NYSE$SIG

Signet Jewelers LTD · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Signet reported strong Q4 2022 results driven by significant sales growth and market share gains.

Signet Jewelers reported strong Q4 2022 results, with total sales increasing by 28.6% to $2.8 billion. The company's performance was driven by investments in Connected Commerce capabilities and differentiated banner assortment and marketing, leading to meaningful share gains.

  • Total sales increased by 28.6% to $2.8 billion compared to last year.
  • Brick and mortar sales increased by 34.6% to $2.3 billion.
  • eCommerce sales increased by 8.7% to $556.0 million.
  • GAAP diluted earnings per share increased to $4.91, up from $4.12 in Q4 of FY21.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.81B

Previous: $2.19B+28.5%
EPS (adj)

$5.01

Previous: $4.15+20.7%
Same-store sales growth

23.8%

Previous: 7.0%+240.0%
Capital Expenditures

$79.1M

Previous: $41.9M+88.8%
Free Cash Flow

$694M

Previous: $1.29B-46.1%
Net Income

$314M

Previous: $254M+23.6%
Operating Income

$402M

Previous: $292M+37.9%
Gross Profit

$1.15B

Previous: $870M+32.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.42B

Previous: $1.2B+18.2%
Total Assets

$6.58B

Previous: $6.18B+6.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$9.4M

Previous: $4.9M+91.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Signet · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.81B

Q4 2022+28.5%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Signet · $2.15B total across 3 segments · Q4 2020

  • North America
    $1.95B
  • International
    $186M
  • Other
    $13.3M

Forward guidance

Signet provided its Fiscal 2023 outlook on a non-GAAP basis, expecting annual industry revenues to be down low single digits to roughly flat. The company's guidance contemplates market share gains against this total industry performance range.

Tailwinds

  • Total revenue $1.78 billion - $1.82 billion for Q1 2023
  • Operating income $177 million - $186 million for Q1 2023
  • Earnings Per Share $12.28 - $13.00 for Q1 2023
  • Total revenue $8.03 billion to $8.25 billion for FY2023
  • Operating income $921 million - $974 million for FY2023

Headwinds

  • Annual industry revenues are expected to be down low single digits to roughly flat.
  • Guidance assumes no significant disruptions in availability of inventory.
  • The Company expects inflationary pressures in the diamond market to continue in Fiscal 2023
  • Signet anticipates some shift of consumer discretionary spending away from the jewelry category.
  • The above guidance excludes non-recurring charges of approximately $11 million relating to the step-up of Diamonds Direct inventory

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+1.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

39 / 68 earnings

Positive

+27.6%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-30.1%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026+13.0%-9.4%-0.3%
Q3 2026-7.2%-13.3%-13.4%
Q2 2026+2.2%+6.4%+11.9%
Q1 2026+12.2%+16.3%+25.8%
Q4 2025+17.3%+26.9%+14.7%
Q3 2025-7.0%-14.1%-21.6%
Q2 2025+16.7%+19.8%+23.1%
Q1 2025-19.6%-15.8%-18.8%
Q4 2024-12.2%-7.2%-6.8%
Q3 2024+12.4%+14.7%+16.5%
Q2 2024+10.0%+4.3%+0.5%
Q1 2024-13.9%-15.7%-1.4%
Q4 2023+8.0%+10.0%+9.0%
Q3 2023+27.6%+18.1%+16.1%
Q2 2023-15.6%-18.2%-12.5%
Q1 2023-0.9%-1.8%-10.5%
Q4 2022+3.1%+6.4%-0.2%
Q3 2022-9.1%-3.9%-6.4%
Q2 2022+3.3%-3.3%+1.1%
Q1 2022+22.5%+21.6%+25.5%
Q4 2021+2.7%-8.8%+6.9%
Q3 2021-1.8%-5.1%-8.5%
Q2 2021+3.7%-3.7%+4.9%
Q1 2021-27.2%-32.9%-40.1%
Q4 2020+7.8%-12.0%+3.8%
Q3 2020+23.6%+24.9%+14.4%
Q2 2020+27.5%+53.0%+47.6%
Q1 2020+1.6%+2.0%-10.9%
Q4 2019+2.4%-6.1%-16.3%
Q3 2019-22.9%-30.7%-30.7%
Q2 2019+17.5%+15.6%+20.6%
Q1 2019+22.1%+28.0%+33.6%
Q4 2018-21.6%-17.6%-19.4%
Q3 2018-30.1%-34.3%-26.5%
Q2 2018+20.8%+21.0%+24.1%
Q1 2018-9.6%-12.2%+7.1%
Q4 2017+8.4%+5.3%+5.9%
Q3 2017+5.6%+4.7%+5.1%
Q2 2017-15.5%-16.3%-17.3%
Q1 2017-8.1%-8.7%-24.3%
Q4 2016+4.0%
Q3 2016-3.7%
Q2 2016+15.1%
Q1 2016-2.9%
Q4 2015+7.1%
Q3 2015+5.2%
Q2 2015+9.1%
Q1 2015+4.7%
Q4 2014+7.7%
Q3 2014+0.9%
Q2 2014-4.9%
Q1 2014-2.4%
Q4 2013+6.8%
Q3 2013-2.7%
Q2 2013-2.0%
Q1 2013-7.3%
Q4 2012-3.5%
Q3 2012-3.8%
Q2 2012+6.5%
Q1 2011+5.7%
Q1 2012-1.8%
Q4 2009+2.7%
Q4 2011+2.7%
Q3 2011+0.4%
Q3 2010+0.4%
Q2 2010-6.0%
Q4 2010-6.0%
Q2 2011-6.0%

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