NYSE$UNFI

United Natural Foods Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

UNFI reported record fourth quarter and strong full year fiscal 2020 results.

UNFI's Q4 2020 net sales increased by 0.4% to $6.75 billion, and net income increased by 173.7% to $52 million. Adjusted EPS increased 202.9% to $1.06. The company's supply chain network and customer demand drove the positive results.

  • Net sales increased 0.4% to $6.75 billion, an 8.0% increase on a comparable basis.
  • Net income increased 173.7% to $52 million, a 207.1% increase on a comparable basis.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased 19.3% to $198 million, a 27.9% increase on a comparable basis.
  • Adjusted EPS increased 202.9% to $1.06, a 205.2% increase on a comparable basis

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$6.76B

Previous: $6.41B+5.4%
EPS (adj)

$1.06

Previous: $0.44+140.9%
Adjusted EBITDA

$198M

Previous: $166M+19.3%
Capital Expenditures

$54.3M

Previous: $70.9M-23.3%
Free Cash Flow

$284M

Previous: $136M+108.1%
Net Income

$52M

Previous: $18.9M+174.6%
Operating Income

$79M

Previous: $66.3M+19.2%
Gross Profit

$1B

Previous: $822M+21.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$47M

Previous: $44.5M+5.7%
Total Assets

$7.59B

Previous: $7.17B+5.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$9.56M

Previous: $6.72M+42.1%

Revenue & EPS history

UNFI · Revenue · Quarterly

$6.76B

Q4 2020+5.4%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

UNFI · $7.99B total across 3 segments · Q3 2026

  • Natural
    $4.34B
  • Conventional
    $3.14B
  • Retail
    $515M

Forward guidance

The Company provided the following outlook for fiscal 2021, assuming elevated food-at-home consumption.

Tailwinds

  • Net Sales: $27.0 - $27.8 billion
  • Net Income: $154 - $183 million
  • Earnings Per Diluted Share (EPS): $2.55 - $3.05
  • Adjusted EPS: $3.05 - $3.55
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $690 - $730 million

Headwinds

  • This outlook is forward-looking and subject to risks.
  • The outlook assumes that food-at-home consumption remains elevated.
  • Sales growth will be more pronounced in the first half of fiscal 2021.
  • Capital Expenditures: $200 - $250 million
  • Many risks are outside of management's control.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

-2.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-4.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-3.9%

Avg return

30 days after

37%

25 / 68 earnings

Positive

+34.0%

Q4 2021

Best reaction

-34.5%

Q3 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026-9.9%-1.8%
Q2 2026-3.0%+7.3%+22.1%
Q1 2026+4.8%-0.7%-2.0%
Q4 2025+18.8%+27.6%+20.1%
Q3 2025-2.7%-3.5%+23.5%
Q2 2025-4.9%+3.5%-8.1%
Q1 2025+13.8%+15.4%+16.9%
Q4 2024+25.4%+17.5%+20.9%
Q3 2024+28.0%+17.8%+2.2%
Q2 2024-19.6%-19.8%-29.9%
Q1 2024-3.6%-7.9%-6.0%
Q4 2023-22.4%-25.3%-22.8%
Q3 2023-20.6%-23.6%-28.8%
Q2 2023-28.6%-38.4%-36.6%
Q1 2023-15.5%-13.4%-13.9%
Q4 2022-6.3%-10.6%+6.9%
Q3 2022-1.2%-6.8%-12.3%
Q2 2022-9.7%-9.3%+6.7%
Q1 2022+10.2%+3.9%-2.8%
Q4 2021+34.0%+29.4%+12.9%
Q3 2021-14.5%-9.2%-10.7%
Q2 2021+28.6%+20.5%+15.7%
Q1 2021-9.5%-20.5%-11.8%
Q4 2020-8.1%-11.1%-14.6%
Q3 2020-34.5%-26.6%-13.9%
Q2 2020-19.9%+9.0%+47.3%
Q1 2020-26.7%-27.6%-14.1%
Q4 2019-29.1%-35.3%-34.9%
Q3 2019-4.1%+0.6%-8.0%
Q2 2019-9.3%-6.5%-12.4%
Q1 2019-26.8%-34.6%-46.3%
Q4 2018-7.0%-7.3%-19.6%
Q3 2018-15.5%-12.4%-8.8%
Q2 2018+4.9%+4.2%-0.6%
Q1 2018+0.7%+2.6%-9.2%
Q4 2017+7.1%+9.4%+10.7%
Q3 2017-5.3%-2.2%-14.1%
Q2 2017+0.0%-2.4%+0.0%
Q1 2017-4.9%-7.1%-3.4%
Q4 2016-1.1%-7.0%+2.5%
Q3 2016+14.7%+9.7%+22.2%
Q2 2016+12.2%
Q1 2016-14.1%
Q4 2015+0.6%
Q3 2015-4.9%
Q2 2015-6.5%
Q1 2015-1.7%
Q4 2014+1.2%
Q3 2014-8.4%
Q2 2014-0.1%
Q1 2014+1.2%
Q4 2013+15.2%
Q3 2013-1.7%
Q2 2013-4.5%
Q1 2013-0.1%
Q4 2012-3.8%
Q3 2012+3.5%
Q2 2012+2.7%
Q1 2012-2.7%
Q4 2009-1.8%
Q4 2011-1.8%
Q3 2011+1.0%
Q3 2010+1.0%
Q2 2011-1.7%
Q2 2010-1.7%
Q1 2011+1.1%
Q1 2010+1.1%
Q4 2010+1.1%

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