NYSE$POR

Portland General Electric Company · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

PGE reported strong growth and execution in Q4 2021, focusing on reliability and resiliency investments amidst the pandemic, historic ice storm, and record heat.

Portland General Electric reported a GAAP net income of $66 million, or $0.73 per diluted share, for the fourth quarter of 2021, compared to $52 million, or $0.57 per diluted share, for the fourth quarter of 2020. The company is initiating full-year 2022 earnings guidance of $2.75 to $2.90 per diluted share.

  • Full-year 2021 financial results of $2.72 per diluted share.
  • Initiating 2022 earnings guidance of $2.75 to $2.90 per diluted share and reaffirming 4% to 6% long-term earnings per share growth using 2019 base year.
  • RFP shortlist targeted in Q2 with final selection by the end of 2022.
  • Worked with legislators and stakeholders to develop Oregon state law (HB 2021) establishing an electric sector decarbonization framework.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$614M

Previous: $562M+9.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.73

Previous: $0.57+28.1%
Capital Expenditures

$150M

Previous: $235M-36.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$200M

Previous: -$110M-81.8%
Net Income

$66M

Previous: $52M+26.9%
Operating Income

$378M

Previous: $81M+366.7%
Gross Profit

$399M

Previous: $402M-0.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$52M

Previous: $257M-79.8%
Total Assets

$9.49B

Previous: $9.07B+4.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$14M

Previous: $11M+27.3%

Revenue & EPS history

PGE · Revenue · Quarterly

$614M

Q4 2021+9.3%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

PGE · $2.11B total across 3 segments · Q4 2021

  • Residential
    $1.12B+295.1%
  • Commercial
    $708M+362.7%
  • Industrial
    $279M+398.2%

Forward guidance

PGE is initiating full-year 2022 earnings guidance of $2.75 to $2.90 per diluted share.

Tailwinds

  • An increase in energy deliveries between 2% and 2.5%, weather adjusted.
  • Normal temperatures in its utility service territory.
  • Average hydro conditions.
  • Wind generation based on five years of historical levels or forecast studies when historical data is not available.
  • Normal thermal plant operations.

Headwinds

  • Capital expenditures of $660 million in 2022 and $650 million in 2023 through 2026.
  • Average construction work in progress balance of $270 million.
  • Operating and maintenance expense between $590 million and $610 million.
  • Depreciation and amortization expense between $420 million and $440 million.
  • Effective tax rate of 15% to 20%.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

35 / 68 earnings

Positive

+5.4%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-8.8%

Q2 2011

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.8%-6.0%-3.5%
Q4 2025-2.6%-2.9%-3.2%
Q3 2025+2.5%+3.9%+11.0%
Q1 2025-3.8%-2.0%-2.3%
Q4 2024-1.1%+2.9%+6.6%
Q3 2024-0.2%-2.7%-2.5%
Q2 2024-2.3%-1.0%-0.3%
Q1 2024+0.3%+1.5%+1.1%
Q4 2023+0.4%+1.6%+0.7%
Q3 2023-3.1%+0.4%+1.7%
Q2 2023-0.4%-0.3%-8.3%
Q1 2023-1.5%-2.3%-5.6%
Q4 2022+5.4%+2.9%+2.2%
Q3 2022+1.9%+3.9%+10.1%
Q2 2022+1.8%+1.6%+4.2%
Q1 2022-8.3%-10.2%-5.7%
Q4 2021-1.3%-2.2%+6.7%
Q3 2021+3.4%+2.7%+2.1%
Q2 2021+1.5%+0.8%+3.2%
Q1 2021+0.4%-1.1%-4.6%
Q4 2020+0.6%+3.2%+13.7%
Q3 2020-0.1%+2.2%+7.5%
Q2 2020-4.5%-6.0%-13.5%
Q1 2020-4.4%-0.7%-11.3%
Q4 2019+0.0%-0.2%-21.7%
Q3 2019-0.4%-1.9%-2.4%
Q2 2019-2.0%-0.7%+2.7%
Q1 2019+0.5%+1.2%+4.2%
Q4 2018+0.1%+1.5%+7.1%
Q3 2018-1.4%-1.8%+3.2%
Q2 2018-0.8%-1.3%+2.8%
Q1 2018+2.6%+1.7%+1.2%
Q4 2017-1.8%-2.4%-2.2%
Q3 2017+3.4%+2.9%+5.7%
Q2 2017-1.6%-1.3%+3.8%
Q1 2017-2.9%-4.0%+1.2%
Q4 2016+1.1%+1.2%+4.1%
Q3 2016+4.3%+1.2%+1.6%
Q2 2016-0.0%-1.6%-2.6%
Q1 2016+4.2%
Q4 2015-3.0%
Q3 2015-3.1%
Q2 2015+3.9%
Q1 2015-2.7%
Q4 2014-2.2%
Q3 2014+0.4%
Q2 2014-0.9%
Q1 2014+1.3%
Q4 2013+3.6%
Q3 2013+3.8%
Q2 2013-2.7%
Q1 2013+0.2%
Q4 2012+0.7%
Q3 2012-2.4%
Q2 2012-0.6%
Q1 2012-2.9%
Q4 2011+0.0%
Q3 2011+1.3%
Q2 2011-8.8%
Q1 2010+0.2%
Q1 2011+1.3%
Q4 2008+3.7%
Q4 2010+3.7%
Q3 2009+1.2%
Q3 2010+1.2%
Q4 2009+1.9%
Q2 2010+1.9%
Q2 2009+1.9%

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