NYSE$RYN

Rayonier Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Rayonier reported strong financial results in the fourth quarter of 2024, driven by extraordinary performance in its Real Estate segment and significant progress on its disposition and capital structure realignment plan.

Rayonier Inc. reported a net income attributable to Rayonier of $327.1 million, or $2.15 per share, on revenues of $726.3 million for the fourth quarter of 2024. This marks a significant increase compared to the prior year quarter's net income of $126.9 million, or $0.85 per share, on revenues of $467.4 million. The strong performance was primarily driven by $291.1 million of income from Large Dispositions and robust results in the Real Estate segment.

  • Fourth quarter net income attributable to Rayonier increased to $327.1 million ($2.15 per share) from $126.9 million ($0.85 per share) in the prior year.
  • Revenues for the fourth quarter were $726.3 million, up from $467.4 million in the prior year quarter.
  • Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter reached $115.1 million, an increase of 23% versus the prior year period.
  • The company completed $495 million of previously announced Large Dispositions during the fourth quarter, contributing significantly to net income.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$726M

Previous: $467M+55.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.27

Previous: $0.17+58.8%
Southern Harvest Volumes

1.6M

No prior period
Pine Sawtimber Price

$24.74

No prior period
Pine Pulpwood Price

$16.08

No prior period
Weighted Avg Net Stumpage

$19.30

No prior period
PNW Harvest Volumes

290.0K

No prior period
PNW Domestic Sawtimber Price

$89.04

No prior period
PNW Pulpwood Price

$29.99

No prior period
Total Acres Sold

7.8K

No prior period
Weighted Avg Price per Acre

$8.92K

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$26.6M

Previous: -$28.3M+5.8%
Net Income

$327M

Previous: $127M+157.8%
Operating Income

$346M

Previous: $189M+83.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Rayonier · Revenue · Quarterly

$726M

Q4 2024+55.4%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Rayonier · $124M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Southern Timber
    $64M-0.9%
  • Real Estate
    $31.2M+150.7%
  • Pacific Northwest Timber
    $29.3M-14.7%

Forward guidance

For 2025, Rayonier expects net income attributable to Rayonier to be between $79 million and $100 million, with diluted EPS ranging from $0.51 to $0.64, and Adjusted EBITDA between $270 million and $300 million. This guidance excludes the potential impact of any additional asset sales as part of the $1 billion disposition target.

Tailwinds

  • Southern Timber harvest volumes are expected to modestly increase, with carryover from 2024 and higher pine stumpage realizations as the year progresses.
  • Pacific Northwest Timber expects modest increases in full-year weighted average log pricing due to improving demand conditions.
  • New Zealand Timber anticipates modest improvements in full-year domestic and export sawtimber pricing as supply-demand fundamentals improve.
  • New Zealand Timber expects a modest increase in carbon credit sales, with pricing stabilizing after a period of volatility.
  • Real Estate segment is encouraged by continued strong demand and value realizations for HBU properties, expecting another solid year in rural land sales and improved development projects.

Headwinds

  • Southern Timber anticipates slightly lower full-year realizations due to the continued impact of salvage volume on the market.
  • Southern Timber expects slightly lower non-timber income for full-year 2025 compared to 2024, which benefited from significant pipeline easement activity.
  • Pacific Northwest Timber harvest volumes reflect a reduction in sustainable yield due to recent dispositions in Washington.
  • Real Estate segment anticipates very light closing activity and a correspondingly low Adjusted EBITDA contribution (less than $10 million) in the first quarter.
  • The full-year Adjusted EBITDA for Real Estate is expected to be down from the exceptionally strong full-year 2024 results.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.6%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

37 / 68 earnings

Positive

+13.2%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-21.2%

Q3 2014

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.0%-4.0%-1.0%
Q4 2025+0.6%+5.8%-9.7%
Q3 2025+1.6%+1.4%-2.6%
Q1 2025-3.6%-6.3%-3.1%
Q4 2024+2.4%-0.9%+6.1%
Q3 2024-0.1%-4.6%-0.7%
Q2 2024-5.1%-6.4%-0.6%
Q1 2024-0.8%+1.0%+1.2%
Q4 2023+4.9%+5.8%+11.8%
Q3 2023+13.2%+18.7%+24.6%
Q2 2023-1.3%-3.5%-8.6%
Q1 2023-2.9%-2.7%-2.6%
Q4 2022+2.4%-3.9%-7.0%
Q3 2022-5.2%+2.3%+7.0%
Q2 2022-4.2%-4.0%-7.0%
Q1 2022-6.5%-11.1%-3.6%
Q4 2021+2.6%+3.9%+11.6%
Q3 2021+4.3%+4.8%+0.4%
Q2 2021+0.2%+0.3%+3.8%
Q1 2021+1.9%+5.5%+0.7%
Q4 2020+3.1%+7.4%+3.6%
Q3 2020-1.7%-3.5%+4.9%
Q2 2020+2.5%+1.4%+4.2%
Q1 2020-6.5%-9.5%-7.6%
Q4 2019-0.8%-5.2%-12.8%
Q3 2019-7.3%+1.4%+5.3%
Q2 2019-4.6%-7.1%-4.2%
Q1 2019-0.3%+2.8%-11.5%
Q4 2018-5.4%-7.0%-6.0%
Q3 2018+2.9%+4.4%+4.5%
Q2 2018+0.3%-3.1%-0.5%
Q1 2018+1.7%+2.7%+5.3%
Q4 2017+0.8%+3.1%+11.5%
Q3 2017+1.6%+3.2%+5.1%
Q2 2017-0.1%+0.2%-2.7%
Q1 2017-4.1%-2.5%+0.6%
Q4 2016+2.0%-0.6%+0.4%
Q3 2016+0.6%+1.1%+1.2%
Q2 2016-0.6%+0.1%+3.1%
Q1 2016+2.5%
Q4 2015+4.1%
Q3 2015+8.6%
Q2 2015-7.1%
Q1 2015+1.4%
Q4 2014-5.2%
Q3 2014-21.2%
Q2 2014-3.6%
Q1 2014-1.8%
Q4 2013+7.8%
Q3 2013-19.7%
Q2 2013+2.3%
Q1 2013-1.2%
Q4 2012-1.6%
Q3 2012+0.4%
Q2 2012+1.7%
Q1 2012+0.9%
Q4 2011+0.2%
Q4 2008+0.2%
Q3 2011-0.8%
Q2 2011-0.4%
Q1 2010+4.4%
Q1 2011+1.8%
Q4 2010-3.3%
Q3 2010+2.0%
Q3 2009+2.0%
Q4 2009+2.2%
Q2 2009+2.2%
Q2 2010+2.2%

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