NYSE$PEB

Pebblebrook Hotel Trust · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Pebblebrook's Q4 2023 earnings exceeded expectations, driven by urban demand and favorable short-term pickup.

Pebblebrook Hotel Trust reported a net loss of $74.3 million for 2023. However, Q4 results surpassed expectations, driven by healthy urban demand, with Same-Property Total RevPAR increasing 5.7% vs. 2022. The company completed seven property sales in 2023, generating $331 million in gross proceeds to reduce debt and repurchase shares.

  • Same-Property Total RevPAR increased 5.7% vs. 2022, exceeding outlook, with Urban RevPAR rising 8.8% and Resort RevPAR declining 0.4%.
  • Same-Property Hotel EBITDA was $66.6 million, Adjusted EBITDAre was $63.3 million, and Adjusted FFO per diluted share was $0.21, exceeding the Company’s Q4 Outlook by $0.07.
  • The Company sold 7 properties in 2023, generating approximately $331 million of gross proceeds used to reduce debt and repurchase common/preferred shares.
  • All material 2024 debt maturities were addressed by extending $357 million of its $460 million October 2024 maturity term loan to 2028, and paying down $157.6 million of existing debt.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$334M

Previous: $320M+4.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.21

Previous: $0.20+5.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$60.6M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$26.7M

No prior period
Net Income

-$41.9M

Previous: -$40.7M-3.0%
Operating Income

-$16.2K

Previous: -$11.8M+99.9%
Gross Profit

$69.9M

Previous: $62.4M+12.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.31M

Previous: $3.2M+3.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Pebblebrook · Revenue · Quarterly

$334M

Q4 2023+4.5%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 14 quarters(71%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Pebblebrook · $163M total across 3 segments · Q2 2021

  • Room Revenue
    $109M
  • Food and Beverage
    $31.5M
  • Other Operating
    $23.2M

Forward guidance

The Company's 2024 outlook incorporates planned capital investments and key assumptions, including an estimated $11.0 million in business interruption proceeds related to LaPlaya. This forecast assumes stable travel conditions, unaffected by pandemics, major weather events, federal shutdowns, or deteriorating macro-economic factors.

Tailwinds

  • US Hotel Industry RevPAR Growth Rate: 0.0% to 2.0%
  • Same-Property RevPAR variance vs. 2023: 2.0% to 4.0%
  • Same-Property Total Revenue variance vs. 2023: 3.1% to 4.6%
  • Same-Property Hotel EBITDA: $345.0 to $360.0 million
  • Same-Property Hotel EBITDA variance vs. 2023: (1.5%) to 2.8%

Headwinds

  • Net income (loss): ($62.0) to ($47.0) million
  • Adjusted EBITDAre: $339.0 to $354.0 million
  • Adjusted FFO: $180.5 to $195.5 million
  • Adjusted FFO per diluted share: $1.49 to $1.61
  • Same-Property Total Expense variance vs. 2023: 4.7% to 5.3%

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

31 / 65 earnings

Positive

+12.3%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-9.5%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.4%-0.6%+9.8%
Q4 2025+7.9%+4.2%+0.2%
Q3 2025+2.0%+10.0%+4.8%
Q1 2025-0.3%-1.8%+0.4%
Q4 2024+4.3%+0.8%-13.6%
Q3 2024-1.4%-3.0%+11.0%
Q2 2024-3.4%-2.4%-6.5%
Q1 2024+3.4%-0.8%-5.6%
Q4 2023-0.7%-4.2%-2.3%
Q3 2023-9.5%-7.5%-3.1%
Q2 2023+6.7%+6.6%-3.7%
Q1 2023-0.2%+2.5%-2.5%
Q4 2022-3.5%-3.3%-15.1%
Q3 2022+0.6%+0.2%+0.9%
Q2 2022-0.2%+3.1%+1.5%
Q1 2022-0.8%-3.2%-13.4%
Q4 2021-6.1%-4.1%-1.7%
Q3 2021+4.3%+11.3%+0.4%
Q2 2021+0.0%-3.6%-2.6%
Q1 2021-3.0%-4.4%-9.3%
Q4 2020+1.7%+0.2%+8.2%
Q3 2020-2.4%+5.3%+58.1%
Q2 2020+0.6%-0.8%+23.1%
Q1 2020+12.3%-1.8%+63.6%
Q4 2019+2.9%-6.7%-64.9%
Q3 2019-3.3%-3.7%-5.7%
Q2 2019+1.6%+3.3%-5.6%
Q1 2019+3.9%+2.9%-7.3%
Q4 2018-4.1%-6.1%-9.1%
Q3 2018-1.2%-0.6%+3.6%
Q2 2018-0.7%-1.5%-0.4%
Q1 2018-0.1%-1.1%+16.4%
Q4 2017+2.9%-1.0%-5.0%
Q3 2017+1.4%+0.1%+5.2%
Q2 2017+3.9%+6.4%+0.4%
Q1 2017-5.6%-2.6%-1.7%
Q4 2016-2.5%+0.0%-2.2%
Q3 2016-3.8%-5.9%+9.1%
Q2 2016-3.9%-4.8%-5.2%
Q1 2016-3.1%
Q4 2015+0.5%
Q3 2015-6.0%
Q2 2015-7.6%
Q1 2015+2.3%
Q4 2014+1.1%
Q3 2014+2.2%
Q2 2014-0.1%
Q1 2014-0.5%
Q4 2013+1.2%
Q3 2013+1.7%
Q2 2013+0.1%
Q1 2013+1.3%
Q4 2012+0.1%
Q3 2012-3.6%
Q2 2012+2.7%
Q1 2011+1.4%
Q1 2012+3.2%
Q4 2009-0.7%
Q4 2011-0.7%
Q3 2011+10.0%
Q2 2011-5.8%
Q4 2010-5.8%
Q3 2010-5.7%
Q2 2010-0.5%
Q1 2010+3.4%

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