NYSE$SMG

Scotts Miracle-Gro Company · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

ScottsMiracle-Gro's financial performance declined due to Hawthorne's decrease, but U.S. Consumer sales increased slightly and POS dollars went up, with Project Springboard savings exceeding expectations. The company updated its full-year sales and earnings outlook and amended its credit agreement.

ScottsMiracle-Gro's third-quarter net sales decreased by 6% due to a 40% decline in the Hawthorne segment, although U.S. Consumer net sales increased by 1%. The company is focusing on expense reduction, cash flow improvement, and debt paydown, with expectations of achieving $1 billion in cash flow by the end of fiscal '24. Full-year sales and Adjusted EBITDA are expected to decline.

  • Company-wide third quarter net sales decreased 6% due to Hawthorne decline of 40%; U.S. Consumer net sales increased 1% over prior year
  • Consumer POS dollars up 8% in the third quarter and over 5% year to date
  • Year-to-date cash flow improved over $700 million
  • Total Project Springboard savings to exceed $300 million

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.12B

Previous: $1.19B-5.7%
EPS (adj)

$1.17

Previous: $1.98-40.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$73.8M

Previous: -$99M+25.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$30.1M

Previous: -$543M+94.5%
Net Income

$43.7M

Previous: -$444M+109.8%
Operating Income

$77.3M

Previous: -$563M+113.7%
Gross Profit

$206M

Previous: $237M-13.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$27.4M

Previous: $27.8M-1.4%
Total Assets

$4.45B

Previous: $4.99B-10.8%
Stock-Based Comp

-$5.6M

Previous: $5.4M-203.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Scotts · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.12B

Q3 2023-5.7%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Scotts · $1.03B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • U.S. Consumer
    $916M+1.3%
  • Other
    $109M-14.3%

Forward guidance

The Company now expects total net sales to decline approximately 10 to 11 percent mainly driven by a net sales decline in the U.S. Consumer segment of 2 to 4 percent and a net sales decline of 30 to 35 percent in the Hawthorne segment. Additionally, operating income is expected to range from 7 to 7.5 percent of sales for the year. Including these revisions, full-year Adjusted EBITDA is expected below prior year by about 25 percent, and the resulting tax rate will move higher to 28 to 29 percent for the year. Expectations for interest expense and strong free cash flow generation remain unchanged.

Tailwinds

  • Expectations for interest expense remain unchanged.
  • Expectations for strong free cash flow generation remain unchanged.

Headwinds

  • Total net sales are expected to decline approximately 10 to 11 percent.
  • Net sales decline in the U.S. Consumer segment of 2 to 4 percent is expected.
  • Net sales decline of 30 to 35 percent in the Hawthorne segment is expected.
  • Operating income is expected to range from 7 to 7.5 percent of sales for the year.
  • Full-year Adjusted EBITDA is expected below prior year by about 25 percent.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

41 / 68 earnings

Positive

+18.2%

Q4 2023

Best reaction

-21.9%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026-4.6%-9.2%-9.8%
Q1 2026-0.6%-0.1%-10.8%
Q4 2025+2.8%+4.6%-1.2%
Q2 2025-5.9%+4.9%+11.2%
Q1 2025-5.8%-8.5%-22.7%
Q4 2024-21.9%-20.4%-19.3%
Q3 2024+7.1%+0.7%+1.1%
Q2 2024+0.2%+4.2%+1.7%
Q1 2024+4.6%+5.0%+23.4%
Q4 2023+18.2%+19.3%+30.9%
Q3 2023-21.1%-23.2%-23.0%
Q2 2023-7.6%+4.7%-3.7%
Q1 2023+16.2%+12.3%+18.1%
Q4 2022+8.9%+11.5%+20.3%
Q3 2022-8.2%-5.3%-30.0%
Q2 2022+9.9%-1.3%-8.9%
Q1 2022-6.6%-12.1%-8.0%
Q4 2021+11.5%+13.6%-8.9%
Q3 2021-8.2%-7.9%-9.7%
Q2 2021+5.5%+6.1%-11.7%
Q1 2021+3.6%+4.8%-12.0%
Q4 2020+8.3%-1.5%+10.0%
Q3 2020+8.1%+8.7%+15.4%
Q2 2020+4.3%+5.7%+3.2%
Q1 2020+10.5%+13.3%-3.0%
Q4 2019+4.8%+9.2%+5.2%
Q3 2019+5.5%+5.0%+2.9%
Q2 2019+6.8%+9.3%+5.3%
Q1 2019+6.3%+8.3%+17.0%
Q4 2018+10.3%+8.4%-1.9%
Q3 2018-1.0%+1.7%-4.0%
Q2 2018-7.3%-2.5%+1.9%
Q1 2018-15.8%-15.6%-15.9%
Q4 2017-0.2%-0.5%+2.3%
Q3 2017-0.3%+1.0%-0.4%
Q2 2017-8.5%-7.2%-9.4%
Q1 2017-2.2%-3.1%-1.9%
Q4 2016+0.5%+2.6%+4.8%
Q3 2016+7.7%+12.0%+12.8%
Q2 2016-3.8%
Q1 2016-3.9%
Q4 2015+1.4%
Q3 2015+8.6%
Q2 2015+2.0%
Q1 2015+2.1%
Q4 2014+0.6%
Q3 2014+4.6%
Q2 2014-0.9%
Q1 2014-0.4%
Q4 2013-0.5%
Q3 2013+0.5%
Q2 2013+5.7%
Q1 2013+0.1%
Q4 2012-4.8%
Q3 2012+4.1%
Q2 2012-16.2%
Q1 2012+4.9%
Q4 2011-1.6%
Q3 2011+0.8%
Q2 2011-0.8%
Q1 2010+0.0%
Q1 2011+0.0%
Q4 2010+1.0%
Q4 2008+1.0%
Q2 2010+1.0%
Q3 2009+1.3%
Q3 2010+1.3%
Q4 2009+1.3%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro