NYSE$USPH

US Physical Therapy Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

USPH reported Q4 2020 results, reinstated dividend, and provided 2021 earnings guidance.

U.S. Physical Therapy's Q4 2020 results showed a net revenue of $117.5 million compared to $122.1 million in Q4 2019. Net income attributable to USPH shareholders was $13.0 million, or $0.68 per share, as compared to $7.9 million, or $0.55 per share in Q4 2019. The company reinstated its quarterly dividend and provided 2021 earnings guidance.

  • Net revenues for Q4 2020 were $117.5 million, compared to $122.1 million for Q4 2019.
  • Net income attributable to USPH shareholders was $13.0 million, or $0.68 per share, compared to $7.9 million, or $0.55 per share for Q4 2019.
  • The company's Board of Directors reinstated the quarterly dividend at $0.35 per share.
  • Management expects the Company’s Operating Results for 2021 to be in the range of $30.9 million to $32.5 million, or $2.40 to $2.52 per share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$117M

Previous: $122M-3.8%
EPS (adj)

$1.08

Previous: $0.64+68.8%
Net Income

$18.6M

Previous: $12M+55.0%
Operating Income

$18.2M

Previous: $15.3M+19.1%
Gross Profit

$29.1M

Previous: $27M+8.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$32.9M

Previous: $23.5M+39.8%
Total Assets

$594M

Previous: $561M+6.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.59M

Previous: $1.72M+50.4%

Revenue & EPS history

US Physical Therapy · Revenue · Quarterly

$117M

Q4 2020-3.8%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

US Physical Therapy · $203M total across 2 segments · Q4 2025

  • Physical Therapy Operations
    $174M+13.0%
  • Injury Prevention
    $28.7M+8.7%

Forward guidance

Management currently expects the Company’s Operating Results for 2021 to be in the range of $30.9 million to $32.5 million, or $2.40 to $2.52 per share.

Tailwinds

  • The team we have can work through and overcome whatever obstacles come our way.
  • We also continue to believe that we are well positioned to attract truly excellent partners as we work with grit and strong resolve to grow and scale our Company while we serve those who are entrusted to us with great care.
  • The Company’s net cash flow in 2020 was stronger than initially expected and our results improved consistently from May through December, putting our balance sheet in a strong position as we begin 2021.
  • We are pleased to reinstate and increase the quarterly dividend
  • extend our credit agreement with Bank of America for an additional four years on favorable terms.

Headwinds

  • The previously-announced Medicare rate reduction for the full year of 2021 of approximately 3.5%, which is expected to reduce the Company’s 2021 revenue by approximately $4.5 million, or $0.21 per share after non-controlling interest and taxes
  • The previously-announced cessation of the 2% sequestration relief applied to all Medicare payments effective April 1, 2021, which is expected to reduce the Company’s 2021 revenue, beginning in the second quarter, by approximately $2.0 million, or $0.10 per share after non-controlling interest and taxes
  • Lost revenues related to significant weather-related events in February, primarily in Texas and Tennessee, of approximately $2.8 million, or $0.13 per share after non-controlling interest and taxes
  • This earnings range is based on an estimated annual effective tax rate of approximately 27.0%.
  • The 2021 earnings guidance range excludes expenses associated with the previously-announced retirement and replacement of one of the Company’s co-Chief Operating Officers.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.3%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

35 / 66 earnings

Positive

+17.3%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-27.5%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.5%+1.3%+7.5%
Q4 2025-2.9%+1.9%-8.5%
Q3 2025+0.9%-15.8%-13.8%
Q2 2025+14.7%+20.4%+17.8%
Q1 2025-0.1%+8.8%+8.9%
Q4 2024-6.0%-9.5%-18.0%
Q3 2024+17.3%+14.8%+17.9%
Q2 2024-6.8%-3.9%-5.4%
Q1 2024-2.2%+0.2%-8.0%
Q4 2023+3.4%+2.8%+9.8%
Q3 2023-2.8%-3.3%+4.3%
Q2 2023-8.6%-8.1%-19.8%
Q1 2023+4.5%+10.1%+2.1%
Q4 2022+2.1%+2.2%-5.7%
Q3 2022-8.9%-4.0%-0.3%
Q2 2022-27.5%-29.9%-37.0%
Q1 2022-4.4%-4.1%+4.2%
Q4 2021-5.8%-6.5%-2.1%
Q3 2021-3.6%-8.2%-21.6%
Q2 2021-3.6%-5.4%-1.1%
Q1 2021+6.0%+4.5%+6.6%
Q4 2020-17.2%-19.8%-24.3%
Q3 2020+8.4%+26.6%+29.2%
Q2 2020+2.4%+1.1%+3.7%
Q1 2020-1.0%+2.7%+0.9%
Q4 2019-17.7%-16.0%-49.0%
Q3 2019-20.1%-20.4%-20.5%
Q2 2019+3.9%+6.1%+8.1%
Q1 2019+2.3%+3.3%-1.2%
Q4 2018+3.2%+3.4%+2.1%
Q3 2018+5.1%+6.5%+10.7%
Q2 2018+8.9%+7.0%+18.9%
Q1 2018-1.4%-0.5%+2.4%
Q4 2017+6.8%+2.7%+4.9%
Q3 2017-2.6%-2.9%+5.7%
Q2 2017+2.4%+2.6%-2.9%
Q1 2017-6.0%+0.8%-2.1%
Q4 2016+1.7%+2.0%-1.2%
Q3 2016-1.2%+0.5%+14.3%
Q2 2016+4.7%+4.0%+9.7%
Q1 2016+12.7%
Q4 2015+1.2%
Q3 2015+2.3%
Q2 2015-5.0%
Q1 2015+7.9%
Q4 2014+5.4%
Q3 2014-7.2%
Q2 2014+5.8%
Q1 2014+3.0%
Q4 2013-0.3%
Q3 2013-7.1%
Q2 2013+6.0%
Q1 2013+3.5%
Q4 2012-4.6%
Q3 2012+0.6%
Q2 2012+0.6%
Q1 2011+1.0%
Q1 2012+2.1%
Q4 2009-0.2%
Q4 2011-0.2%
Q3 2011+1.9%
Q3 2010+1.9%
Q2 2010-10.9%
Q2 2011-10.9%
Q4 2010-10.9%
Q1 2010+12.8%

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