NYSE$SWK

Stanley Black & Decker Inc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Stanley Black & Decker announced fourth quarter and full year 2019 financial results.

Stanley Black & Decker reported Q4 2019 revenues of $3.7 billion, a 2% increase compared to the previous year. The diluted GAAP EPS was $1.32, and excluding charges, the diluted EPS was $2.18. The company delivered a strong 2019 overcoming approximately $445 million in external headwinds.

  • 4Q'19 revenues totaled $3.7 billion, up 2% versus prior year.
  • 4Q'19 operating margin rate was 11.8%; excluding charges 4Q'19 operating margin rate was 13.6%, up 30 basis points versus prior year.
  • 4Q'19 diluted GAAP EPS was $1.32; excluding charges, 4Q'19 diluted EPS was $2.18.
  • The company reached an agreement to acquire Consolidated Aerospace Manufacturing, LLC (CAM) for up to $1.5 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.71B

Previous: $3.64B+2.2%
EPS (adj)

$2.18

Previous: $2.11+3.3%
Capital Expenditures

$141M

Previous: $165M-14.3%
Free Cash Flow

$1.1B

Previous: $1.06B+4.4%
Net Income

$199M

Previous: -$66.7M+398.5%
Operating Income

$437M

Previous: $277M+57.7%
Gross Profit

$1.16B

Previous: $1.21B-4.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$298M

Previous: $289M+3.1%
Total Assets

$20.6B

Previous: $19.4B+6.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$88.8M

Previous: $76.5M+16.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Stanley Black & Decker · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.71B

Q4 2019+2.2%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Stanley Black & Decker · $2.61B total across 1 segment · Q4 2019

  • Tools & Outdoor
    $2.61B

Forward guidance

Management expects 2020 EPS to be $8.05 To $8.35 on a GAAP basis and $8.80 - $9.00 on an adjusted basis. Free cash flow conversion is expected to approximate 90%-100% of GAAP Net Income, reflecting the impact of restructuring payments associated with the 2019 cost reduction program.

Tailwinds

  • 2019 cost reduction program benefit (~ +$0.95)
  • Organic growth of approximately 3% (~+$0.40 to +$0.50)
  • The organization is focused on delivering margin expansion in 2020 by realizing the benefits of our previously announced cost actions
  • generating volume leverage to offset the carryover impacts from tariffs and currency.
  • Stanley Black & Decker is well positioned to deliver sustained above-market organic growth, operating margin expansion, strong free cash flow conversion and top-quartile shareholder returns over the long-term.

Headwinds

  • Incremental tariffs and currency headwinds (~ -$0.60 to -$0.70)
  • Tax rate, financing costs and other below the line items (~ -$0.25)
  • The difference between 2020 GAAP and adjusted EPS guidance is $0.65 - $0.75, consisting of acquisition-related and other charges.
  • These forecasted charges primarily relate to restructuring, deal and integration costs, as well as Security business transformation and key margin resiliency initiatives.
  • Slowing global markets and the mid-year acceleration of tariff and currency-related inflation which resulted in $445 million of external headwinds.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

-1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.8%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.9%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

27 / 65 earnings

Positive

+10.7%

Q2 2012

Best reaction

-17.1%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.6%-4.4%+1.5%
Q4 2025+4.5%+11.0%-6.0%
Q3 2025+0.4%+2.9%+8.8%
Q1 2025-2.0%-1.9%+6.8%
Q4 2024-1.2%-1.0%+2.7%
Q3 2024-8.8%-9.3%-12.8%
Q2 2024+9.5%+2.3%+5.7%
Q1 2024-6.6%-5.0%-5.1%
Q4 2023-2.9%-4.2%-4.0%
Q3 2023+9.1%+10.0%+18.4%
Q2 2023+2.0%-0.8%-4.9%
Q1 2023-1.2%-5.6%-6.7%
Q4 2022+2.9%-0.8%-4.3%
Q3 2022-1.0%-3.4%+4.8%
Q2 2022-17.1%-19.9%-23.3%
Q1 2022-13.6%-9.3%-14.0%
Q4 2021-0.2%-1.2%-8.5%
Q3 2021-3.5%-1.9%-1.9%
Q2 2021-5.1%-4.3%-6.2%
Q1 2021+0.8%+1.3%+4.3%
Q4 2020+0.1%+2.2%+0.9%
Q3 2020-6.0%-3.9%+7.8%
Q2 2020-1.8%-0.9%+6.0%
Q1 2020-12.8%-12.3%+2.8%
Q4 2019-0.7%-3.3%-13.6%
Q3 2019-1.5%+0.3%+2.4%
Q2 2019+7.8%+7.7%-2.0%
Q1 2019-2.7%-0.1%-9.9%
Q4 2018-13.4%-11.9%+0.5%
Q3 2018-2.5%+0.1%+11.4%
Q2 2018-0.7%+0.5%+1.2%
Q1 2018-7.8%-7.3%-6.3%
Q4 2017-2.7%-3.1%-7.4%
Q3 2017+3.4%+4.1%+4.9%
Q2 2017-3.1%-4.7%-6.6%
Q1 2017+3.5%+2.7%+2.9%
Q4 2016+0.6%-0.2%+2.8%
Q3 2016-2.0%-2.7%+4.1%
Q2 2016+5.7%+6.4%+6.2%
Q1 2016+3.2%
Q4 2015-1.9%
Q3 2015+8.0%
Q2 2015-2.5%
Q1 2015+1.7%
Q4 2014+3.5%
Q3 2014+3.4%
Q2 2014+6.6%
Q1 2014+3.4%
Q4 2013-3.8%
Q3 2013-16.9%
Q2 2013+1.9%
Q1 2013-4.7%
Q4 2012-1.4%
Q3 2012-2.9%
Q2 2012+10.7%
Q1 2012-7.7%
Q4 2011+0.8%
Q3 2011+1.3%
Q2 2011-4.3%
Q4 2009-1.1%
Q1 2011+1.8%
Q3 2010-0.6%
Q2 2010+3.2%
Q4 2010+3.2%
Q1 2010-3.6%

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