NYSE$TRV

Travelers · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported excellent results driven by underwriting and investment performance.

Travelers reported record quarterly net income of $1.626 billion and core income of $1.633 billion, driven by strong underwriting and investment results. The combined ratio improved significantly, and net written premiums grew by 13%.

  • Record quarterly net income of $1.626 billion and core income of $1.633 billion, driven by both underwriting and investment results.
  • Exceptional consolidated combined ratio of 85.8%, an 8.7 point improvement, and underlying combined ratio of 85.9%, a 5.5 point improvement.
  • Net written premiums of $9.994 billion for the quarter, up 13%, and full year net written premiums of $40.201 billion, up 14%; both periods reflect growth in all three segments.
  • Net investment income increased 24% pre-tax over the prior year quarter, primarily due to strong fixed income returns and growth in fixed maturity investments.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$10.9B

Previous: $9.64B+13.4%
EPS (adj)

$7.01

Previous: $3.40+106.2%
Net Income

$1.63B

Previous: $819M+98.5%
Operating Income

$1.38B

Previous: $449M+206.2%
Gross Profit

$10.9B

Previous: $9.64B+13.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Travelers · Revenue · Quarterly

$10.9B

Q4 2023+13.4%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 14 of 15 quarters(93%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Travelers · $10.5B total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Business Insurance
    $5.08B+16.2%
  • Personal Insurance
    $4.41B+14.1%
  • Bond & Specialty Insurance
    $1B+4.0%

Forward guidance

Travelers anticipates continued strong performance, driven by excellent fundamentals, strategic investments, and a focus on innovation.

Tailwinds

  • Business Insurance is growing while achieving very strong margins.
  • Bond & Specialty business continues to produce excellent returns.
  • Personal Insurance business is showing significantly improved profitability, and the outlook is for continued improvement.
  • Record cash flows have enabled strategic investments and returns to shareholders.
  • Higher fixed income yields set up for higher levels of net investment income moving forward.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.1%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

44 / 73 earnings

Positive

+11.8%

Q3 2020

Best reaction

-6.9%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.4%+0.7%+0.2%
Q4 2025+1.9%+4.5%+13.1%
Q3 2025-2.9%-0.0%+6.6%
Q2 2025-0.3%-0.2%+3.6%
Q1 2025+1.1%-0.0%+9.6%
Q4 2024+3.2%+5.0%+0.4%
Q3 2024+9.3%+6.7%+7.4%
Q2 2024-6.9%-5.8%-1.8%
Q1 2024-5.7%-4.0%-1.5%
Q4 2023+7.8%+6.4%+9.7%
Q3 2023-3.2%-6.0%+1.5%
Q2 2023+1.3%+0.9%-4.7%
Q1 2023+4.2%+4.1%+6.8%
Q4 2022+2.4%-4.4%-5.6%
Q3 2022+2.5%+7.8%+10.7%
Q2 2022-1.1%+1.7%+9.1%
Q1 2022-4.1%-6.5%-8.6%
Q4 2021+1.6%+5.3%+6.6%
Q3 2021+3.8%+6.2%+2.1%
Q2 2021+0.4%-2.2%+5.4%
Q1 2021+1.9%+2.2%+2.9%
Q4 2020+0.6%-0.9%+0.6%
Q3 2020+11.8%+12.6%+19.7%
Q2 2020-3.2%-5.9%-8.5%
Q1 2020+0.0%-0.9%-2.6%
Q4 2019-4.6%-4.9%-4.4%
Q3 2019-6.9%-8.1%-5.1%
Q2 2019-0.6%+0.1%-1.3%
Q1 2019+0.5%+1.6%+8.6%
Q4 2018-0.8%+0.8%+4.7%
Q3 2018-0.3%-2.1%+1.8%
Q2 2018-3.7%-4.0%+0.3%
Q1 2018-3.7%-2.9%-4.8%
Q4 2017+5.9%+7.2%-1.2%
Q3 2017+2.5%+2.4%-0.1%
Q2 2017-1.0%+0.8%+1.1%
Q1 2017-1.1%+0.8%+0.3%
Q4 2016-0.3%+0.1%+3.7%
Q3 2016-6.8%-6.2%-3.8%
Q2 2016+0.1%+0.5%+0.4%
Q1 2016-4.3%
Q4 2015-0.5%
Q3 2015+4.1%
Q2 2015+2.6%
Q1 2015-3.9%
Q4 2014+1.9%
Q3 2014+2.6%
Q2 2014-3.7%
Q1 2014+2.0%
Q4 2013-2.2%
Q3 2013-0.6%
Q2 2013-3.8%
Q1 2013+1.5%
Q4 2012+1.7%
Q3 2012+3.0%
Q2 2012-2.0%
Q1 2012+5.5%
Q4 2011+0.9%
Q3 2011+6.0%
Q2 2011+0.9%
Q1 2011+0.5%
Q4 2010+2.5%
Q4 2008+2.5%
Q4 2009+2.5%
Q3 2010+0.8%
Q2 2010+0.5%
Q1 2009-3.5%
Q1 2010-0.0%
Q3 2008+6.8%
Q3 2009+6.8%
Q4 2007+1.1%
Q2 2008+1.1%
Q2 2009+1.1%

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