NYSE$TSM

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd - ADR · Q4 2025 earnings

Q4 2025 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

TSMC posted strong fourth-quarter results with growth in both revenue and earnings.

TSMC delivered solid Q4 performance, driven by strong demand for 3nm and 5nm technologies, with revenues and net income growing sequentially and year-over-year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$33.7B

Previous: $26.9B+25.6%
EPS (adj)

$3.14

Previous: $2.24+40.2%
Gross Margin

62.3%

No prior period
Operating Margin

54.0%

No prior period
Net Profit Margin

48.3%

No prior period
Net Income

$16.3B

Previous: $11.6B+40.8%
Operating Income

$18.2B

Previous: $13.2B+38.3%
Gross Profit

$21B

Previous: $15.8B+32.5%

Revenue & EPS history

TSMC · Revenue · Quarterly

$33.7B

Q4 2025+25.6%vs Q4 2024
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

TSMC expects continued strong demand for leading-edge nodes to support growth into Q1 2026.

Tailwinds

  • Q1 2026 revenue guidance between US$34.6B and US$35.8B
  • Gross margin expected to be between 63% and 65%
  • Operating margin expected between 54% and 56%
  • Strong continued demand for advanced nodes
  • CapEx for 2026 expected between US$52B and US$56B

Headwinds

  • No specific geographic or segment risks mentioned
  • High CapEx could pressure free cash flow
  • Ongoing need to manage capacity amid demand cycles
  • Macroeconomic uncertainties could impact orders
  • Exchange rate fluctuations remain a risk

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2025

Historical avgQ4 2025

+1.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.2%

Avg return

30 days after

62%

36 / 58 earnings

Positive

+10.9%

Q4 2023

Best reaction

-7.1%

Q1 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025+4.5%-1.9%+7.8%
Q4 2024+2.3%+5.8%-1.4%
Q4 2023+10.9%+10.9%+23.1%
Q3 2023+1.9%+2.3%+11.1%
Q2 2023-5.6%-2.7%-11.6%
Q1 2023-2.1%-5.7%+6.1%
Q4 2022+6.1%+8.8%+16.6%
Q3 2022-0.3%-0.6%+15.2%
Q2 2022+5.3%+6.0%+11.8%
Q1 2022-2.7%-2.0%-10.4%
Q4 2021+6.4%+1.2%-8.5%
Q3 2021+4.4%+6.3%+7.9%
Q2 2021-7.0%-6.4%-7.1%
Q1 2021-1.7%-4.9%-6.9%
Q4 2020+5.0%+10.1%+15.8%
Q3 2020-2.1%-0.4%+5.2%
Q2 2020+0.5%+2.6%+18.7%
Q1 2020+8.1%+3.4%+0.3%
Q4 2019+0.3%-0.3%-0.3%
Q3 2019-1.7%+1.0%+6.3%
Q2 2019+5.3%+6.7%-0.2%
Q1 2019+1.7%+2.3%-9.3%
Q4 2018+3.4%+1.0%+7.0%
Q3 2018-2.8%-4.0%-6.8%
Q2 2018+6.0%+5.2%+4.5%
Q1 2018-7.1%-7.6%-8.3%
Q4 2017+3.6%+7.3%+0.8%
Q3 2017-0.9%-0.4%+1.4%
Q2 2017+1.6%+0.5%+1.3%
Q1 2017-0.8%-1.5%+9.6%
Q4 2016-2.4%-1.8%+1.8%
Q3 2016-2.2%-1.6%-4.5%
Q2 2016+0.4%+1.4%+8.7%
Q1 2016-1.3%
Q4 2015+3.0%
Q3 2015-0.8%
Q2 2015+2.1%
Q1 2015-1.2%
Q4 2014+7.3%
Q3 2014+0.8%
Q2 2014+3.2%
Q1 2014+3.5%
Q4 2013-2.4%
Q3 2013+2.1%
Q2 2013+0.7%
Q1 2013-0.6%
Q4 2012+5.7%
Q3 2012+0.5%
Q2 2012+2.2%
Q1 2012+0.8%
Q4 2011+2.7%
Q3 2011-4.2%
Q2 2011+4.5%
Q1 2011+0.8%
Q4 2010+1.5%
Q3 2010-0.3%
Q2 2010-0.2%
Q1 2010+0.5%
Q3 2009
Q4 2009

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