NYSE$SMG
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company · Q3 2023 earnings
Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
ScottsMiracle-Gro's financial performance declined due to Hawthorne's decrease, but U.S. Consumer sales increased slightly and POS dollars went up, with Project Springboard savings exceeding expectations. The company updated its full-year sales and earnings outlook and amended its credit agreement.
ScottsMiracle-Gro's third-quarter net sales decreased by 6% due to a 40% decline in the Hawthorne segment, although U.S. Consumer net sales increased by 1%. The company is focusing on expense reduction, cash flow improvement, and debt paydown, with expectations of achieving $1 billion in cash flow by the end of fiscal '24. Full-year sales and Adjusted EBITDA are expected to decline.
- Company-wide third quarter net sales decreased 6% due to Hawthorne decline of 40%; U.S. Consumer net sales increased 1% over prior year
- Consumer POS dollars up 8% in the third quarter and over 5% year to date
- Year-to-date cash flow improved over $700 million
- Total Project Springboard savings to exceed $300 million
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Scotts · Revenue · Quarterly
$1.12B
Revenue by segment
Scotts · $1.03B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023
- U.S. Consumer$916M+1.3%89.4%
- Other$109M-14.3%10.6%
Forward guidance
The Company now expects total net sales to decline approximately 10 to 11 percent mainly driven by a net sales decline in the U.S. Consumer segment of 2 to 4 percent and a net sales decline of 30 to 35 percent in the Hawthorne segment. Additionally, operating income is expected to range from 7 to 7.5 percent of sales for the year. Including these revisions, full-year Adjusted EBITDA is expected below prior year by about 25 percent, and the resulting tax rate will move higher to 28 to 29 percent for the year. Expectations for interest expense and strong free cash flow generation remain unchanged.
Tailwinds
- Expectations for interest expense remain unchanged.
- Expectations for strong free cash flow generation remain unchanged.
Headwinds
- Total net sales are expected to decline approximately 10 to 11 percent.
- Net sales decline in the U.S. Consumer segment of 2 to 4 percent is expected.
- Net sales decline of 30 to 35 percent in the Hawthorne segment is expected.
- Operating income is expected to range from 7 to 7.5 percent of sales for the year.
- Full-year Adjusted EBITDA is expected below prior year by about 25 percent.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023
+0.7%
Avg return
Earnings day
+1.5%
Avg return
5 days after
-0.7%
Avg return
30 days after
60%
41 / 68 earnings
Positive
+18.2%
Q4 2023
Best reaction
-21.9%
Q4 2024
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -4.6% | -9.2% | -9.8% | |
| Q1 2026 | -0.6% | -0.1% | -10.8% | |
| Q4 2025 | +2.8% | +4.6% | -1.2% | |
| Q2 2025 | -5.9% | +4.9% | +11.2% | |
| Q1 2025 | -5.8% | -8.5% | -22.7% | |
| Q4 2024 | -21.9% | -20.4% | -19.3% | |
| Q3 2024 | +7.1% | +0.7% | +1.1% | |
| Q2 2024 | +0.2% | +4.2% | +1.7% | |
| Q1 2024 | +4.6% | +5.0% | +23.4% | |
| Q4 2023 | +18.2% | +19.3% | +30.9% | |
| Q3 2023 | -21.1% | -23.2% | -23.0% | |
| Q2 2023 | -7.6% | +4.7% | -3.7% | |
| Q1 2023 | +16.2% | +12.3% | +18.1% | |
| Q4 2022 | +8.9% | +11.5% | +20.3% | |
| Q3 2022 | -8.2% | -5.3% | -30.0% | |
| Q2 2022 | +9.9% | -1.3% | -8.9% | |
| Q1 2022 | -6.6% | -12.1% | -8.0% | |
| Q4 2021 | +11.5% | +13.6% | -8.9% | |
| Q3 2021 | -8.2% | -7.9% | -9.7% | |
| Q2 2021 | +5.5% | +6.1% | -11.7% | |
| Q1 2021 | +3.6% | +4.8% | -12.0% | |
| Q4 2020 | +8.3% | -1.5% | +10.0% | |
| Q3 2020 | +8.1% | +8.7% | +15.4% | |
| Q2 2020 | +4.3% | +5.7% | +3.2% | |
| Q1 2020 | +10.5% | +13.3% | -3.0% | |
| Q4 2019 | +4.8% | +9.2% | +5.2% | |
| Q3 2019 | +5.5% | +5.0% | +2.9% | |
| Q2 2019 | +6.8% | +9.3% | +5.3% | |
| Q1 2019 | +6.3% | +8.3% | +17.0% | |
| Q4 2018 | +10.3% | +8.4% | -1.9% | |
| Q3 2018 | -1.0% | +1.7% | -4.0% | |
| Q2 2018 | -7.3% | -2.5% | +1.9% | |
| Q1 2018 | -15.8% | -15.6% | -15.9% | |
| Q4 2017 | -0.2% | -0.5% | +2.3% | |
| Q3 2017 | -0.3% | +1.0% | -0.4% | |
| Q2 2017 | -8.5% | -7.2% | -9.4% | |
| Q1 2017 | -2.2% | -3.1% | -1.9% | |
| Q4 2016 | +0.5% | +2.6% | +4.8% | |
| Q3 2016 | +7.7% | +12.0% | +12.8% | |
| Q2 2016 | -3.8% | — | — | |
| Q1 2016 | -3.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +1.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | +8.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +2.0% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | +2.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | +0.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +4.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -0.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | -0.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | -0.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | +5.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | +0.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | -4.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | +4.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | -16.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +4.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | -1.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | +0.8% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -0.8% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | +0.0% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | +0.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | +1.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2008 | +1.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | +1.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2009 | +1.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | +1.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | +1.3% | — | — |
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