NYSE$UVE

Universal Insurance Holdings Inc · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported third quarter diluted EPS of $(0.10) on a GAAP basis and $(1.43) non-GAAP adjusted EPS1.

Universal Insurance Holdings reported a 35.7% increase in total revenue to $311.7 million compared to the year-ago quarter. However, the company experienced a GAAP diluted EPS of $(0.10) and a non-GAAP adjusted EPS of $(1.43) due to elevated industry-wide weather events and prior year's reserve development. Despite these challenges, the company achieved a year-to-date annualized return on average equity of 10.0%.

  • Total revenue increased by 35.7% to $311.7 million in 3Q20.
  • Direct premiums written grew by 19.4% in 3Q20.
  • GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) was $(0.10), while non-GAAP adjusted EPS was $(1.43).
  • Book value per share increased 0.1% since the end of 2019 to $15.15.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$312M

Previous: $230M+35.7%
EPS (adj)

-$1.43

Previous: $0.61-334.4%
Direct Premiums Written

$409M

Previous: $343M+19.4%
Net Expense Ratio

332.9%

No prior period
Net Loss Ratio

101.8%

No prior period
Combined Ratio

134.7%

No prior period
Book Value Per Share

$15.15

No prior period
Policies in Force

965.5K

Previous: 872.6K+10.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$14.6M

Previous: -$9.72M-50.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$17.7M

Previous: $10.4M-270.3%
Net Income

-$3.17M

Previous: $20.1M-115.7%
Operating Income

-$54.8M

Previous: -$16.6M-229.9%
Gross Profit

$22.2M

Previous: $52.6M-57.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$405M

Previous: $160M+153.8%
Total Assets

$2.05B

Previous: $1.83B+12.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Universal Insurance · Revenue · Quarterly

$312M

Q3 2020+35.7%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Universal Insurance · $16.1M total across 3 segments · Q2 2020

  • Commission Revenue
    $7.76M
  • Policy Fees
    $6.55M
  • Other Revenue
    $1.81M

Forward guidance

The Company is updating its guidance for 2020 to reflect increased top line revenue, offset by elevated third quarter loss and LAE (assuming no further extraordinary weather events and no realized or unrealized gains in 4Q20)

Tailwinds

  • GAAP EPS in a range of $1.80 - $2.10 (reduced from previous range of $2.31 - $2.61)
  • Non-GAAP Adjusted EPS in a range of $0.55 - $0.85 (reduced from previous range of $2.40 - $2.70)
  • Annualized return on average equity (derived from GAAP measures) in a range of 11.1% - 14.1% (reduced from previous range of 13.5% - 16.5%)

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.4%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

37 / 65 earnings

Positive

+22.0%

Q4 2023

Best reaction

-21.4%

Q3 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-5.0%-5.3%-10.3%
Q4 2025+2.8%+13.9%+5.5%
Q3 2025+11.3%+9.8%+16.5%
Q2 2025-3.1%+0.5%+4.2%
Q1 2025+1.0%+3.6%+12.4%
Q4 2024+9.3%+8.5%+13.8%
Q3 2024-2.0%+2.4%+16.6%
Q2 2024-1.6%+4.0%+8.4%
Q1 2024-3.6%-3.7%-3.4%
Q4 2023+22.0%+18.6%+14.2%
Q3 2023-0.7%+10.3%+18.5%
Q2 2023-5.2%-2.8%-18.7%
Q1 2023-17.0%-13.1%-19.0%
Q4 2022+21.5%+56.1%+47.4%
Q3 2022+1.9%+5.4%+12.8%
Q2 2022+6.8%+6.5%+7.1%
Q1 2022+4.1%+4.2%+5.7%
Q4 2021-3.1%-25.8%-29.0%
Q3 2021+7.6%+8.5%+13.4%
Q2 2021+5.7%+4.9%+9.4%
Q1 2021+2.1%+6.3%+3.8%
Q4 2020+5.2%+3.7%+6.0%
Q3 2020-21.4%-11.6%+4.4%
Q2 2020+2.8%+3.2%+9.9%
Q1 2020+4.4%+1.3%+6.8%
Q4 2019-0.7%+8.3%-22.6%
Q3 2019-7.3%-5.8%-0.5%
Q2 2019-0.4%+5.3%-0.6%
Q1 2019+0.0%-1.1%-5.8%
Q4 2018-15.4%-18.7%-20.0%
Q3 2018-8.3%-8.6%-7.3%
Q2 2018+11.4%+17.5%+20.3%
Q1 2018+3.5%+2.0%+10.3%
Q4 2017+6.9%+3.4%+8.6%
Q3 2017+7.9%+8.5%+10.9%
Q2 2017+0.6%+2.8%-4.2%
Q1 2017+13.8%+13.8%+8.7%
Q4 2016+4.8%+4.2%-8.6%
Q3 2016-5.0%-7.2%+15.6%
Q2 2016+5.4%+3.3%+15.9%
Q1 2016-1.4%
Q4 2015+5.9%
Q3 2015-12.0%
Q2 2015+8.5%
Q1 2015+3.9%
Q4 2014+11.5%
Q3 2014+13.5%
Q2 2014+4.4%
Q1 2014-14.4%
Q4 2013+5.4%
Q3 2013+0.5%
Q2 2013+6.3%
Q1 2013+4.4%
Q4 2012+4.0%
Q3 2012+3.4%
Q2 2012+1.5%
Q1 2011-0.3%
Q1 2012+2.1%
Q4 2011-11.9%
Q4 2009-11.9%
Q3 2010-10.9%
Q3 2011-10.9%
Q2 2010-10.2%
Q4 2010-10.2%
Q2 2011-10.2%

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