239M-4.5%
EPS

$0.35

Previous: $0.79-55.7%
Total Transaction Volume

$6.39B

No prior period
Debt Financing Volume

$5.23B

No prior period
Property Sales Volume

$1.17B

No prior period
Total Servicing Portfolio

$132B

Previous: $125B+5.9%
Operating Margin

6.0%

Previous: 14.0%-57.1%
Adjusted EBITDA

$74.1M

No prior period
Return on Equity

3.0%

No prior period
Custodial Escrow Deposits

$2.3B

No prior period
WA Servicing Fee Rate

24

No prior period
WA Remaining Term

8

No prior period
At-Risk Servicing Portfolio

$59.5B

No prior period
Max Exposure At-Risk

$12.1B

No prior period
Defaulted Loans

$63.3M

No prior period
Allowance % of At-Risk

0.1%

No prior period
Allowance % of Max Exp

0.3%

No prior period
Origination Fee Rate

0.8%

No prior period
Agency MSR Rate

1.1%

No prior period
Personnel Expense %

49.0%

No prior period
Other Operating Exp %

13.0%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$3.22M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$11.9M

Previous: $26.7M-55.5%
Net Income

$11.9M

Previous: $26.7M-55.5%
Operating Income

-$16.6M

Previous: -$233K-7042.1%
Gross Profit

$227M

Previous: $228M-0.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Walker & Dunlop · Revenue · Quarterly

$228M

Q1 2024-4.5%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 3 of 14 quarters(21%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Walker & Dunlop · $273M total across 3 segments · Q2 2023

  • Servicing & Asset Management
    $143M+7.8%
  • Capital Markets
    $126M-39.4%
  • Corporate
    $3.79M+1278.2%

Forward guidance

Walker & Dunlop believes its full-year 2024 financial guidance is achievable given the volume of loan refinancings and equity capital looking to be deployed between now and year-end.

Tailwinds

  • Commercial real estate investors are adapting to 'higher for longer' interest rates.
  • Investors are actively refinancing properties.
  • Investors are buying and selling properties.
  • Investors are raising new capital.
  • Company's full-year 2024 financial guidance is achievable given loan refinancings and equity capital deployment.

Headwinds

  • Market uncertainty.
  • Rising interest rates.
  • Higher rates are headwinds.
  • Uncertain Fed policy are headwinds.
  • Team must provide clients with solutions in challenging markets.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

36 / 63 earnings

Positive

+15.8%

Q4 2016

Best reaction

-20.0%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.0%+3.8%-3.6%
Q4 2025-20.0%-17.3%-26.9%
Q3 2025-11.5%-15.2%-20.9%
Q1 2025-3.3%-6.6%-10.5%
Q4 2024-5.3%-6.2%-4.2%
Q3 2024-0.9%-2.4%-3.6%
Q2 2024+3.2%+3.2%+4.8%
Q1 2024+2.7%+4.1%+3.5%
Q4 2023+2.9%+0.3%-4.9%
Q3 2023-1.0%+11.4%+29.4%
Q2 2023-2.2%-4.2%-5.4%
Q1 2023+3.1%-2.5%+15.2%
Q4 2022-4.3%-4.6%-21.6%
Q3 2022-1.1%-1.3%-4.3%
Q2 2022-6.2%-4.4%-13.6%
Q1 2022-13.4%-16.5%-11.4%
Q4 2021+6.5%+8.7%+3.7%
Q3 2021+8.5%+10.3%+9.4%
Q2 2021+1.1%-0.1%+8.5%
Q1 2021-7.7%-12.3%-10.9%
Q4 2020+10.7%+16.0%+16.7%
Q3 2020+6.9%+15.8%+37.9%
Q2 2020+9.1%+14.4%+7.8%
Q1 2020+8.3%+3.5%+37.5%
Q4 2019+11.2%+13.9%-3.9%
Q3 2019+0.5%+3.2%+3.9%
Q2 2019+2.4%+2.8%-9.2%
Q1 2019+0.9%+0.6%-8.5%
Q4 2018+5.5%+6.9%+9.0%
Q3 2018-6.5%-7.7%-3.5%
Q2 2018-6.9%-10.2%-8.0%
Q1 2018-6.0%-5.0%-2.3%
Q4 2017+5.4%-3.0%+5.4%
Q3 2017-2.1%-14.3%-10.1%
Q2 2017-1.1%-2.3%-4.7%
Q1 2017+8.2%+8.8%+7.8%
Q4 2016+15.8%+18.8%+27.4%
Q3 2016+11.3%+16.2%+21.4%
Q2 2016+14.1%+16.6%+13.1%
Q1 2016+6.9%
Q4 2015-9.2%
Q3 2015+4.9%
Q2 2015-4.5%
Q1 2015+12.0%
Q4 2014-8.6%
Q3 2014+0.1%
Q2 2014+2.0%
Q1 2014-3.5%
Q4 2013+14.0%
Q3 2013-3.2%
Q2 2013-18.7%
Q1 2013-0.8%
Q4 2012-4.5%
Q3 2012+5.8%
Q2 2012-3.7%
Q1 2011-1.7%
Q1 2012+1.2%
Q4 2009+1.3%
Q4 2011+1.3%
Q3 2010+2.7%
Q3 2011+2.7%
Q2 2011+3.1%
Q4 2010+3.1%
Q2 2010
Q1 2010

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