NYSE$POR

Portland General Electric Company · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

PGE's full-year 2023 GAAP earnings were $2.33 per diluted share; full-year 2023 non-GAAP earnings were $2.38 per diluted share and initiated 2024 earnings guidance.

Portland General Electric Company reported GAAP net income of $68 million, or $0.67 per diluted share, for the fourth quarter of 2023, compared to GAAP net income of $50 million, or $0.56 per diluted share, for the fourth quarter of 2022.

  • Invested $1,462 million in capital assets to address decarbonization, customer demand growth, grid resiliency and security, and risk mitigation.
  • Filed the 2023 Integrated Resource Plan, which was acknowledged by the OPUC in January 2024.
  • Entered into agreements for 475 MW of battery storage, 275 MW of which PGE will own, and 500 MW of hydropower contracts to improve grid flexibility and reliability.
  • Advanced construction of the Clearwater Wind Development, bringing 311 MW of non-emitting energy online in January 2024.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$725M

Previous: $681M+6.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.67

Previous: $0.56+19.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$427M

Previous: $225M-289.8%
Net Income

$68M

Previous: $50M+36.0%
Operating Income

$396M

Previous: $397M-0.3%
Gross Profit

$274M

Previous: $406M-32.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$17M

Previous: $15M+13.3%

Revenue & EPS history

PGE · Revenue · Quarterly

$725M

Q4 2023+6.5%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

PGE · $1.81B total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Residential
    $942M+12.0%
  • Commercial
    $606M+12.2%
  • Industrial
    $258M+19.4%

Forward guidance

PGE is initiating full-year 2024 adjusted earnings guidance of $2.98 to $3.18 per diluted share.

Tailwinds

  • Exclusion of the impacts of the January 2024 winter storm, including non-deferrable storm restoration costs and non-deferrable Reliability Contingency Event (RCE) costs.
  • An increase in energy deliveries between 2% and 3%, weather adjusted.
  • Normal temperatures in its utility service territory.
  • Hydro conditions for the year that reflect current estimates.
  • Wind generation based on five years of historical levels or forecast studies when historical data is not available.

Headwinds

  • Normal thermal plant operations.
  • Operating and maintenance expense between $815 million and $840 million which includes approximately $165 million of wildfire, vegetation management, deferral amortization and other expenses that are offset in other income statement lines.
  • Depreciation and amortization expense between $475 million and $525 million.
  • Effective tax rate of 10% to 15%.
  • Cash from operations of $700 to $800 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

35 / 68 earnings

Positive

+5.4%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-8.8%

Q2 2011

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.8%-6.0%-3.5%
Q4 2025-2.6%-2.9%-3.2%
Q3 2025+2.5%+3.9%+11.0%
Q1 2025-3.8%-2.0%-2.3%
Q4 2024-1.1%+2.9%+6.6%
Q3 2024-0.2%-2.7%-2.5%
Q2 2024-2.3%-1.0%-0.3%
Q1 2024+0.3%+1.5%+1.1%
Q4 2023+0.4%+1.6%+0.7%
Q3 2023-3.1%+0.4%+1.7%
Q2 2023-0.4%-0.3%-8.3%
Q1 2023-1.5%-2.3%-5.6%
Q4 2022+5.4%+2.9%+2.2%
Q3 2022+1.9%+3.9%+10.1%
Q2 2022+1.8%+1.6%+4.2%
Q1 2022-8.3%-10.2%-5.7%
Q4 2021-1.3%-2.2%+6.7%
Q3 2021+3.4%+2.7%+2.1%
Q2 2021+1.5%+0.8%+3.2%
Q1 2021+0.4%-1.1%-4.6%
Q4 2020+0.6%+3.2%+13.7%
Q3 2020-0.1%+2.2%+7.5%
Q2 2020-4.5%-6.0%-13.5%
Q1 2020-4.4%-0.7%-11.3%
Q4 2019+0.0%-0.2%-21.7%
Q3 2019-0.4%-1.9%-2.4%
Q2 2019-2.0%-0.7%+2.7%
Q1 2019+0.5%+1.2%+4.2%
Q4 2018+0.1%+1.5%+7.1%
Q3 2018-1.4%-1.8%+3.2%
Q2 2018-0.8%-1.3%+2.8%
Q1 2018+2.6%+1.7%+1.2%
Q4 2017-1.8%-2.4%-2.2%
Q3 2017+3.4%+2.9%+5.7%
Q2 2017-1.6%-1.3%+3.8%
Q1 2017-2.9%-4.0%+1.2%
Q4 2016+1.1%+1.2%+4.1%
Q3 2016+4.3%+1.2%+1.6%
Q2 2016-0.0%-1.6%-2.6%
Q1 2016+4.2%
Q4 2015-3.0%
Q3 2015-3.1%
Q2 2015+3.9%
Q1 2015-2.7%
Q4 2014-2.2%
Q3 2014+0.4%
Q2 2014-0.9%
Q1 2014+1.3%
Q4 2013+3.6%
Q3 2013+3.8%
Q2 2013-2.7%
Q1 2013+0.2%
Q4 2012+0.7%
Q3 2012-2.4%
Q2 2012-0.6%
Q1 2012-2.9%
Q4 2011+0.0%
Q3 2011+1.3%
Q2 2011-8.8%
Q1 2010+0.2%
Q1 2011+1.3%
Q4 2008+3.7%
Q4 2010+3.7%
Q3 2009+1.2%
Q3 2010+1.2%
Q4 2009+1.9%
Q2 2010+1.9%
Q2 2009+1.9%

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