NYSE$ORI

Old Republic International Corp · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Old Republic's financial performance was affected by stable general insurance results, increased title insurance profitability, and higher RFIG Run-off claim costs, leading to a consolidated combined ratio of 96.0%.

Old Republic International Corporation reported a net income of $397.7 million for the second quarter of 2020. The company's performance was influenced by stable results in the General Insurance segment, greater profitability in the Title Insurance segment, and increased claim costs in the RFIG Run-off business. The COVID-19 pandemic impacted premium and fee revenues in the General Insurance segment, while the Title Insurance segment saw strong growth.

  • Net income for the second quarter of 2020 was $397.7 million.
  • The consolidated combined ratio for the second quarter of 2020 was 96.0%, slightly up from 95.2% in the second quarter of 2019.
  • The COVID-19 pandemic impacted the General Insurance segment’s premium and fee revenues, while the Title Insurance segment experienced strong growth.
  • Improved market performance had a significant positive impact on the financial results of the second quarter.
  • The company's book value per share recovered to $19.68 as of June 30, 2020, compared to $17.29 at March 31, 2020.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.62B

Previous: $1.61B+1.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.42

Previous: $0.45-6.7%
Consolidated Combined Ratio

96.0%

Previous: 95.2%+0.8%
General Insurance Combined

98.4%

Previous: 98.1%+0.3%
Title Insurance Combined

91.4%

Previous: 91.4%+0.0%
Net Income

$398M

Previous: $166M+140.3%
Operating Income

$152M

No prior period
Gross Profit

$1.97B

Previous: $1.64B+19.8%
Total Assets

$21.7B

Previous: $21B+3.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Old Republic · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.62B

Q2 2020+1%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Old Republic · $1.47B total across 2 segments · Q2 2020

  • Specialty Insurance
    $818M
  • Title Insurance
    $650M

Forward guidance

Old Republic anticipates potential impacts from the COVID-19 pandemic on future revenues and underwriting expense ratios. The RFIG Run-off business's claims experience may depend on loan forbearance programs and employment recovery rates. Management believes the company's financial strength will allow it to meet obligations.

Tailwinds

  • Company’s strong financial condition.
  • Insurance subsidiaries can meet obligations to customers.
  • Insurance subsidiaries can meet obligations to policyholders.
  • Insurance subsidiaries can meet obligations to beneficiaries.
  • Company managed for the long run.

Headwinds

  • Economic impacts from the COVID-19 pandemic could affect future premium and fee revenues in the General Insurance segment.
  • Economic impacts from the COVID-19 pandemic could affect future premium and fee revenues in the Title Insurance segments.
  • Underwriting expense ratios could rise.
  • Future claims experience in the RFIG Run-off business could depend upon the continued, mitigating effects of loan forbearance programs mandated by the Federal government.
  • Future claims experience in the RFIG Run-off business could depend upon the rate at which employment levels recover.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.5%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

35 / 68 earnings

Positive

+9.2%

Q3 2018

Best reaction

-10.1%

Q3 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-5.2%-4.5%-6.4%
Q4 2025-9.3%-10.3%-4.4%
Q3 2025-3.0%-6.3%+9.1%
Q2 2025-2.5%-0.8%+9.0%
Q1 2025+1.2%-0.6%-1.4%
Q4 2024+1.3%+2.6%+2.1%
Q3 2024-3.9%-1.8%+7.9%
Q1 2024-0.6%-1.5%+4.0%
Q4 2023-7.9%-7.0%-5.4%
Q3 2023+0.4%+2.0%+7.9%
Q2 2023+1.5%+1.8%+0.3%
Q1 2023+2.6%+3.5%+0.6%
Q4 2022+5.1%+6.8%+6.8%
Q3 2022+2.2%+1.5%+6.5%
Q2 2022+2.0%+0.1%+5.3%
Q1 2022-7.8%-5.6%-0.8%
Q4 2021+2.7%+4.6%+6.2%
Q3 2021+7.8%+8.3%+4.9%
Q2 2021-0.2%+0.4%+7.7%
Q1 2021+1.1%+2.7%+10.0%
Q4 2020+0.7%+5.1%+7.5%
Q3 2020+6.4%+0.3%+14.4%
Q2 2020-4.9%-6.3%-7.8%
Q1 2020-0.9%+5.6%-2.1%
Q4 2019+1.9%+0.6%+1.2%
Q3 2019-5.3%-6.1%-6.7%
Q2 2019-2.1%-1.8%-2.7%
Q1 2019+4.2%+5.5%+6.4%
Q4 2018-7.8%-7.9%-2.8%
Q3 2018+9.2%+10.8%+8.2%
Q2 2018+2.4%+4.3%+9.2%
Q1 2018-3.3%-3.6%+0.0%
Q4 2017+7.4%+7.8%-0.7%
Q3 2017+0.4%+4.4%+7.5%
Q2 2017-4.2%-2.2%-2.9%
Q1 2017+2.3%-0.3%-2.4%
Q4 2016+5.9%+6.3%+6.7%
Q3 2016-10.1%-8.6%-1.2%
Q2 2016-1.6%-2.1%-3.5%
Q1 2016+1.0%
Q4 2015+1.3%
Q3 2015+8.1%
Q2 2015+0.4%
Q1 2015+2.5%
Q4 2014-1.6%
Q3 2014-1.2%
Q2 2014-7.6%
Q1 2014-1.6%
Q4 2013-8.2%
Q3 2013+7.7%
Q2 2013+2.1%
Q1 2013+0.6%
Q4 2012-0.7%
Q3 2012-5.9%
Q2 2012+0.6%
Q1 2012-0.9%
Q4 2011+2.1%
Q3 2011-4.6%
Q2 2011-5.1%
Q1 2010-0.2%
Q1 2011+4.0%
Q4 2008-2.3%
Q4 2010-2.3%
Q3 2010+0.7%
Q2 2009+0.7%
Q3 2009+0.7%
Q2 2010-1.5%
Q4 2009-1.5%

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