NYSE$RWT

Redwood Trust Inc · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2020.

Redwood Trust reported a GAAP net income of $142 million, or $1.02 per diluted common share, and an economic return on book value of 17%. The company's unrestricted cash balance was $451 million, and the total recourse leverage ratio was 1.4x.

  • GAAP net income was $142 million, or $1.02 per diluted common share
  • GAAP book value per common share was $9.41 at September 30, 2020
  • Economic return on book value of 17%
  • Unrestricted cash balance of $451 million at September 30, 2020

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$189M

Previous: $61M+209.0%
EPS (adj)

$1.02

Previous: $0.37+175.7%
Economic Return on BV

17.0%

No prior period
Dividends per Common Share

$0.14

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$142M

Previous: $34.3M+313.3%
Net Income

$142M

Previous: $34.3M+313.3%
Operating Income

$151M

Previous: $36M+318.7%
Gross Profit

$181M

Previous: $61M+196.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$451M

Previous: $395M+14.2%
Total Assets

$10.4B

Previous: $15.5B-32.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.91M

Previous: $3.3M+18.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Redwood Trust · Revenue · Quarterly

$189M

Q3 2020+209%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 5 of 16 quarters(31%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Redwood is optimistic that they will end the year on a high note and believe they are well positioned to take market share in the coming quarters.

Tailwinds

  • Record-breaking results for both Select residential loan locks
  • Record-breaking results for business purpose lending earnings
  • The secular trends supporting our housing thesis are intact and accelerating with a nationwide push toward single-family housing
  • Strong demand for loans
  • New technological initiatives

Headwinds

  • Expected volatility through the remainder of 2020
  • Potential fallout from pipeline that typically occurs through the lending process
  • Numerous risks and uncertainties
  • Redwood's actual results may differ from Redwood's beliefs, expectations, estimates, and projections
  • Other risks, uncertainties, and factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected may be described from time to time in reports we file with the Securities and Exchange Commission

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

33 / 68 earnings

Positive

+20.6%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-9.0%

Q2 2011

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.9%-0.7%-3.6%
Q4 2025+20.6%+17.1%+5.2%
Q3 2025-2.6%-4.4%+0.4%
Q1 2025-6.1%-5.2%-12.2%
Q4 2024-1.2%-1.1%-1.1%
Q3 2024-3.8%-5.0%-5.9%
Q2 2024-3.0%-4.1%+4.1%
Q1 2024+8.6%+11.4%+9.7%
Q4 2023-8.2%-7.9%-4.9%
Q3 2023-7.0%+2.7%+5.5%
Q2 2023+7.1%+8.3%+11.8%
Q1 2023-1.7%-9.7%-7.8%
Q4 2022-5.1%-4.0%-17.0%
Q3 2022+6.5%+5.0%+13.3%
Q2 2022+1.5%-2.9%-4.6%
Q1 2022+10.5%+14.1%+16.3%
Q4 2021-7.3%-11.6%-10.7%
Q3 2021+2.6%+2.7%-1.0%
Q2 2021+3.1%+0.6%+5.7%
Q1 2021+1.3%+5.1%+4.0%
Q4 2020+2.0%+2.0%+9.6%
Q3 2020+3.0%+5.9%+11.2%
Q2 2020+2.1%-1.6%+3.0%
Q1 2020+3.4%-8.1%+74.4%
Q4 2019+1.9%+4.1%-62.9%
Q3 2019-2.2%-2.2%-3.1%
Q2 2019-1.0%-1.5%-1.9%
Q1 2019-0.5%-1.3%-2.2%
Q4 2018-1.1%-2.1%-2.0%
Q3 2018+1.9%+0.8%+0.5%
Q2 2018-2.2%-1.6%+4.8%
Q1 2018+3.9%+3.2%+4.3%
Q4 2017+2.7%+0.4%+0.5%
Q3 2017-3.7%-4.8%-4.5%
Q2 2017-1.8%-1.3%-3.6%
Q1 2017+1.6%-0.9%+2.4%
Q4 2016-3.2%-3.5%-4.0%
Q3 2016+1.1%+6.2%+12.3%
Q2 2016+4.7%+1.5%+0.5%
Q1 2016+3.1%
Q4 2015+10.8%
Q3 2015-3.2%
Q2 2015-5.0%
Q1 2015-1.5%
Q4 2014-1.9%
Q3 2014+3.3%
Q2 2014-0.4%
Q1 2014-8.2%
Q4 2013+2.1%
Q3 2013+1.8%
Q2 2013+10.3%
Q1 2013-2.7%
Q4 2011+1.7%
Q4 2012-2.1%
Q3 2012+2.5%
Q2 2012-0.8%
Q1 2012+3.3%
Q3 2011-3.6%
Q2 2011-9.0%
Q1 2010-1.0%
Q1 2011-0.7%
Q4 2009-1.6%
Q4 2010-1.6%
Q4 2008-1.6%
Q3 2009+2.3%
Q3 2010+2.3%
Q2 2010+2.4%
Q2 2009+2.4%

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