NYSE$TPC

Tutor Perini Corp · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported fourth quarter and full year 2023 results, with backlog increased and focus on resolving disputes.

Tutor Perini reported a revenue of $1.02 billion for Q4 2023. The company's backlog increased 28% year-over-year to $10.2 billion. They are establishing initial EPS guidance for 2024 in the range of $0.85 to $1.10.

  • Record operating cash flow of $308.5 million in 2023, up 49% compared to the prior record of $207.0 million in 2022.
  • Term Loan B was paid down by an additional $91 million on February 23, 2024, earlier than required.
  • Backlog increased 28% year-over-year to $10.2 billion, providing visibility for strong revenue growth.
  • Senior Notes refinancing is underway, with transaction expected to be completed by the end of April 2024.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.02B

Previous: $907M+12.7%
EPS (adj)

-$0.91

Previous: -$1.81+49.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$7.36M

Previous: $17M-143.4%
Net Income

-$36.1M

Previous: -$87.7M+58.8%
Operating Income

-$22.5M

Previous: -$97.4M+76.9%
Gross Profit

$48.9M

Previous: -$36.9M+232.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.16M

Previous: $1.38M+128.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Tutor Perini · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.02B

Q4 2023+12.7%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 7 of 13 quarters(54%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Tutor Perini · $1.06B total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Civil
    $520M+3.9%
  • Building
    $365M+14.9%
  • Specialty Contractors
    $175M-30.6%

Forward guidance

The Company anticipates double-digit revenue growth in 2024 and a return to positive earnings, with substantially stronger earnings expected in 2025 and 2026. The Company is establishing its initial EPS guidance for 2024 at a range of $0.85 to $1.10.

Tailwinds

  • Continued significant backlog growth in 2024 and 2025.
  • Tracking and expects to capture its share of more than $75 billion of new project opportunities over the next three to four years, of which more than $32 billion are expected in 2024 and 2025.
  • Double-digit revenue growth in 2024 and a return to positive earnings.
  • Substantially stronger earnings expected in 2025 and 2026.
  • Continued strong operating cash generation in 2024 and 2025, well in excess of net income for each year.

Headwinds

  • Earnings in 2024 are expected to be weighted more heavily in the second half of the year due to the anticipated timing of large project activities, as well as typical business seasonality.
  • Refinancing of Senior Notes due in 2025 needs to be completed.
  • Market conditions could impact the refinancing terms.
  • Unfavorable outcomes of existing or future litigation or dispute resolution proceedings.
  • Possible systems and information technology interruptions and breaches in data security and/or privacy.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.4%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

31 / 65 earnings

Positive

+34.4%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-30.3%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.3%-14.9%-27.6%
Q4 2025-15.7%-17.5%-14.8%
Q3 2025-1.2%-7.8%-0.1%
Q1 2025+25.2%+51.6%+71.8%
Q4 2024+34.4%+25.6%+7.5%
Q3 2024+21.3%+11.8%-2.3%
Q2 2024-30.3%-24.5%-3.7%
Q1 2024+2.4%+8.4%+15.0%
Q4 2023+25.1%+28.1%+59.6%
Q3 2023-3.2%+9.5%+10.9%
Q2 2023-3.9%+11.1%+5.7%
Q1 2023+2.9%-4.0%-10.9%
Q4 2022-17.3%-15.2%-28.3%
Q3 2022-0.7%+4.2%-1.2%
Q2 2022-18.9%-20.0%-26.7%
Q1 2022+2.9%-4.2%-11.2%
Q4 2021-6.2%-16.0%-6.8%
Q3 2021-5.9%+3.5%-7.1%
Q2 2021-1.4%-0.3%-1.2%
Q1 2021+0.4%+2.8%-14.8%
Q4 2020-1.2%-12.9%+1.9%
Q3 2020-5.0%-8.1%-7.8%
Q2 2020+3.8%+6.1%+7.3%
Q1 2020+14.4%+10.3%+20.1%
Q4 2019+4.7%+21.0%-48.0%
Q3 2019+10.1%+14.3%-10.2%
Q2 2019-6.7%-5.3%-6.2%
Q1 2019+2.6%+10.7%+16.6%
Q4 2018+6.5%+8.3%-3.1%
Q3 2018-2.3%-6.0%-5.3%
Q2 2018+9.7%+6.8%+6.1%
Q1 2018-1.4%+5.0%-6.3%
Q4 2017+7.3%-2.4%-2.0%
Q3 2017-6.2%-7.6%+7.6%
Q2 2017+4.4%-1.1%-1.1%
Q1 2017-1.1%-1.9%-1.0%
Q4 2016+4.0%+5.5%+2.3%
Q3 2016+2.9%+5.6%+38.6%
Q2 2016-4.8%-1.3%-6.9%
Q1 2016-0.8%
Q4 2015+9.2%
Q3 2015+1.5%
Q2 2015-16.6%
Q1 2015+0.4%
Q4 2014-10.7%
Q3 2014+0.9%
Q2 2014+3.8%
Q1 2014+3.4%
Q4 2013+9.0%
Q3 2013-2.6%
Q2 2013-2.1%
Q1 2013-1.8%
Q4 2012-4.5%
Q3 2012+24.4%
Q2 2012-12.8%
Q1 2011-18.7%
Q1 2012+2.8%
Q4 2011-9.0%
Q4 2009-9.0%
Q3 2010+3.8%
Q3 2011+3.8%
Q4 2010-15.7%
Q2 2010-15.7%
Q2 2011-15.7%
Q1 2010+8.2%

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